
Kentucky Derby 2015 Weather: Latest Forecast for 141st Race at Churchill Downs
The latest weather forecast points to Kentucky Derby attendees enjoying a beautiful day at Churchill Downs.
Those heading to the track will bask in sunshine during a warm but not hot afternoon. The event's official Twitter page celebrated the predicted conditions earlier this week:
As of Friday at noon, Weather.com's forecast remains promising in Louisville. It anticipates a partly cloudy day with a high of 77 degrees.
While rain isn't expected to derail the Run for the Roses, AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist Carl Erickson warned of some sporadic drizzling, per AccuWeather.com's Kevin Byrne.
"While much of the time will be rain-free, there will be a couple of showers around," Erickson said. "With the clouds and precipitation in the area, temperatures will be several degrees below average in the middle 60s."
Nevertheless, Mother Nature looks ready to cooperate over the weekend, providing a pleasant atmosphere for all 20 horses partaking in the 141st Kentucky Derby. American Pharoah and Dortmund will gallop into the 10-furlong race as favorites, but they aren't the only colts with a chance to commence the Triple Crown quest on top.
| 1 | Ocho Ocho Ocho | Elvis Trujillo | Jim Cassidy |
| 2 | Carpe Diem | John Velazquez | Todd Pletcher |
| 3 | Materiality | Javier Castellano | Todd Pletcher |
| 4 | Tencendur | Manny Franco | George Weaver |
| 5 | Danzig Moon | Julien Leparoux | Mark Casse |
| 6 | Mubtaahij | Christophe Soumillon | Mike de Kock |
| 7 | El Kabeir | Calvin Borel | John Terranova II |
| 8 | Dortmund | Martin Garcia | Bob Baffert |
| 9 | Bolo | Rafael Bejarano | Carla Gaines |
| 10 | Firing Line | Gary Stevens | Simon Callaghan |
| 11 | Stanford (SCRATCHED) | Florent Geroux | Todd Pletcher |
| 12 | International Star | Miguel Mena | Mike Maker |
| 13 | Itsaknockout | Luis Saez | Todd Pletcher |
| 14 | Keen Ice | Kent Desormeaux | Dale Romans |
| 15 | Frosted | Joel Rosario | Kiaran McLaughlin |
| 16 | War Story | Joe Talamo | Tom Amoss |
| 17 | Mr. Z | Ramon Vazquez | D. Wayne Lukas |
| 18 | American Pharoah | Victor Espinoza | Bob Baffert |
| 19 | Upstart | Jose Ortiz | Rick Violette Jr. |
| 20 | Far Right | Mike Smith | Ron Moquett |
| 21 | Frammento | Corey Nakatani | Nick Zito |
While Bob Baffert's two favorites are receiving all the attention heading into Saturday, trainer Todd Pletcher also carries two contenders in Carpe Diem and Materiality. Like American Pharoah, Carpe Diem has won four of five starts, but he finished second in the holdout rather than fifth.
Like Dortmund, Materiality enters Churchill Downs undefeated. Both are 3-0 this year, but Dortmund also collected a trio of victories last year, while Materiality debuted in 2015.
They were both dealt unfavorable draws, however, getting tough inside gates with the No. 2 and No. 3 post positions. The Daily Racing Form's Mike Watchmaker didn't mince words in his instant reaction to Wednesday's reveal:
Pletcher also wields a long shot in Itsaknockout, but he will hold back another. According to The Blood-Horse's Claire Novak, Stanford will not participate in the Derby. Pletcher explained his tactical decision:
"We entered the horse in the race to see what sort of post he might draw. We were on the fence as to whether or not to run him, but we thought we'd take a look. But after seeing the draw and talking to the owners, we decided it might be best to take him out and consider other options.
We're thinking now that either the Peter Pan Stakes or the Preakness Stakes might be better spots for him. The horse is fine.
"
With three other competitors, two far more likely to make noise, the trainer will preserve Stanford's energy for another event while maintaining a heavy imprint on the Derby. Meanwhile, Frammento will take his spot Saturday.
Although Pletcher has collected more all-time earnings than any other trainer, per Equibase, he has frequently struck out at Churchill Downs. Despite sending out 40 horses, he has backed only one winner: 2010 champion Super Saver.
Knocking off Baffert's prized horses would make a huge statement.


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