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LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 29:  American Pharoah is walked to the track during morning training for the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on April 29, 2015 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 29: American Pharoah is walked to the track during morning training for the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on April 29, 2015 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)Rob Carr/Getty Images

Kentucky Derby 2015 Odds: Updated Lines and Favorites After Post Positions Draw

Matt FitzgeraldApr 29, 2015

The 2015 Kentucky Derby post positions were announced during Wednesday's draw, accompanied by morning-line odds. It's now a bit easier to get a handle on how the 141st Run for the Roses might play out.

As was expected, American Pharoah comes in as the prohibitive favorite at 5-2, while Dortmund is the No. 2 horse to beat in oddsmakers' eyes at 3-1. Check out the complete post positions below:

1Ocho Ocho OchoElvis TrujilloJim Cassidy50-1
2Carpe DiemJohn VelazquezTodd Pletcher8-1
3MaterialityJavier CastellanoTodd Pletcher12-1
4TencendurManny FrancoGeorge Weaver30-1
5Danzig MoonJulien LeparouxMark Casse30-1
6MubtaahijChristophe SoumillonMike de Kock20-1
7El KabeirCalvin BorelJohn Terranova II30-1
8DortmundMartin GarciaBob Baffert3-1
9BoloRafael BejaranoCarla Gaines30-1
10Firing LineGary StevensSimon Callaghan12-1
11StanfordFlorent GerouxTodd Pletcher30-1
12International StarMiguel MenaMike Maker20-1
13ItsaknockoutLuis SaezTodd Pletcher30-1
14Keen IceKent DesormeauxDale Romans50-1
15FrostedJoel RosarioKiaran McLaughlin15-1
16War StoryJoe TalamoTom Amoss50-1
17Mr. ZRamon VazquezD. Wayne Lukas50-1
18American PharoahVictor EspinozaBob Baffert5-2
19UpstartJose OrtizRick Violette Jr.15-1
20Far RightMike SmithRon Moquett30-1

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Hall of Famer trainer Bob Baffert, who hasn’t had a winner at the Kentucky Derby since 2002, trains both of the aforementioned top contenders. That drought in Louisville could well change with American Pharoah and Dortmund coming out of Baffert's barn.      

Yahoo Sports' Pat Forde believes American Pharoah did well to secure the 18th post:

Jeannine Edwards of ESPN likes the draw for Dortmund too, but she isn't so sure about Carpe Diem:

These circumstances suggest the field will have an even tougher time to beat out Baffert's prized duo. Art Wilson of the Los Angeles News Group logged what Baffert had to say about the draw:

Carpe Diem is the third favorite on the morning line, but he will have his work cut out to break well from post No. 2. Among the four entries for renowned trainer Todd Pletcher, it seems Carpe Diem is his best shot after the horse rode to victory at the Tampa Bay Derby and Blue Grass Stakes.

Keeneland Race Course's Matt May implies that Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez at least gives Carpe Diem a chance to recover from a less-than-ideal post:

Another horse that should get a lot of action among bettors is Mubtaahij. The winner of the UAE Derby in Dubai by eight lengths is a viable long-shot bet at 20-1.

The key to this race will be whether American Pharoah can overcome starting from so far outside and get closer to the rail in swift fashion. Victor Espinoza should know how to handle him, and it helps that Espinoza won aboard last year's Churchill Downs favorite, California Chrome.

Dortmund can't be counted out despite American Pharoah being the perceived favorite. Baffert's No. 2 favorite has won all six of his career starts and has a more favorable post position in starting at the eighth slot.

Career Triple Crown winner Gary Stevens will also be a force to be reckoned with when he's in the irons for Firing Line. The 12-1 morning-line colt won the Sunland Derby and will join Dortmund in dictating the pace for the start of the race.

As physically imposing and strong as Dortmund is, he should be able to hang tough no matter what the pace is. American Pharoah ought to be a little too much for everyone else to handle, though, and there could well be Triple Crown hype surrounding him if he finds the winner's circle in Louisville.    

Note: Race information courtesy of KentuckyDerby.com.

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