Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao: Latest Prop Bets and Fight Card Odds
Floyd Mayweather Jr.'s bout with Manny Pacquiao is expected to generate $300 million on Saturday night. However, a further fortune will be spent by avid bettors along the Las Vegas strip and across the globe.
Mayweather's 47-0 record lends itself to the favourite tag. Pacquiao's speedy, hard-hitting style ensures the odds on him winning remain extremely tasty. He's rarely known as the "underdog," but when Mayweather's fighting on his adopted home turf, nobody else can be ruled the most likely victor.
Here, we take a look at some of the quirkier bets on offer ahead of the MGM Grand showdown, followed by a rundown of the traditional prop bets and fight-card outcomes:
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| First to throw a punch | |
| Mayweather | 10-13 |
| Pacquiao | 1-1 |
| First thrown punch will be? | |
| Left hand | 10-13 |
| Right hand | 1-1 |
| Either Fighter to Get a Points Deduction | |
| Yes | 4-1 |
| No | 1-6 |
| Knockdown Props | |
| Either fighter to be knocked down | 8-5 |
| Mayweather to be knocked down | 3-1 |
| Pacquiao to be knocked down | 5-2 |
| Both to be knocked down | 16-1 |
| Mayweather to be knocked down and win | 8-1 |
| Pacquiao to be knocked down and win | 16-1 |
| No knockdowns | 1-2 |
| One knockdown | 8-5 |
| Two knockdowns | 5-1 |
Odds via Yahoo.
For those looking to capitalise on traditional bets, take a look below:
| Outright | |
| Mayweather win | 1-3 |
| Pacquiao win | 11-5 |
| Total Rounds | |
| Over 11.5 | 10-31 |
| Under 11.5 | 24-10 |
| Will Fight Go Distance? | |
| Yes | 1-3 |
| No | 23-10 |
| Fight Outcome | |
| Mayweather by KO, TKO or Disqualification | 11-2 |
| Mayweather by Decision or Technical Decision | 10-13 |
| Pacquiao by KO, TKO or Disqualification | 4-1 |
| Pacquiao by Decision or Technical Decision | 15-4 |
| Draw or Technical Draw | 10-1 |
| Round Betting | |
| Mayweather to win in round 1 | 33-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 2 | 40-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 3 | 40-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 4 | 50-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 5 | 40-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 6 | 40-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 7 | 40-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 8 | 40-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 9 | 40-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 10 | 40-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 11 | 40-1 |
| Mayweather to win in round 12 | 50-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 1 | 33-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 2 | 40-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 3 | 40-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 4 | 40-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 5 | 50-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 6 | 50-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 7 | 40-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 8 | 40-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 9 | 40-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 10 | 33-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 11 | 33-1 |
| Pacquiao to win in round 12 | 33-1 |
Odds via Odds Shark as of April 30 at 5 a.m. ET.
You can also find odds for the rest of the fight card below:
| Leo Santa Cruz | 1-100 |
| Jose Cayetano | 16-1 |
| Vasyl Lomachenko | 50-1 |
| Gamalier Rodriguez | 17-1 |
| Jesse Hart | 1-10 |
| Mike Jimenez | 11-2 |
| Christopher Pearson* | N/A |
| Said El Harrak* | N/A |
| Andrew Tabiti* | N/A |
| Anthony Caputo Smith* | N/A |
| Brad Solomon* | N/A |
| Adrian Granados* | N/A |
Odds via Bovada (h/t Odds Shark).
*No odds available at the time of writing.
Betting Tips and Predictions
Pacquiao to Throw First Punch, Left-handed (1-1 & 10-13)
A combination of two bets could offer great value to those who think Pacquiao will come out firing. It's expected that, if Manny is to beat Mayweather, he needs to do significant damage in the opening stages.
Floyd's technical defensive style may not be in motion during the opening rounds, potentially giving Pac-Man something to exploit. Shane Mosley was the closest man to putting Mayweather on the canvas with his hammerblow in the second round of their 2010 battle. Mosley buckled his opponent's legs but couldn't get the knockdown, shown below:
Mosley believes Pacquiao should take notice of his loss to Mayweather, reported by radio station On The Ropes (h/t Sky Sports): "I almost knocked him out straight out the gate," said Mosley. "That would be a good tip for Pacquiao, he can’t give Mayweather a chance to get comfortable or to pick up on his rhythm. If he is going to win against Mayweather, it’s going to have to be in the first three or four rounds tops."
Trainer Freddie Roach also believes Floyd is susceptible to Pacquiao's southpaw stance. "That's where Floyd is most vulnerable," he said, per Jeff Powell of the MailOnline. "We're at the point where Manny could beat him with his right arm tied behind his back."
Putting the links together, the aforementioned bet makes complete sense. Unless, of course, Roach and Pacquiao want Mayweather to think he'll prioritise shots with his left?
Mayweather to be Knocked Down and Win (8-1)
You have to think Pacquiao is working harder than ever to make sure his punches are powerful right now. Mayweather so often escapes without ever having his legs tested, so Pacquiao's primary objective must be to leave the ring knowing he at least posed a daunting examination.
Even if he loses on Saturday, Pacquiao can make history by becoming the first man to knock Mayweather down. This would be a victory in itself and a sign that the unbeaten Pretty Boy's god-like shield is wearing off at the twilight of his career.
Roach believes Mayweather's movement and sturdiness could see him hit the canvas, per Sky Sports: "I don't think he moves like he used to. His legs aren't what they were—that's the first thing to go with a fighter." He explained why the Filipino will win to Bleacher Report's Stephen Nelson:
Mosley agrees a weakness is forming, but that Floyd still has the quality to prevail, reported by Sky Sports: "Looking at him work in the gym and hit the bag, it doesn't look like his legs are the same but they are good enough to evade Pacquiao."
It's undoubtedly a big call to suggest Mayweather will hit the deck. He is the kind of fighter who will eke out a decision win if he does, though. Floyd's defensive effectiveness should be considered just as powerful as Pacquiao's ability to land major shots, and even if he's caught once, there's no guarantee he'll make the same mistake twice.
Mayweather to get rocked and still grab the win will tempt many. There's big money to be won on this particular bet, which, if it comes true, would allow both men to hold their heads high after the encounter.
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