
2015 NFL Mock Draft: Final Mock Fitting Players to Teams by Scheme and Need Fits
The NFL draft is Thursday night, and we're all ready to see who everyone is taking. Teams are going to pick players based on who fits their need and schemes the best. In my final mock draft of the season, I tried to predict what the teams would do based on a combination of team fit, need and logic.
According to The Huddle Report's mock draft scoring, over half of the picks in nearly every single mock draft are wrong, and this is more of an exercise trying to fit team needs and player fits to each individual team than being a perfect forecast of every single pick that's going to be made.
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1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: QB Jameis Winston, Florida State
This pick comes off as extremely obvious. But it's been telegraphed all season. The Buccaneers don't have a franchise quarterback. Jameis Winston is the best quarterback prospect to enter the draft since Andrew Luck in 2012. The fit just makes sense, as Lovie Smith finally gets his franchise quarterback for the first time in his NFL coaching career.
2. Tennessee Titans: QB Marcus Mariota, Oregon
If you don't have a franchise quarterback, you get one. The Tennessee Titans can't possibly view Zach Mettenberger as a franchise quarterback because he's terrible. Marcus Mariota, on the other hand, is an excellent quarterback who would give Ken Whisenhunt the best quarterback he's worked with since Kurt Warner during his early Arizona years.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: EDGE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Jacksonville shocks us here with the slight reach for Bud Dupree. But much like the Blake Bortles pick, it does three things. Dupree fits the ideal prototype for the scheme that Gus Bradley runs at defense as a "Leo" defensive end. Dupree fits the Jaguars' biggest need at pass-rusher. And Dupree is worth a top-10 pick based on his raw athleticism and scheme fit.
4. Oakland Raiders: DL Leonard Williams, Southern California
This is a no-brainer here. With Ken Norton Jr. taking over as defensive coordinator in Oakland, the Raiders need to make sure they have a true 3-technique defensive tackle to start in their defense. With Leonard Williams at 3-technique tackle, the Raiders could have the next Gerald McCoy playing in their defense. He's a top-notch run defender who has potential for seven to eight sacks as a pass-rusher.
5. Washington Football Team: OL Brandon Scherff, Iowa
Washington needs to upgrade its right tackle spot after Tom Compton looked terrible there in 2014. Brandon Scherff has amazing athleticism, size and the talent to play a long-term starting role for the Washington team. Scherff shows massive potential to eventually move to the left side should Trent Williams decide not to re-sign with Washington after his rookie contract expires at the end of 2015.
6. New York Jets: EDGE Dante Fowler, Florida
Calvin Pace and Jason Babin turn 35 before or during the 2015 season. That's very old for pass-rushers and is enough to say that they aren't long-term solutions at the position. Drafting a guy who has the potential to become the next Terrell Suggs or Justin Houston in Dante Fowler out of Florida is a brilliant move. He would be a rotational talent early, but after his first season, he'd easily be the starter.
7. Chicago Bears: WR Amari Cooper, Alabama
After trading away Brandon Marshall in the offseason, the Bears have a huge need for a No. 1 receiver in their offense that can burn defenses deep and catch passes from Jay Cutler over the top. Amari Cooper is similar to Marvin Harrison from Peyton Manning's early career and could be a similar talent once he develops fully. Cooper is arguably the best talent in the draft overall and should transform the offense in Chicago.
8. Atlanta Falcons: EDGE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Atlanta's biggest need is at "Leo" defensive end. There are few great choices for this in the draft, but Vic Beasley is arguably the best player for the Falcons' needs at the position. His athleticism compares well to Von Miller and Cliff Avril. The Falcons would finally have a premier pass-rusher for the first time since John Abraham got cut unceremoniously after the 2012 season.
9. New York Giants: OT La'El Collins, Louisiana State
John Jerry shouldn't be starting in the NFL. With a better right tackle in the offense, Justin Pugh can slide over to left guard and fortify the interior of the offensive line. La'El Collins is an ideal fit for any offensive line scheme but should complement Geoff Schwartz on the right side. They would be a powerful road-grading combination that could also protect the sight-side pass rush for the Giants.
10. St. Louis Rams: QB Brett Hundley, UCLA
If you don't have a franchise quarterback, you get one. Does that sound familiar? Because it should. The Rams don't have a franchise quarterback. They do have a stopgap that could work in Nick Foles. But Foles isn't anything more than a holdover or replacement-level starter. On the flip side, Brett Hundley has the potential to be a great quarterback in the NFL if he can have time to sit and learn the NFL for a season.
11. Minnesota Vikings: CB Marcus Peters, Washington
The Minnesota Vikings need a cornerback to complement Xavier Rhodes on the other side of the field. Marcus Peters fits Mike Zimmer's style of player, but there might be a question about him off the field. If anyone can get through to him, it'd be Zimmer. Peters has All-Pro potential, and teaming him with Rhodes could give the Vikings one of the best secondaries in the NFL.
12. Cleveland Browns: OT T.J. Clemmings, Pittsburgh
Cleveland's offensive line is one of the better ones in the NFL. However, Mitchell Schwartz could stand to be upgraded and potentially moved inside to right guard. T.J. Clemmings may not be an instant star for the Browns, but he would be a great fit next to John Greco or Schwartz while playing right tackle for the Browns. Eventually, Clemmings could flip to the left side and replace the aging Joe Thomas when he retired.
13. New Orleans Saints: WR DeVante Parker, Louisville
After trading away Jimmy Graham, the Saints need a No. 1 option to take the pressure off of Brandin Cooks and Marques Colston. The reason why DeVante Parker would be selected here over Kevin White has more to do with scheme fit than natural talent. Parker would fit the No. 1 role for Drew Brees and give him a true No. 1 target that he hasn't had in his career.
14. Miami Dolphins: WR Kevin White, West Virginia
Miami needs to give Ryan Tannehill a top target after trading away Mike Wallace and cutting Brian Hartline. They did sign Greg Jennings, but he's past his prime. Jarvis Landry is a good No. 2, but the Dolphins would be wise to take the best receiver in the draft here in Kevin White. His size, speed and agility are reminiscent of A.J. Green's. The big question is whether or not he's a one-year wonder.
15. San Francisco 49ers: DL Arik Armstead, Oregon
San Francisco needs a long-term replacement for Justin Smith. Arik Armstead out of Oregon is arguably the best fit for that role outside of Leonard Williams in the draft. Armstead has a great build and is a former basketball player who has shown great lateral agility along the defensive line. If Armstead reaches his potential, he might be an upgrade over Smith—as crazy as that might sound.
16. Houston Texans: EDGE Randy Gregory, Nebraska
The Houston Texans need a strong-side linebacker for their 3-4 alignments that can play in coverage and attack the quarterback. Randy Gregory would be way too good to pass up here and would fit the role perfectly. Pass-rushing sets that had Gregory and Jadeveon Clowney coming off the edge with J.J. Watt and Vince Wilfork on the inside would be scary for opposing offenses to see.
17. San Diego Chargers: RB Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin
Melvin Gordon is a great running back who should go in the first round, and San Diego is a great fit for his talents. While Todd Gurley would be the popular selection here based on raw talent, Gordon hasn't had the same kind of injury history that the Georgia star has. Gordon can play right away and doesn't have to worry about the potential of being placed on the physically unable to perform list.
18. Kansas City Chiefs: LB Eric Kendricks, UCLA
Kansas City likes to look ahead with its draft picks, and inside linebacker is easily a spot that can be improved upon for now while also factoring in the future. Derrick Johnson is turning 33 during the season, and James-Michael Johnson is average at best. Eric Kendricks has All-Pro potential as a coverage linebacker that would start early in his career over the mediocre James-Michael.
19. Cleveland Browns: NT Danny Shelton, Washington
Cleveland has a need for a natural nose tackle, and Danny Shelton fits their 3-4 scheme as an almost-ideal fit. On run downs, he plays very similarly to Dan Williams. But in pass-rushing situations, he's shown an ability to create penetration on the interior. With Desmond Bryant, Phil Taylor and Billy Winn looking like starters early on, Shelton would be allowed to learn the game better before being forced into action.
20. Philadelphia Eagles: S Eric Rowe, Utah
Eric Rowe is an amazing talent as a deep safety, but his best fit would be in a role where he'll be used to play in man coverage on slot receivers and tight ends in base sets should the team need him to. Philadelphia would love to have a safety like Rowe and would start him next to Malcolm Jenkins in the defense in a situation where both Jenkins and Rowe can play strong or free safety.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: OT Jake Fisher, Oregon
Cincinnati's biggest need is a long-term solution to eventually replace Andrew Whitworth at left tackle after his contract is up after the 2015 season. Jake Fisher is a natural left tackle with great athleticism and movement skills. He's not an ideal run-blocker, but he'd be effective in the Bengals' run schemes. Fisher is also a great pass-blocker and understands how to mirror his pass-rushing counterpart very effectively.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers: CB Trae Waynes, Michigan State
The Steelers need a starting cornerback to team with Cortez Allen in the secondary. Trae Waynes is an excellent fit for the Steelers scheme and could turn in the best performances Pittsburgh has seen from its cornerbacks in a long time. Waynes is also an exceptional athlete that has good length and the ability to mirror any receiver that the Steelers would face.
23. Detroit Lions: OT Andrus Peat, Stanford
Detroit needs a right tackle much more than it needs a left tackle. However, if Andrus Peat is there at 23, taking Peat and moving Riley Reiff to the right side just makes sense in this situation. Peat has all the tools to be a top-level left tackle in the NFL. The questions surrounding his run blocking and natural athleticism shouldn't overshadow his talent as a pass-blocker.
24. Arizona Cardinals: EDGE Eli Harold, Virginia
The Cardinals need a top-level edge-rusher to complement Alex Okafor, Sean Weatherspoon, Daryl Washington and Kevin Minter in the linebacker corps. Eli Harold out of Virginia is raw, but he is the ideal fit for the 3-4 scheme that the Cardinals have run for the past half-decade. Even without Todd Bowles running the scheme, Arizona should love Harold on the weak side of the defense.
25. Carolina Panthers: OT D.J. Humphries, Florida
If Carolina doesn't get a left tackle to protect Cam Newton, the Panthers are always going to subject Newton to too many hits and allow defenses to tee off on the Panthers' biggest weakness in their offense. D.J. Humphries is raw, but extremely talented and athletic. The Panthers would be an ideal fit for him, and he could start at left tackle as a rookie and be the best tackle they've had since Jordan Gross retired.
26. Baltimore Ravens: WR Jaelen Strong, Arizona State
After losing Torrey Smith to free agency during the offseason, the Ravens need a good starting wide receiver. Because Steve Smith is going to be 36 during the 2015 season, the Ravens need to look toward the future here too. Jaelen Strong has the tools to be a very good receiver as a rookie and turn into a long-term No. 1 receiver for Joe Flacco if he can show the same talent he did in college in the NFL.
27. Dallas Cowboys: RB Todd Gurley, Georgia
Dallas just lost its best running back since Emmitt Smith was in the backfield. Todd Gurley is easily the best running back talent in the 2015 draft and could turn into the best running back to enter the NFL since Adrian Peterson. However, the questions surrounding Gurley come from his ACL injury that he suffered during his final season at Georgia and whether he'll be healthy enough to start early on.
28. Denver Broncos: C Cameron Erving, Florida State
Denver's offensive line needs a true starting center so that it can move Manny Ramirez to his ideal spot at left guard. Cameron Erving is a great player and can play any of the five offensive line spots easily. Erving's best fit is at center, though. He's extremely intelligent and can make ideal line calls. He would be a perfect protector up front to add to Peyton Manning's offensive line.
29. Indianapolis Colts: OL Ereck Flowers, Miami
After adding Andre Johnson and Frank Gore in the offseason, the Colts still have big needs up front to protect Andrew Luck, open up holes for Frank Gore and allow the offense to click on all cylinders. Ereck Flowers can play guard or tackle and could end up being the perfect interior protector at right guard within the lineman scheme. Flowers is a talented player who will be a better pro than college player.
30. Green Bay Packers: DL Malcom Brown, Texas
Due to B.J. Raji being injured too often and just plain terrible now, the Packers need someone who can play nose tackle within the Packers' 3-4 scheme. Malcom Brown is a massive tackle that can two-gap or one-gap with the best of them. Combining him with Raji, Datone Jones, Mike Daniels and Josh Boyd in a rotation along the defensive line would be a wise move for a team that needs a better interior presence.
31. New Orleans Saints: OL Donovan Smith, Penn State
Zach Strief is 31 years old and needs replacement. Senio Kelemete is currently the likely starting left guard for the Saints as well. Donovan Smith is a versatile offensive lineman who can play guard or tackle and start for the Saints early on in his career. Smith should be able to beat Kelemete early on as a guard and could force Strief to move inside should he play better at right tackle than he does.
32. New England Patriots: DT Eddie Goldman, Florida State
After releasing Vince Wilfork, the Patriots need someone who can play in a 0-technique and 1-technique up front while taking on multiple double-teams. Eddie Goldman played in a role at Florida State that was very similar to what Wilfork played for the Patriots. Goldman is a massive body who can absorb doubles the way Wilfork did and open up the rest of the defense in a similar manner.
All stats used are from Pro Football Focus' Premium Stats, ESPN.com, CFBStats or NFL.com. All combine and pro day info is courtesy of NFLDraftScout.com. All contract information is courtesy of Spotrac.
Scott Carasik is a Featured Columnist for Bleacher Report. He covers the Atlanta Falcons, college football, the NFL and the NFL draft. He's also a Draft Analyst for Pro Football Spot.

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