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Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston runs a drill at the NFL football scouting combine in Indianapolis, Saturday, Feb. 21, 2015. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston runs a drill at the NFL football scouting combine in Indianapolis, Saturday, Feb. 21, 2015. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)Julio Cortez/Associated Press

NFL Draft 2015: 1st-Round Order and Predictions for Top Prospects

Matt FitzgeraldMar 20, 2015

The 2015 NFL draft is drawing ever closer, and once the initial rush of March Madness dissipates, it will be full steam ahead to nitpick the top pro football prospects until April 30's first round.

Between pro days and the NFL Scouting Combine, the recent past has offered more to draw on in projecting where the draft's best players might land.

One big change to the first-round order came when the Seattle Seahawks traded for Jimmy Graham from the New Orleans Saints. That cost Seattle the No. 31 overall pick along with Pro Bowl center Max Unger.

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With what's happened in free agency also in mind, check out the first-round order, the predicted draft choices for each team and analysis thereafter about the top prospective picks.

1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State
2 Tennessee Titans Leonard Williams, DL, USC
3 Jacksonville Jaguars Dante Fowler Jr., DE/OLB, Florida
4 Oakland Raiders Kevin White, WR, West Virginia
5 Washington Redskins Vic Beasley, DE/OLB, Clemson
6 New York Jets Randy Gregory, DE/OLB, Nebraska
7 Chicago Bears Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama
8 Atlanta Falcons Alvin Dupree, DE/OLB, Kentucky
9 New York Giants Shane Ray, DE, Missouri
10 St. Louis Rams Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa
11 Minnesota Vikings DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville
12 Cleveland Browns Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon
13 New Orleans Saints Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State
14 Miami Dolphins La'el Collins, OT, LSU
15 San Francisco 49ers Danny Shelton, DT, Washington
16 Houston Texans Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State
17 San Diego Chargers Devin Funchess, WR/TE, Michigan
18 Kansas City Chiefs Marcus Peters, CB, Washington
19 Cleveland Browns (via Buffalo) Eddie Goldman, DT, Florida State
20 Philadelphia Eagles Jalen Collins, CB, LSU
21 Cincinnati Bengals Shaq Thompson, OLB, Washington
22 Pittsburgh Steelers Landon Collins, SS, Alabama
23 Detroit Lions Carl Davis, DT, Iowa
24 Arizona Cardinals Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin
25 Carolina Panthers Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford
26 Baltimore Ravens Malcom Brown, DT, Texas
27 Dallas Cowboys Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia
28 Denver Broncos Arik Armstead, DL, Oregon
29 Indianapolis Colts Benardrick McKinney, ILB, Mississippi State
30 Green Bay Packers Jordan Phillips, DT, Oklahoma
31 New Orleans Saints (via Seattle) Maxx Williams, TE, Minnesota
32 New England Patriots Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma

Analysis of Top Prospective 2015 NFL Draft Picks

Ever since Jameis Winston spun it at Lucas Oil Stadium at the combine, he's been widely considered the huge favorite to go No. 1 overall to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Based on the importance of the quarterback position, it's worth breaking down the next top signal-caller in Oregon Heisman Trophy winner Marcus Mariota.

ESPN's Phil Savage notes how the premium on quarterbacks is creating quite an interesting shift in consensus opinions about Mariota and even Baylor product Bryce Petty:

If the Tennessee Titans stick with Zach Mettenberger under center and add arguably the best overall prospect in Leonard Williams, Mariota could experience quite a draft-day free fall. Almost all the teams after Tennessee either have a young potential franchise QB or have a reliable veteran.

Blake Bortles and Derek Carr are entering their second seasons in Jacksonville and Oakland, respectively. The Jags need a versatile player on the front seven like Dante Fowler Jr., while the Raiders must provide Carr with a No. 1-caliber receiver such as West Virginia's Kevin White.

Bleacher Report draft guru Matt Miller recently praised Fowler and White for how they backed up their physical ability with strong, explosive game tape:

Washington isn't giving up on Robert Griffin III just yet and needs an explosive pass-rusher to replace the departed Brian Orakpo. The New York Jets will probably have a competition between incumbent Geno Smith and Ryan Fitzpatrick, likely opting to load up their defense instead.

Jay Cutler will be in Chicago for at least another year with a huge contract, Matt Ryan and Eli Manning aren't going anywhere, Nick Foles is the new proverbial man in St. Louis and Teddy Bridgewater is in Minnesota.

Since the Bears traded Brandon Marshall to the Jets, they should add another wide receiver. If they did gain Alabama's Amari Cooper, Bridgewater would likely be allowed to reunite with former Louisville teammate DeVante Parker.

That leaves the Cleveland Browns, owners of the 12th pick, in prime position to take Mariota if they decide to be so bold.

Based on the perpetually terrible state of the organization's QB situation, general manager Ray Farmer may shy away from pursuing Mariota as an option at No. 12. If this scenario presents itself, though, Cleveland will have a hard time passing on the Ducks star.

The Browns' depth chart consists of Josh McCown, 2014 undrafted free agent Connor Shaw and Thaddeus Lewis, with Johnny Manziel still in rehab.

According to ESPN's Skip Bayless—a known Manziel advocate in the past before Johnny Football's off-field issues sabotaged the start of his NFL career—Mariota isn't even worth a Day 1 pick:

But these are the Browns, so nothing should be ruled out. ESPN's Adam Schefter reported that Cleveland would have mulled the possibility of choosing UCLA's Brett Hundley in the top 10 of last year's draft.

NFL.com's Lance Zierlein compares Hundley to Jason Campbell, a journeyman former first-round pick who went 1-7 as a Browns starter in 2013. Hundley is projected as a second-round pick by CBSSports.com.

Since Farmer holds two first-round picks—the other being at No. 19—there's no telling what the Browns might do. If they like Mariota and sense that someone may trade up, no one other than the Saints have comparable ammunition to do so.

This only seems to pander to the notion that Mariota will head to Cleveland.

Depending on whether he could overcome a more simplistic spread college system, grasp an NFL playbook and start in 2015, he'd either be the 23rd or 24th different starting Browns QB since 1999. McCown is the stopgap option and Manziel doesn't make a miraculous comeback.

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