
Preview and Prediction for the 2015 Valspar Championship
Now that the WGC Cadillac Championship is done and Dustin Johnson sewed up Comeback Player of the Year, the Tour moves to the west coast of Florida at the venomous Innisbrook Resort. Why venomous? Itโs the Valspar Championship at Copperhead.
Jeff Shain of PGATour.com wrote, โThe Copperhead also consistently ranks high among PGA TOUR players for its no-nonsense demands. Double doglegs await on two par-5s, putting a premium on positioning to reach the green in two, and the final three holes make up the Snake Pitโtwo bruising par-4s sandwiched around the 215-yard 17th.โ
Thatโs petrifying.
There isnโt as much star power at the Copperhead, but you will find Jim Furyk, Luke Donald, Henrik Stenson and Adam Scott.
Weโre a month out from the Masters, and these players are looking to tighten the screws on their game. Instead of beach bodies, theyโre forging green-jacket bodies for the perfect fit.
Letโs get on to Copperhead and see where this event takes us.
Where to Watch and Tournament Info
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Where
Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead)
7,340, Par 71
What
Total Purse:ย $5,900,000
Winning Share:ย $1,062,000
FedEx Points to Winner:ย 500
When
Thursday-Friday
3-6 p.m. ET, Golf Channel
Saturday-Sunday
1-6 p.m. ET, Golf Channel; 3-6 p.m., NBC
Biggest Storylines
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How will the big foreign stars perform?
Stenson, Scott, Lee Westwood, Luke Donald. Those are some brassy names making the flight across the Sunshine State in the hopes of winning this event.
This past weekend, these heavy hitters had solid finishes at the Cadillac Championship. Scott and Stenson finished tied for fourth, while Westwood finished tied for 12th. Donald, the No. 46 player in the world, carded a score that left him tied for 49th.
Scratch Donald, a former World No. 1, from this little list of titans.
Or should youโฆ?
Can Luke Donald reclaim that winning form?
He hasnโt won on the PGA Tour since 2012 when he won the Transitions Championship in a playoff.
A year ago, Donald finished tied for fourth in this tournament. In an effort to reclaim past form, he has undergone some serious coaching to fix his swing. Sometimes this is disastrous (ask Tiger Woods), but it appears itโs working for Donald.
Donald told Dave Shedloski of GolfDigest.com:
"I feel better about the direction I'm headed. Yeah, a lot of people ask me when you get to No. 1, why change? I just think as golfer we always feel like we can improve. You look at maybe I got a little bit too focused on my weaknesses, rather than just concentrating on what I was really good at. I don't have any regrets in trying it. It just didn't work out.
"
Donald has been great around the greens, but getting there has led to high scores.
Can Kevin Na overcome last yearโs defeat?
Kevin Na got ripped last year for his slow play. So much so that the caddy of Naโs playing partner, Robert Garrigus, took issue.
"It ainโt fair playing with Kevin Na," Brent Henley, Garrigus' caddy, told Jeff Rude of Golfweek (h/t SB Nation). "It ainโt fair."
Na, who already has the reputation of being the slow player on tour, did his best to bury those critics and just play his game, slow as it may be. However, he was dinged by the PGA for slow play.
Na told the media:
"I try to play my game and try the best I can where I donโt affect the guys Iโm playing with and I donโt think I have been. I felt like I improved 90 percent of my pace of play ... Iโm very conscious of the group in front of me, the group behind me ... Iโm very aware of my situation and Iโm doing everything I canโI donโt know what else I can do, really.
"
He almost won the tournament, falling to John Senden by just one stroke.
The Favorites
3 of 5Henrik Stenson
Henrik Stenson and his bent club will play for the second week in a row. As the worldโs No. 2 player, Stenson is another one of those golfers looking for that elusive major championship.
Things went well for him at Doral, finishing tied for fourth with Scott. Relatively pedestrian third and fourth rounds kept him from threatening Dustin Johnson atop the Doral leaderboard, but Stenson played very well in stretches.
Stenson discussed his game with John Huggan of Golf Digest (via ESPN.com) in a 2006 story:
"I am a perfectionist. I get far more upset on the range [where he is hailed by fellow professional Mark Roe as the master of the downward-thrusting, stick-it-in-the-ground throw] than I do on the course. When I am in a good shape mentally, my patience is good, and I stay calm. But when the head is a bit rocky, my patience wears thin, and that's when it turns ugly. I have to let the steam out sometimes. It happens that a clubhead gets separated from its shaft, stuff like that.
"
Weโve seen that at times with Stenson. He can be a bit hot-headed, but his game is super tight these days. Heโll be a favorite to win at Copperhead and one of the favorites at Augusta National Golf Course.
Adam Scott
Scott had himself a nice run with the belly putter, but since the rule has changed, he has been forced to adopt a traditional flat stick.
It didnโt seem to bother him too much at Doral where he finished tied for fourth. Scott had a chance to win at Doral, but a Saturday that saw him card four bogeys and one double-bogey for a three-over 75 slayed any chance come Sunday.
Was it the new putter? Scott told ESPN.comโs Bob Harig:
"For me, I don't think it was a big deal. I've been successful with the short putter before. I think for guys who had never putted any other way, that's a different story, potentially.
But it's been a good thing for me. It's given me something new to focus on, and sometimes, that's nice, something fresh. When you're just grinding away at the same old thing, that can get boring, just like any job has its moments. It's been a good changeโsomething fresh to think about and to work onโand I've enjoyed it. I've kind of tried to embrace it.
"
If Scott cleans up his putting, heโll be a major player here and a threat to win.
Jim Furyk
Furyk is steady as she goes.
In three events in 2015, the No. 6 player in the world has finished tied for seventh, tied for 14th and tied for 12th. Heโs not shooting lights outโjust a bunch of even rounds.
Well, there was that 76 he shot in Round 3 at Doral. But aside from that, heโs been playing great golfโjust not winning golf.
Yet heโs one of the favorites here. Looking at the stat sheet, Furyk is first in tee-to-green strokes gained (1.819) and seventh in total strokes gained (1.496), according to PGATour.com.
Itโs his putting that has let him down. He ranks 164thย in strokes gained (-.323). His overall putting score sheet looks like a weekend bowlerโs.
Once Furyk gets janitorial on his puttingโmaybe this weekโheโll be dangerous at Copperhead.
The Dark Horses
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Kevin Na
Call Kevin Na โCrock-Pot,โ because heโs a slow cooker on the course.
He may be slow, but he can ball. Na got off to a slow start in 2015, but that one-under-par finish at Doral is promising.
Na was the runner-up in this event a year ago, and heโll need to use that to bolster his confidence. Nothing truly positive stands out in his 2015 stat sheet where he can point and say, โAs long as I keep doing that Iโll be good.โ
There is one thing: scrambling from 20-30 yards out. He ranks seventh in that category, according to PGATour.com.
Lee Westwood
Like most Euros, Westwood glides under the radar.
In two events in 2015โthe Honda Classic and Cadillac ChampionshipโWestwood finished tied for 25th and tied for 12th, respectively.
Westwood, like Stenson, hasnโt won a major. He was close at the Open Championship, but he has failed to break through and close out the bigger events.
Heโs a sleeper here in this spot and is one of the only guys to ever make a save from a deadly water trap. In January, Westwood pulled a near-drowning man with Parkinsonโs out of the water and got him back to shore.
Never discount this former world No. 1.
Jordan Spieth
Looking at that one-over-par finish at Doral doesnโt look bad, but it also doesnโt look great. Upon closer examination, finishing tied for 17th was quite good considering where he was on Thursday.
He put four balls in the drink and finished with a three-over 75. After shooting a 69 on Friday, he followed that with a few steady rounds to stay near the top of the leaderboard.
Spieth told Brian Biggane of the Palm Beach Post:
"I had four water balls in my first 10 holes. Not an ideal start, but the bounce-back was great. Iโm putting well, and going into next week with as much confidence as Iโve had this year."
That sounds like a man committed to having his game primed for Augusta. Increasing that confidence with a strong showing at Copperhead will put the Masters in his crosshairs.
Prediction
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Winner: Jordan Spieth
You have to love his confidence leaving Doral. He finished tied for 17th, but that 69 on Friday at one of the tougher courses was key.
โI had closer calls; this year I havenโt contended yet," he told Biggane. "(But) I feel my mental game is more ready to handle that situation, so from that standpoint, Iโm in better position than last year.โ
He can put it all together and get more confidence under his wings as he takes flight for Georgia.ย
Scott and Stenson will be in the mix as well, just as they were at Doral.ย







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