
2015 NFL Mock Draft: Full Order and Post-Super Bowl Outlook
That's it. Football is over. Games that count won't be coming back for seven months. Even ones that don't won't be around for six. We are entering the strange netherworld of society where niche sports suddenly get front-page attention and everyone has to pretend to be excited about spring training.
Sad times these are, these, like, couple of hours we've gone without football. And, already, you'll be surprised to know that there are football-tangential things to discuss. Parade routes are being drawn, babies are being kissed all about the New England area and the order for the 2015 NFL draft is finally set.
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Setting the draft order, of course, means one very important thing: There is no need to update mock drafts on a weekly basis anymore. The order of selections is no longer changing, which means the constant flip-flopping that's gone on the last couple of months can be eliminated. We can finally start crystallizing our opinions during the lead-up to the combine.
Will any of this happen? Of course not. This is the Internet. We live to change our opinions on a constant basis. It is the ecosystem around which we revolve. As such, let's take a look at the entire first round, with a special emphasis on the first 10 selections.
| 1 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon |
| 2 | Tennessee Titans | Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State |
| 3 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Leonard Williams, DL, USC |
| 4 | Oakland Raiders | Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama |
| 5 | Washington | Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa |
| 6 | New York Jets | Randy Gregory, DE/OLB, Nebraska |
| 7 | Chicago Bears | Dante Fowler Jr., DE/OLB, Florida |
| 8 | Atlanta Falcons | Shane Ray, DE/OLB, Missouri |
| 9 | New York Giants | Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson |
| 10 | St. Louis Rams | La'el Collins, OT, LSU |
| 11 | Minnesota Vikings | Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford |
| 12 | Cleveland Browns | DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville |
| 13 | New Orleans Saints | Shaq Thompson, OLB, Washington |
| 14 | Miami Dolphins | Landon Collins, S, Alabama |
| 15 | San Francisco 49ers | Danny Shelton, DT, Washington |
| 16 | Houston Texans | T.J. Clemmings, OT, Pittsburgh |
| 17 | Kansas City Chiefs | Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State |
| 18 | San Diego Chargers | Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma |
| 19 | Cleveland Browns (via Buffalo) | Devin Funchess, WR/TE, Michigan |
| 20 | Philadelphia Eagles | Marcus Peters, CB, Washington |
| 21 | Cincinnati Bengals | Kevin White, WR, West Virginia |
| 22 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Maxx Williams, TE, Minnesota |
| 23 | Detroit Lions | Eddie Goldman, DT, Florida State |
| 24 | Arizona Cardinals | Benardrick McKinney, ILB, Mississippi State |
| 25 | Carolina Panthers | Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami (Florida) |
| 26 | Baltimore Ravens | Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State |
| 27 | Dallas Cowboys | Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin |
| 28 | Denver Broncos | Alvin Dupree, DE/OLB, Kentucky |
| 29 | Indianapolis Colts | Cameron Erving, OL, Florida State |
| 30 | Green Bay Packers | Arik Armstead, DL, Oregon |
| 31 | Seattle Seahawks | Sammie Coates, WR, Auburn |
| 32 | New England Patriots | Devin Smith, WR, Ohio State |
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon
We'll be having the same Mariota vs. Winston debate for months. The latter camp will highlight projectable NFL traits—e.g. "We've seen guys like him before"—while brushing aside Winston's myriad off-field issues. The former camp will extol Mariota's leadership and quarterback-of-the-future qualities, brushing aside translatability and accuracy concerns.
For now, I'm sticking with Mariota at No. 1. He's been the top player on most boards throughout the 2014 season, and nothing we've seen on film should alter that. Mariota is who we thought he was. It may take him a little bit longer learning how to throw into smaller windows, but he brings a running dimension Winston lacks and has the arm strength to make every throw.
When splitting hairs, always go with the player around whom you're most comfortable building. There's no question here who wins that tiebreaker.
2. Tennessee Titans: Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State
There is also no question that the Titans should gallop up to the podium if Winston's available. This scenario really works out for Ken Whisenhunt and Co. I wouldn't trust Whisenhunt whatsoever to have patience developing someone like Mariota. His track record in that regard is spotty at best, and he's never seemed particularly interested in running quarterbacks.
Winston, a huge dude with a cannon for an arm, fits Whisenhunt's profile perfectly. What's more, he's not an abhorrent football player. In Arizona and Tennessee, Whisenhunt has shown a penchant for selecting big, raw quarterbacks in late rounds and then throwing them to the wolves before they're ready.
Winston is ready to play Week 1 as a football player. Whether he's able mentally and as a leader is a question we won't have answered until September.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: Leonard Williams, DL, USC
Gus Bradley is making headway turning the Jaguars into a competent defensive outfit. Jacksonville finished a semi-respectable 20th in Football Outsiders' DVOA metric, an improvement from 28th a year prior and an impressive feat given the resources devoted to improving the offense. (That change? Umm...we'll see.)
Williams might be the key to pushing the Jaguars into the realm of competency rather than purely below-average. He is Richard Seymour. There is no player in this class I'm surer about having a decade-long career or making a Pro Bowl, assuming health allows. Williams can slide inside in a 4-3 or outside in a 3-4 without much attrition, making him an excellent fit for Bradley, who loves versatile defensive linemen.
4. Oakland Raiders: Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama
The Raiders' leading receiver in 2014 was a 26-year-old street free agent who bounced around to three franchises before emerging as a competent player in Oakland. Their second-leading receiver was James Jones, who—surprise!—wasn't nearly as good without Aaron Rodgers throwing him the ball. Jones and Andre Holmes combined could not make one Antonio Brown.
So, perhaps it's time for the Raiders to nab Derek Carr his own young star at receiver in Cooper. The Alabama's game has dashes of Marvin Harrison mixed with some Roddy White. While he doesn't possess elite top-end speed, Cooper makes plays down the field with excellent route running, ball skills and football speed. He already has a keen understanding of how key movements and variations in route speed can get him separation to down the field.
With Carr averaging a pitiful 5.46 yards per attempt as a rookie, the Raiders need to find their young quarterback some weapons. Or, at the very least, ensure he's not Captain Checkdown 2.0.
5. Washington: Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa
Selecting Scherff, who projects as a right tackle at the next level, is a little high at No. 5. Washington should consider trading back if it wants to go this route. Since we're not doing that for this exercise—good lord, that would be insufferable—Washington chooses to take the plunge and shore up its offensive line.
The reasoning is simple: Washington's offensive line is abysmal. Outside of Trent Williams, everyone is replacement-level or worse. Washington quarterbacks get beat to holy hell regardless of who is under center; this team can't expect Robert Griffin III to ever get comfortable in the pocket again without giving him reason to feel it.
Scherff can be the start of following the Dallas blueprint of building up front to accentuate the targets outside.
6. New York Jets: Randy Gregory, OLB/DE, Nebraska

Hiring Todd Bowles allows the Jets to keep their base 3-4, which means we don't need to change much up here. Gregory would be a contender for the top overall pick if quarterback weren't a need in Tampa Bay. He's an all-around star around whom a pass rush can be built.
The Jets have struggled to create a pass rush off the edge despite the presence of Sheldon Richardson and Muhammad Wilkerson the past two seasons. That shouldn't be the case. Add Gregory to the mix, and suddenly you're looking at a formidable all-around unit.
7. Chicago Bears: Dante Fowler, DE/OLB, Florida
No analysis needed here. The Bears need to take the best defensive player on their board. No matter the position. Cornerback, safety, pass-rusher, whatever. It all needs a fix. Fowler's the guy I have rated highest here, but you wouldn't have to twist my arm hard here to make the pick Shane Ray or Landon Collins.
8. Atlanta Falcons: Shane Ray, DE/OLB, Missouri

The Falcons are in a largely similar situation. Their pass rush has been anemic since allowing John Abraham to walk before the 2013 season and wasn't all that stellar with him there. It's been a near-constant problem area that's only been exacerbated with Atlanta's offense falling outside the top 10 in DVOA each of the last two seasons.
Ray won't fix all the problems, but he will add pass-rushing help off the edge as the Falcons work on implementing Dan Quinn's defensive system. He can play as a down lineman or a rushing outside linebacker, which fits in well with Quinn's desired hybrid fronts. It'd be a major shock to see the Falcons go anywhere else if Ray's available.
9. New York Giants: Vic Beasley, DE/OLB, Clemson
The Giants have a decision to make about leading pass-rusher, Jason Pierre-Paul, who enters free agency after a 12.5-sack season. That decision will be made long before draft night, but Beasley is a proper insurance plan regardless. Pierre-Paul's had two excellent seasons as a pro. He's had three where he's looked replacement-level or downright terrible.
Adding Beasley, a somewhat raw but nonetheless talented pass-rusher, should help ensure New York doesn't continue a descent into pass-rushing irrelevance that began after its last Super Bowl. Just to be clear, though: It's possible the Giants pass on Beasley here for a better schematic fit. Landon Collins isn't a bad answer for the safety-needy bunch, nor would any of the available offensive linemen.
Beasley's the likeliest placeholder for now.
10. St. Louis Rams: La'el Collins, OT, LSU

Greg Robinson appears to have been a mistake at No. 2 last season. The Auburn product struggled mightily as a rookie and was really only ascended to the left tackle spot late due to injuries. More likely, Robinson settles long-term as a right tackle or interior linemen—think the Robert Gallery trajectory.
Collins, at his very basement, will be a long-term right tackle as a pro. He's improved every year at LSU and has the physical profile to translate to the next level. He's the rare player who markedly improved his tape and draft stock by coming back for a senior season. (Collins was a borderline first-rounder last season but decided to stay.)
Selecting Collins here may feel like a redundancy to some. In reality, it'll allow the Rams to make long-term plans about their offensive line.
Follow Tyler Conway (@tylerconway22) on Twitter

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