New York Giants vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

Two of the worst teams in the NFL will square off Sunday when the Jacksonville Jaguars host the New York Giants.

Surprisingly, the Giants have gone longer without a win than the Jaguars, riding a six-game losing streak and failing to cover the spread five times during that stretch heading into Jacksonville.

This is the 40th straight game that the Jaguars have been underdogs and marks a rare occasion when a 3-8 team manages to be a road favorite.

Point Spread: The Giants opened as 1.5-point favorites and are favored by three points as of Thursday afternoon. The total opened at 44.5.

Odds Shark Computer Pick: Giants 18.3, Jaguars 9.6

Why the Giants Can Cover the Spread

New York is playing a team that will be an underdog for the 40th straight time this week, so now is the perfect opportunity to bust out of this slump.

The Giants still have a lot of talent on their roster, and bettors saw what rookie wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. can do on his incredible touchdown catch last week against the Dallas Cowboys.

The Jaguars do not have anybody like Beckham on their entire roster. Even though New York lost that game 31-28 to the Cowboys, the team still managed to cover the spread for the first time in six games as a 4.5-point home underdog.

The Giants are playing a Jacksonville team that has gone 2-10-2 against the spread in its last 14 games, so they have to like their chances.

Why the Jaguars Can Cover the Spread

Believe it or not, the Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with New York despite losing three of the games. The Giants have also lost four games in a row both straight up and vs. the line as road favorites, so these particular trends definitely favor Jacksonville.

The Jaguars usually do not have much of anything going for them, so this is a start. Other than that, they also had their moments last week in a 23-3 loss to the Indianapolis Colts as 13-point road underdogs.

Jacksonville held the Colts to just a pair of field goals in the first half and played well defensively in limiting Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck to fewer than 300 passing yards for the first time in nine games.

If the Jaguars can do the same thing to Eli Manning, they will have a good chance to cover.

Smart Pick

This has the makings of an ugly matchup, and there is only one way to bet it—under the total. The under is 4-0 in New York’s last four games as a road favorite and 11-4 in Jacksonville’s past 15 as a home underdog.

Before erupting for 28 points against Dallas, the Giants had totaled 27 in their previous two games combined. The Jaguars have scored 17 or fewer points in three of their last four games while allowing progressively fewer points in each of their past four.

Either team is capable of winning this game, but neither is a sure thing to score a lot in this one, so play the under.

Betting Trends

• The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing Jacksonville.
• Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last five games when playing the Giants.

All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow us on Twitter for injury and line movement updates.