How Important Are Fantasy Football Mock Drafts?

Michael WhooleySenior Writer IJune 21, 2009

NEW ORLEANS - DECEMBER 07:  Pierre Thomas #23 and Reggie Bush #25 of the New Orleans Saints celebrate after defeating the Atlanta Falcons 29-25 on December 7, 2008 at the Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

In sixth edition of Bruno Boys Mailbag, I will be tackling a forum question from a reader who has concerns about the rapid growth of RBBC backfield around the NFL, as well as let you know why partaking in a mock draft or two before the season starts is a handy tool.

Last, but not least, we will provide you with some valuable information on how everyone should use a Commish Kit Draft Board at their fantasy football draft.

As always, if you have a question about a player or draft strategy send an email to contact@brunoboys.net and we will give you all the advice needed to make you successful. With that being said. lets get started on the June 18, 2009, edition of Bruno Boys Mailbag: Fantasy Football Q & A


QUESTION: Seriously, has the whole RBBC thing altered Fantasy Football more than anything else in the past few years? I used to think it was just a stop-gap measure for teams that either were worrying about over-using their stud RB, or possibly buying time until their rookie sensation came of age. Instead, it seems the majority of teams now implement this strategy for a number of reasons, all to the charging of us Fantasy Football players. Any thoughts? -- (big peeler)

ANSWER:  Big Peeler...Pretty ironic that you ask this question because our newest writer Bruno Boys Jimbo just finished up an article about the rapid rise of RBBC's in the AFC and NFC.

As we all know the NFL is a copy-cat league, and if one team has success by employing a RBBC throughout the season the rest of the league is going to jump on the bandwagon and start doing the same.

Just four years ago, there was a select few teams who split time between running backs, but now at least 10 teams have true committee approaches and by the end of the season you can expect another 3-5 teams to be in the mix.

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The reason for this is because the average shelf life of a running back is less than five years and with NFL players being such big investments these days owners don't want to see their star player suffer a career-ending injury before the age of 30.

By getting two quality options on one team, teams gain the ability to keep both fresh and often times a new running back can change the dynamic of the offense and create problems for opposing defenses. 

With half the league sharing carries it really makes snagging a true RB1 who is a workhorse even more important in fantasy football.

Because of this, I am still a true believer that your first round pick in a standard scoring league should be a running back.

Reason being is that if you snag wide receivers and quarterbacks early and are stuck with your RB1 being part of a RBBC, which will lead to inconsistency from the RB position. 

When I am targeting RB's in my 2009 fantasy football drafts, I am going to target two workhorse RB options right out of the gate and a few rounds later back them up with quality options who are in a RBBC.

Remember, the fact that so many teams split carries means there is a lot more depth than usual at the position.


QUESTION: So I have been playing fantasy football since 1993 and haven't really been hip to all the new technology in the industry but I keep reading articles about Mock Drafts and Average-Draft-Position and I am confused. Does it really benefit you to do a Mock Draft before your regular drafts and how important is ADP? Please help! -- (Tyler, Kansas City, MO)

ANSWER: Tyler...I started playing the game of fantasy football in 1993 as well at the age of 10 as well, and man, has it changed. There was no date on ADP or Mock Draft software that you can practice on, hell, the Internet wasn't even popular in '93.

I remember the days of busting out the USA Today on a daily basis to get NFL stats and Monday morning box scores. Now, as the play happens, we have stat trackers telling us how many fantasy points each owner has.

It's amazing how much technology has changed, but to be honest I think it's for the good.

I wouldn't recommend you quit your day job and start mocking all day long and looking at the ADP of every mock draft on-line, but it wouldn't hurt for you to participate in a mock draft of two leading up to your live draft.

It helps you get the cobwebs off—as we draft only during a two-month window each year—makes your adrenaline flow and really gives you a good idea of where specific players are flying off the board.

As for ADP, I firmly believe it's a true indicator that allows you to see what your peers and industry experts think of a specific player before the season starts.

By looking into the ADP of a specific player or players you are actually preparing yourself to identify fair market value for those players.

For example, let's say Brandon Jacobs is your favorite player and you have the sixth pick in the draft and want to take Jacobs, but you look at his ADP and realize he is being drafted between the 16th-18th pick.

You are better off targeting a player who's ADP is in the 6-8 range and taking an educated risk that Jacobs will be available when you draft again in round two.

There are times when you need to trust your gut and take the player you have been targeting depending on his ADP, but by using this model to your advantage it will help you identify trends from your opponents and make sure you aren't reaching on guys that you can get a round or two later.



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