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Kentucky Derby 2013 Post Positions: How Post Slots Shake Up the Odds

Rob Goldberg
Jun 8, 2018

The post position at the Kentucky Derby is nearly as important as the speed of the horse.

History has shown that it's tough to win from the outside, although the past two years proved it is possible with victories by I'll Have Another and Animal Kingdom.

Meanwhile, Ferdinand was the last horse to win from the No. 1 post, and that was in 1986.

Post position clearly plays a huge role in determining who will win. As a result, the top horses in this year's field have seen a significant change in their odds heading into Saturday.

Full Post Positions (Odds courtesy ofย Racing Daily Form)

1Black Onyx
Joe Bravo
Kelly Breen
50-1
2ย Oxbow
Gary Stevens
D. Wayne Lukas
30-1
3Revolutionaryย Calvin Borelย Todd Pletcher
10-1
4Golden SoulRobby Albaradoย Dallas Stewartย 50-1
5Normandy Invasion
Javier Castellano
Chad Brown
12-1
6Mylute
Rosie Napravnik
Tom Amoss
15-1
7Giant FinishJose L. Espinozaย Anthony W. Dutrowย 50-1
8Goldencentsย Kevin Kriggerย Doug O'Neillย 5-1
9Overanalyzeย Rafael Bejaranoย Todd Pletcherย 15-1
10Palace Maliceย Mike Smithย Todd Pletcherย 20-1
11Lines of Battleย Ryan Mooreย Aidan O'Brienย 30-1
12Itsmyluckydayย Elvis TrujilloEddie Plesa Jr.ย 15-1
13Falling Skyย Luis Saezย John Terranova IIย 50-1
14Verrazano
John R. Velazquez
Todd Pletcher
4-1
15Charming Kitten
Edgar Prado
Todd Pletcher
20-1
16OrbJoel Rosario
Claude R. McGaughey III
7-2
17Will Take ChargeJon Court
D. Wayne Lukas
20-1
18Frac DaddyVictor Lebronย Kenny McPeek
50-1
19Java's Warย Julien Leparouxย Kenny McPeekย 15-1
20VyjackGarrett Gomez
Rudy Rodriguez

15-1

*Post positions via theย Kentucky Derby'sย official Twitter account.

No. 14 Verrazanoย 

Verrazano has been recognized as one of the favorites throughout, but the draw played a big role in as keeping it on top of the board.

The horse has won each of its four races, with all of them coming from fast starts while generally remaining on the outside. Trainer Todd Pletcher did not want Verrazano trapped inside or pushed to a fast start.

Fortunately, the No. 14 post will avoid both issues as the horse can stay relatively far away from the rail and will be outside of fast starters Goldencents and Falling Sky. Additionally, it will have some extra room on the right side because of theย auxiliaryย gate.

This contender had a good chance to win before, and the odds look even better now.

No. 20 Vyjack

One of the sleepers in this field is Vyjack, which won each of its first four races before finishing third at the Wood Memorial. However, each race has been at Aqueduct, and the lack of experience on other tracks could hurt.

Still, the biggest issue in the upcoming race is a poor post.ย 

Sitting at the furthest spot will give the horse very little chance to get into a good position early. In a crowded field, it does not have enough pure speed to catch the leaders and finish near the front.

A decent bet before the draw, Vyjack has now become too much of a risk.

No. 8 Goldencents

Like Verrazano, Goldencents received a good draw to become a top contender in this prestigious race.

At the No. 8 spot, jockey Kevin Krigger can get out to a strong start ahead of the congestion and cruise comfortably in front of the pack.ย 

Trainer Doug O'Neill led I'll Have Another to the win in last year's Kentucky Derby, and his experience should help Goldencents do well this time around. After winning the Santa Anita Derby, there are few better options heading into the race.