March Madness 2013: Top Seeds That Will Fall Long Before Final Four
March Madness is all about predicting the upsets and when making those difficult selections, remembering the history of the NCAA tournament.
Take a look at this video called "Numbers Never Lie" by ESPN.com's staff.
Over the last 15 years of March Madness, all of the No. 2 seeds have made the Sweet 16 just one time. As for the No. 1 seeds, all four have only made the Final Four one time.
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History does not lie with these statistics, and this year could be wilder than years past thanks to each top-seeded team having inconsistencies at various times throughout the season.
Do not pick all of the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds to make it far in the tournament. History shows that at least a few will be out earlier than expected.
Here are three No. 1 or No. 2 seeds that will fall in the Sweet 16 or earlier.
No. 1 Gonzaga Bulldogs (West Region)
Can the nation's top-ranked team really fall this early?
The Bulldogs will make it past No. 16 Southern University, but it is the next round that should worry Gonzaga.
The 'Zags will draw either No. 8 Pittsburgh or No. 9 Wichita State. Neither team will be an easy one to defeat.
Pitt boasts a strong inside game and a very stout defense that only allows 55.4 points per game, which is good for sixth in the nation.
The Panthers slow teams down, limit their ability to score and have a strong inside presence with freshman center Steven Adams, senior forward Dante Taylor and junior forward Talib Zanna.
Wichita State attacks the lanes, gets to the rim and also rebounds the ball very well. It plays with a deep rotation that tries to wear down opponents with a variety of defensive looks.
The Shockers have the potential to take down the 'Zags, but Pittsburgh matches up a little better against the West region's top seed.
Either way, Gonzaga has a difficult road to get past the Sweet 16 and will fall before then to Pittsburgh, Wichita State or Wisconsin.
No. 2 Miami Hurricanes (East Region)
Miami is one of the hotter teams in the country right now, as they are coming off an ACC tournament title.
The Hurricanes have a solid team with the confidence and swagger to pull off big wins, but they will face some formidable opponents early in the tournament.
Miami will draw either the No. 7-seeded Illinois Fighting Illini or the No. 10-seeded Colorado Buffaloes. Both of these teams have the ability to hang with a high seed and push them to the limit.
Illinois has wins over Indiana and Ohio State this season and struggles at times, but if guards Brandon Paul and D.J. Richardson can knock down shots, the Illini can push Miami to the brink.
Colorado head coach Tad Boyle knows that his Buffaloes can compete. They rebound well and play solid defense, but they lack some of the offensive firepower needed to knock off the Hurricanes early in the tournament.
If Miami makes it past Illinois or Colorado, they will more than likely draw No. 3 Marquette or No. 6 Butler.
Marquette is scrappy and has been improving all season long. Buzz Williams' squad is ready for the opportunity to make a run and their chances of getting by Miami are favorable.
Butler is Butler. Brad Stevens' teams always bust brackets and it is getting difficult to pick against them. Of course, they can make a run if presented with the opportunity to take down the country's higher seeds, especially if Rotnei Clarke shoots lights out.
Miami has a very tough section of its region and will fall earlier than many expect.
No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks (South Region)
Kansas is another hot team that has a lot of talent. The Jayhawks can probably make a strong run at a Final Four, though it is their draw that works against them.
The Jayhawks will have a tough time against No. 8 North Carolina if the Tar Heels make it past No. 9 Villanova first.
North Carolina is playing better as the season goes on. Coach Roy Williams runs a high-octane offense that distributes the ball around and puts up points, which can absolutely challenge Kansas.
If the Jayhawks survive North Carolina, it is the Sweet 16 matchup that is really scary.
Kansas will most likely square up against No. 4 Michigan or No. 5 Virginia Commonwealth University.
Michigan is tough and has the nation's best player in Trey Burke. The Wolverines have a chip on their shoulder for under-performing down the back half of the season and are more than capable of stringing together a deep tournament run.
VCU is deadly with head coach Shaka Smart leading the way. The Rams have a stifling, swarming defense and shoot the ball very well. VCU also has the tournament experience after the miraculous run to the Final Four as a No. 11 seed in 2011 and going 6-2 in March Madness under Smart.
Kansas is in for a tough run and could be sent back to Lawrence earlier than it would have hoped.



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