The Schwach Indicator: March 10
This is the ninth week of the Schwach Indicator standings. For those of you who missed the explanation of this new evaluation tool, here's a quick recap.
As the NCAA tournament approaches every March, one starts hearing college basketball experts talk a lot about top 50 and top 100 wins when discussing a team's possible seed or whether or not a school deserves to be in the Big Dance at all.
I think these two criteria are important as well, but they're not perfect. Why? Because not all top 100 wins are created equal.
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So I set out to create a more precise evaluation system in which teams aren't grouped by 50 or 100, but individually according to their RPI.
I enlisted the help of two friends: Brad Wachtel, director of operations at Hoop Group, a New Jersey-based company that organizes basketball camps and runs an NCAA preseason tournament; and Mike Sverdlov, a computer programmer for New York Life.
We came up with the following formula.
For each victory, a team receives the number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank subtracted from 344. So if you beat the RPI's 144th-ranked team, you receive 200 points. Beat them at a neutral site, and you multiply that number by 1.25. Beat them on the road and multiply the number by 1.5.
For each loss, a team receives a deduction of the exact number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank. So you better not lose to the RPI's 300th-ranked team, or you'll lose 300 points. Lose to the top team in the country? No sweat, you drop only one point. But lose at home, and that number is multiplied by 1.5.
This way teams are rewarded for beating better teams (especially on the road) and punished for losing to worse teams (especially at home).
Check out Mosang Miles's latest slideshow articlegrouping teams by conferences and ranking the leagues based on the Schwach Indicator.
Without further ado, let's get to the rankings through action on Monday, March 9.
| 1 | Connecticut | 7951.75 |
| 2 | Pittsburgh | 7816.50 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 7749.00 |
| 4 | Memphis | 7450.75 |
| 5 | Michigan State | 7358.00 |
| 6 | Duke | 7198.50 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | 7122.00 |
| 8 | Louisville | 6874.00 |
| 9 | Villanova | 6301.00 |
| 10 | Wake Forest | 6214.75 |
| 11 | Kansas | 5985.00 |
| 12 | Xavier | 5874.25 |
| 13 | Florida State | 5737.25 |
| 14 | Clemson | 5620.00 |
| 15 | UCLA | 5600.25 |
| 16 | Washington | 5518.00 |
| 17 | Illinois | 5496.00 |
| 18 | Siena | 5468.75 |
| 19 | Butler | 5412.50 |
| 20 | Gonzaga | 5387.00 |
| 21 | Missouri | 5296.25 |
| 22 | Marquette | 5213.75 |
| 23 | Brigham Young | 5210.50 |
| 24 | Creighton | 5182.00 |
| 25 | West Virginia | 5176.00 |
| 26 | Syracuse | 5080.25 |
| 27 | Arizona State | 5077.00 |
| 28 | LSU | 5052.00 |
| 29 | California | 4951.00 |
| 30 | Purdue | 4864.50 |
| 31 | Dayton | 4856.50 |
| 32 | Utah | 4820.50 |
| 33 | Tennessee | 4639.00 |
| 34 | Ohio State | 4579.25 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | 4562.75 |
| 36 | Niagara | 4536.00 |
| 37 | Texas | 4432.25 |
| 38 | Boston College | 4311.00 |
| 39 | Minnesota | 4281.25 |
| 40 | Oklahoma State | 4251.75 |
| 41 | Wisconsin | 4211.75 |
| 42 | Saint Mary's | 4208.75 |
| 43 | Utah State | 4185.00 |
| 44 | Illinois State | 4126.75 |
| 45 | Northern Iowa | 4104.00 |
| 46 | Penn State | 4103.50 |
| 47 | UNLV | 3935.00 |
| 48 | New Mexico | 3903.50 |
| 49 | Temple | 3893.00 |
| 50 | UAB | 3769.75 |
| 51 | South Carolina | 3763.50 |
| 52 | Rhode Island | 3746.25 |
| 53 | Michigan | 3725.50 |
| 54 | Virginia Commonwealth | 3717.50 |
| 55 | Florida | 3644.75 |
| 56 | Arizona | 3643.25 |
| 57 | Georgetown | 3592.00 |
| 58 | Tulsa | 3564.25 |
| 59 | USC | 3515.00 |
| 60 | Virginia Tech | 3485.50 |
| 61 | San Diego State | 3411.25 |
| 62 | Maryland | 3397.00 |
| 63 | Davidson | 3366.50 |
| 64 | Auburn | 3361.00 |
| 65 | Kansas State | 3336.00 |
| 66 | Providence | 3234.00 |
| 67 | Miami (FL) | 3182.50 |
| 68 | Mississippi State | 3141.00 |
| 69 | George Mason | 3125.00 |
| 70 | Western Kentucky | 3115.00 |
| 71 | Vanderbilt | 3111.75 |
| 72 | Northwestern | 3068.00 |
| 73 | Cincinnati | 3062.00 |
| 74 | Cleveland State | 3058.75 |
| 75 | Kentucky | 3054.25 |
| 76 | UTEP | 2967.00 |
| 77 | Washington State | 2837.00 |
| 78 | Notre Dame | 2813.00 |
| 79 | Nebraska | 2753.00 |
| 80 | Wisconsin-Green Bay | 2728.75 |
| 81 | Stanford | 2603.00 |
| 82 | Vermont | 2486.00 |
| 83 | Old Dominion | 2481.50 |
| 84 | Northeastern | 2463.50 |
| 85 | Duquesne | 2448.50 |
| 86 | La Salle | 2436.75 |
| 87 | Hofstra | 2382.25 |
| 88 | Houston | 2361.50 |
| 89 | Baylor | 2319.00 |
| 90 | Wright State | 2233.25 |
| 91 | Arkansas-Little Rock | 2228.50 |
| 92 | Mississippi | 2161.00 |
| 93 | Nevada | 2159.50 |
| 94 | Seton Hall | 2148.25 |
| 95 | Bradley | 2139.00 |
| 96 | Saint Joseph's | 2129.25 |
| 97 | North Carolina State | 2088.50 |
| 98 | Binghamton | 2018.00 |
| 99 | Charleston | 2006.25 |
| 100 | Buffalo | 2005.50 |
| 101 | Iowa | 1986.75 |
| 102 | Alabama | 1902.25 |
| 103 | American University | 1900.50 |
| 104 | Evansville | 1846.00 |
| 105 | Fairfield | 1803.00 |
| 106 | Miami (OH) | 1658.25 |
| 107 | Wyoming | 1632.75 |
| 108 | Rider | 1557.25 |
| 109 | North Dakota State | 1542.75 |
| 110 | St. John's | 1490.25 |
| 111 | Weber State | 1441.50 |
| 112 | Boise State | 1388.00 |
| 113 | Drake | 1381.25 |
| 114 | Saint Louis | 1354.25 |
| 115 | Stephen F. Austin | 1321.00 |
| 116 | James Madison | 1203.00 |
| 117 | Richmond | 1193.50 |
| 118 | Drexel | 1187.00 |
| 119 | UCF | 1147.50 |
| 120 | Virginia | 1139.50 |
| 121 | Arkansas | 1078.50 |
| 122 | Oakland | 1024.50 |
| 123 | Texas Tech | 1022.00 |
| 124 | North Texas | 998.75 |
| 125 | TCU | 998.25 |
| 126 | Virginia Military | 978.50 |
| 127 | Milwaukee | 973.75 |
| 128 | Iowa State | 973.00 |
| 129 | Robert Morris | 970.00 |
| 130 | Portland | 952.00 |
| 131 | Wichita State | 927.75 |
| 132 | Akron | 879.00 |
| 133 | Troy | 834.25 |
| 134 | Oregon State | 828.00 |
| 135 | Cornell | 809.50 |
| 136 | Portland State | 701.50 |
| 137 | Manhattan | 700.00 |
| 138 | Kent State | 679.25 |
| 139 | Idaho | 663.00 |
| 140 | New Mexico State | 656.50 |
| 141 | Georgia Tech | 650.50 |
| 142 | Massachusetts | 616.00 |
| 143 | San Diego | 599.25 |
| 144 | Bowling Green | 589.75 |
| 145 | Southern Illinois | 564.50 |
| 146 | Illinois-Chicago | 557.00 |
| 147 | Liberty | 488.00 |
| 148 | St. Bonaventure | 477.00 |
| 149 | South Alabama | 466.50 |
| 150 | Radford | 448.50 |
| 151 | East Tennessee State | 422.75 |
| 152 | Southern Miss | 420.50 |
| 153 | Mount St. Mary's | 328.00 |
| 154 | South Florida | 311.25 |
| 155 | Texas A&M-CC | 300.00 |
| 156 | Marshall | 268.00 |
| 157 | Pacific | 203.00 |
| 158 | Boston University | 200.50 |
| 159 | Georgia | 147.75 |
| 160 | Tennessee-Martin | 139.00 |
| 161 | Citadel | 111.75 |
| 162 | Charlotte | 60.50 |
| 163 | Oral Roberts | 46.75 |
| 164 | Oregon | 44.25 |
| 165 | Morgan State | 40.00 |
| 166 | Middle Tennessee State | 21.00 |
| 167 | Sam Houston State | 5.50 |
| 168 | Long Beach State | -8.00 |
| 169 | Albany | -26.00 |
| 170 | Rutgers | -116.50 |
| 171 | Morehead State | -132.75 |
| 172 | Nicholls State | -166.50 |
| 173 | Santa Clara | -168.50 |
| 174 |



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