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The Schwach Indicator: March 10

Jordan SchwartzMar 9, 2009

This is the ninth week of the Schwach Indicator standings. For those of you who missed the explanation of this new evaluation tool, here's a quick recap.

As the NCAA tournament approaches every March, one starts hearing college basketball experts talk a lot about top 50 and top 100 wins when discussing a team's possible seed or whether or not a school deserves to be in the Big Dance at all.

I think these two criteria are important as well, but they're not perfect. Why? Because not all top 100 wins are created equal. 

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So I set out to create a more precise evaluation system in which teams aren't grouped by 50 or 100, but individually according to their RPI.

I enlisted the help of two friends: Brad Wachtel, director of operations at Hoop Group, a New Jersey-based company that organizes basketball camps and runs an NCAA preseason tournament; and Mike Sverdlov, a computer programmer for New York Life.

We came up with the following formula.

For each victory, a team receives the number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank subtracted from 344. So if you beat the RPI's 144th-ranked team, you receive 200 points. Beat them at a neutral site, and you multiply that number by 1.25. Beat them on the road and multiply the number by 1.5.

For each loss, a team receives a deduction of the exact number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank. So you better not lose to the RPI's 300th-ranked team, or you'll lose 300 points. Lose to the top team in the country? No sweat, you drop only one point. But lose at home, and that number is multiplied by 1.5.

This way teams are rewarded for beating better teams (especially on the road) and punished for losing to worse teams (especially at home). 

Check out Mosang Miles's latest slideshow articlegrouping teams by conferences and ranking the leagues based on the Schwach Indicator.

Without further ado, let's get to the rankings through action on Monday, March 9.

1Connecticut7951.75
2Pittsburgh7816.50
3North Carolina7749.00
4Memphis7450.75
5Michigan State7358.00
6Duke7198.50
7Oklahoma7122.00
8Louisville6874.00
9Villanova6301.00
10Wake Forest6214.75
11Kansas5985.00
12Xavier5874.25
13Florida State5737.25
14Clemson5620.00
15UCLA5600.25
16Washington5518.00
17Illinois5496.00
18Siena5468.75
19Butler5412.50
20Gonzaga5387.00
21Missouri5296.25
22Marquette5213.75
23Brigham Young5210.50
24Creighton5182.00
25West Virginia5176.00
26Syracuse5080.25
27Arizona State5077.00
28LSU5052.00
29California4951.00
30Purdue4864.50
31Dayton4856.50
32Utah4820.50
33Tennessee4639.00
34Ohio State4579.25
35Texas A&M4562.75
36Niagara4536.00
37Texas4432.25
38Boston College4311.00
39Minnesota4281.25
40Oklahoma State4251.75
41Wisconsin4211.75
42Saint Mary's4208.75
43Utah State4185.00
44Illinois State4126.75
45Northern Iowa4104.00
46Penn State4103.50
47UNLV3935.00
48New Mexico3903.50
49Temple3893.00
50UAB3769.75
51South Carolina3763.50
52Rhode Island3746.25
53Michigan3725.50
54Virginia Commonwealth3717.50
55Florida3644.75
56Arizona3643.25
57Georgetown3592.00
58Tulsa3564.25
59USC3515.00
60Virginia Tech3485.50
61San Diego State3411.25
62Maryland3397.00
63Davidson3366.50
64Auburn3361.00
65Kansas State3336.00
66Providence3234.00
67Miami (FL)3182.50
68Mississippi State3141.00
69George Mason3125.00
70Western Kentucky3115.00
71Vanderbilt3111.75
72Northwestern3068.00
73Cincinnati3062.00
74Cleveland State3058.75
75Kentucky3054.25
76UTEP2967.00
77Washington State2837.00
78Notre Dame2813.00
79Nebraska2753.00
80Wisconsin-Green Bay2728.75
81Stanford2603.00
82Vermont2486.00
83Old Dominion2481.50
84Northeastern2463.50
85Duquesne2448.50
86La Salle2436.75
87Hofstra2382.25
88Houston2361.50
89Baylor2319.00
90Wright State2233.25
91Arkansas-Little Rock2228.50
92Mississippi2161.00
93Nevada2159.50
94Seton Hall2148.25
95Bradley2139.00
96Saint Joseph's2129.25
97North Carolina State2088.50
98Binghamton2018.00
99Charleston2006.25
100Buffalo2005.50
101Iowa1986.75
102Alabama1902.25
103American University1900.50
104Evansville1846.00
105Fairfield1803.00
106Miami (OH)1658.25
107Wyoming1632.75
108Rider1557.25
109North Dakota State1542.75
110St. John's1490.25
111Weber State1441.50
112Boise State1388.00
113Drake1381.25
114Saint Louis1354.25
115Stephen F. Austin1321.00
116James Madison1203.00
117Richmond1193.50
118Drexel1187.00
119UCF1147.50
120Virginia1139.50
121Arkansas1078.50
122Oakland1024.50
123Texas Tech1022.00
124North Texas998.75
125TCU998.25
126Virginia Military978.50
127Milwaukee973.75
128Iowa State973.00
129Robert Morris970.00
130Portland952.00
131Wichita State927.75
132Akron879.00
133Troy834.25
134Oregon State828.00
135Cornell809.50
136Portland State701.50
137Manhattan700.00
138Kent State679.25
139Idaho663.00
140New Mexico State656.50
141Georgia Tech650.50
142Massachusetts616.00
143San Diego599.25
144Bowling Green589.75
145Southern Illinois564.50
146Illinois-Chicago557.00
147Liberty488.00
148St. Bonaventure477.00
149South Alabama466.50
150Radford448.50
151East Tennessee State422.75
152Southern Miss420.50
153Mount St. Mary's328.00
154South Florida311.25
155Texas A&M-CC300.00
156Marshall268.00
157Pacific203.00
158Boston University200.50
159Georgia147.75
160Tennessee-Martin139.00
161Citadel111.75
162Charlotte60.50
163Oral Roberts46.75
164Oregon44.25
165Morgan State40.00
166Middle Tennessee State21.00
167Sam Houston State5.50
168Long Beach State-8.00
169Albany-26.00
170Rutgers-116.50
171Morehead State-132.75
172Nicholls State-166.50
173Santa Clara-168.50
174

🚨 Mitchell Headed to 1st Conference Finals

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