WWE: 7 Reasons CM Punk Will Not Remain Champion Through 2012

Drake Oz@drakeozbrSenior Writer IIJuly 23, 2012

WWE: 7 Reasons CM Punk Will Not Remain Champion Through 2012

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    CM Punk has been holding the WWE Championship since Nov. 20, 2011, when he won the title at Survivor Series by defeating Alberto Del Rio.

    Although he's yet to main event a pay-per-view in 2012 (how dumb is that?), Punk has done quite a lot to restore some of the prestige that the WWE title has lost throughout the years.

    He's put on some great feuds with the likes of Chris Jericho and Daniel Bryan, and he's consistently given us some fantastic performances in the ring. Along the way, he's fended off each and every challenger looking to take his WWE title.

    As a result, many fans can't even begin to imagine when Punk will lose the WWE Championship, with some even thinking that he'll hold it until 2013.

    But rest assured, that won't happen.

    Here are seven reasons why CM Punk will not remain WWE Champion through the rest of 2012.

7. His Need to Do Something Different in Order to Avoid Becoming Stale

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    As mentioned in the intro slide, CM Punk has done an excellent job as WWE Champion.

    But going all the way back to his match with John Cena at Money in the Bank in 2011, Punk has been at the forefront of the WWE title scene, holding the belt for more than eight months now.

    I don't think that Punk has become stale as WWE Champion, but even though he's one of the most popular stars in the company, there's a good chance that he eventually will.

    After all, when you really think about it, there's not much that Punk hasn't done over the last year or so since that Money in the Bank win.

    He's feuded with Triple H, John Cena, Alberto Del Rio, Dolph Ziggler, Chris Jericho, Daniel Bryan and Kane, among others. He's competed in Elimination Chamber, Hell in a Cell and TLC matches. He's cut dozens upon dozens of great promos.

    I mean, what hasn't he done?

    There comes a time when every champion who's had a very lengthy title reign will become stale, no matter how over that star is at different points throughout his title run.

    Punk hasn't reached that point yet, but as he inches closer toward the one-year mark as WWE Champion, he may.

    And if/when he does, the WWE will need to put the title on someone else.

6. The Rock's Vow to Win the WWE Championship

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    The night after beating John Cena at WrestleMania 28 in what was his most recent appearance on Monday Night Raw, The Rock vowed to return to win the WWE Championship and has continued to do so on Twitter.

    Do you really think The Rock would be making these bold claims if there weren't plans to have him win the WWE title at some point? I sure don't.

    I'm actually not even saying that The Rock will become WWE Champion in 2012. But realistically, I'm not sure that matters.

    The Rock is returning to Raw tonight and will likely make his presence felt in the WWE title picture, he''s probably going to be making an appearance on WWE TV this fall and there are rumors that he will wrestle once or twice before WrestleMania 29 next year.

    When you combine all of those factors—plus The Rock's constant Twitter teases with Punk and his beef with Cena—you have to think that there's a realistic chance that The Rock ends up as WWE Champion at some point this year.

    At the very least, though, odds are that he'll end up doing something that costs someone (likely Punk) the WWE title.

5. There Are Too Many Guys Who Want or Will Want the WWE Championship

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    CM Punk has fended off every challenger who's come his way so far, but his luck is going to run out at some point.

    Just right now, Punk has John Cena breathing down his neck, with Big Show lurking somewhere nearby.

    Plus, it's not like the challengers for Punk are going to stop lining up anytime soon.

    Down the road, you have to think that a plethora of stars are going to want to challenge for the WWE Championship, including guys like The Miz, Wade Barrett and Cody Rhodes or big-time superstars such as The Rock and Brock Lesnar.

    You never really know what creative's mindset will be, who will be getting big pushes and/or who will step up out of nowhere to pursue the WWE title.

    Although the WWE roster sometimes seems thin, there are actually plenty of guys who would love to win the WWE title and be a credible threat to do so.

    If Punk has to defend his WWE title against four more main event caliber superstars in 2012, you have to think that one of those guys will eventually beat him.

4. As a Babyface, the Odds Are Usually Stacked Against Him and Will Catch Up

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    CM Punk has overcome the odds a number of times during his current title reign.

    Examples of this are when he faced two heels, The Miz and Alberto Del Rio, in a TLC Match last year or when he defended his WWE Championship in the Elimination Chamber this February.

    The WWE has done a great job of having Punk prevail in situations he never should have gotten out of, but the fact that Punk is a babyface means that the odds will get the best him of him one day.

    Were Punk a heel WWE Champion, he could lie, cheat and steal his way to victory when he needed to.

    But because Punk has become a clear-cut babyface, he takes the honest approach and only wins his matches in clean fashion. Unfortunately for Punk, the same can't be said for most of his opponents.

    They will do anything—no matter how dirty or cheap—to win the WWE Championship, which means that the odds are generally stacked against Punk storyline-wise in just about every situation.

    The heels tend to have the advantage, and especially when you have heel authority figures like John Laurinaitis around, those heels tend to get put in better and more advantageous situations.

    As noted before, Punk has overcome those odds so many times already.

    That has to catch up to him at some point, right?

3. He'd Have to Hold It for 400-Plus Days to Make It to 2013 as Champion

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    At the time of this writing, CM Punk has held the WWE Championship for 246 days.

    To make it to end of 2012 as champion, he will have to hold the title for more than 400 days.

    Think about how much can happen in a 150-plus day span, and then think about the chances of Punk remaining champion for that much longer.

    Were that to happen, that would mean that Punk is currently only at about the 60-percent mark of a 400-day reign.

    It's crazy and borderline absurd to think that he can realistically hold onto the title that much longer.

    In order to do that, he'd likely have to have at least five (if not more) successful title defenses, and he'd have to survive John Cena again, another Hell in a Cell and another TLC match—at the bare minimum.

    What are the chances of that actually happening? At least in my view, not very good.

2. No One Has Held the WWE Title That Long in Almost 25 Years

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    In the last slide, I mentioned that in order to hold the WWE Championship until 2013, CM Punk's title reign would have to last another 150-plus days and more than 400 days total.

    Well, just take a wild guess as to when the last time a WWE Champion held the title for more than 400 days.

    Done guessing?

    It was way back in February of 1988, when Hulk Hogan's 1,474-day reign (1984 to 1988) as WWE Champion ended at the hands of Andre the Giant.

    So, yes, Punk would undoubtedly be making history if he held onto the WWE Championship until Jan. 1, 2013. 

    He would officially have the eighth-longest WWE title reign ever and the longest WWE title reign of the modern era.

    I like Punk just as much as most do, but it's asking a lot to think that he'll have the longest title reign in 24 years, one that surpasses the notable reigns of household names like Triple H and John Cena.

1. He May Lose the Title Tonight or at Some Point During His Feud with John Cena

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    Let's just be honest with ourselves here: CM Punk's reign as WWE Champion may end tonight.

    On tonight's historic 1,000th episode of Monday Night Raw, Punk will defend his title against John Cena in what is truly one of the biggest matches in Raw history.

    Cena has largely been out of the WWE Championship picture for almost a year now, and he hasn't actually held the title since Oct. 2, 2011, when he lost it to Alberto Del Rio at Hell in a Cell.

    I think we all know that Cena is "due" for a WWE Championship win in the near future, and most of us can agree that it's going to happen soon.

    The only question is how soon.

    Could it be tonight? Could it be at SummerSlam? Could it be at some point this fall?

    I really don't know exactly when it will be, but I find it incredibly hard to believe that Cena's upcoming feud with Punk won't result in him winning the WWE title at some point.

    It's pretty much a given that he will.

    Drake Oz is a WWE Featured Columnist for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on Twitter and ask him any wrestling-related questions on Formspring.