NFL MVP Race 2024-25: Latest Predictions After Updated Odds Entering Week 15

Josh Allen made NFL history on Sunday.

He may have put the MVP race to bed, too.

There's still too much of the campaign remaining to officially call the vote, but Allen's first-of-its-kind performance—three passing touchdowns and three rushing scores in the same contest—has all but convinced oddsmakers he'll take home the prize.

After laying out the latest MVP odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, we'll dig into Allen's case and then spotlight one sleeper candidate who might be worth your wager.

MVP Odds

Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - DECEMBER 8: Saquon Barkley #26 of the Philadelphia Eagles runs the ball against the Carolina Panthers at Lincoln Financial Field on December 8, 2024 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)

Josh Allen (-400, bet $400 to win $100)

Saquon Barkley (+450, bet $100 to win $450)

Jared Goff (+1000)

Lamar Jackson (+1000)

Patrick Mahomes (+4000)

Sam Darnold (+5000)

Jayden Daniels (+6500)

Jalen Hurts (+6500)

Jordan Love (+10000)

Baker Mayfield (+10000)

Joe Burrow (+10000)

T.J. Watt (+10000)

Kyler Murray (+10000)

Justin Herbert (+10000)

The Favorite: Josh Allen (-400)

Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images

INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA - DECEMBER 08: Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills throws a pass against the Los Angeles Rams during the second quarter at SoFi Stadium on December 08, 2024 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images)

After Allen put 342 passing yards, 82 rushing yards and six total scores on his team, Los Angeles Rams coach Sean McVay could only call the quarterback an "alien."

Allen surely feels in a universe all his own in this MVP race. Only Lamar Jackson comes close to Allen's all-purpose production, but Jackson's eight-win Baltimore Ravens can't match the team success of Allen's 10-win Buffalo Bills. And Allen doesn't have as many proven playmakers around him as Jackson has at his disposal.

The totality of Allen's MVP case feels impossible to argue against. Buffalo appeared in real danger of taking a sizable step back given the roster turnover it experienced last offseason. Instead, the Bills have already wrapped up the AFC East, hold the conference's No. 2 seed and have the league's second-best point differential (plus-129).

As for individual production, Allen already has the second-most rushing touchdowns of his career (nine) and has never taken better care of the football (five interceptions). His 64.1 completion percentage is third-highest of his career, his 101.9 quarterback rating is his second best and his 76.7 QBR is the highest he's ever scored. So, he may not be top-10 in passing yards (3,033, 11th) or top-five in passing touchdowns (23, sixth), but his numbers are incredible nevertheless.

The Sleeper: Jared Goff (+1000)

Cooper Neill/Getty Images

DETROIT, MI - DECEMBER 05: Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions throws the ball during an NFL football game against the Green Bay Packers at Ford Field on December 5, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

Is it fair to call someone a sleeper when they're tied for the third-best odds? It feels like it in this case, since Jared Goff's resume feels a lot stronger than plus-1000 odds would indicate.

Just consider his statistical case here. He has the league's second-best completion percentage (72.4) and second-best quarterback rating (109.1). He is eighth in passing yards (3,265) and fifth in passing touchdowns (25). His 8.2 yards per pass attempt are third-highest in the league and only 0.1 yards back of the leader.

Oh yeah, and he's quarterbacking a 12-1 Lions team with a still-intact 11-game winning streak and a staggering plus-183 point differential.

You can find players with flashier stats, but Goff's are still pretty great, and no one is touching him when it comes to team success. A productive, reliable quarterback steering the NFL's best, highest-scoring team is always a legitimate MVP candidate, and Goff could make things pretty interesting if Detroit keeps winning at such a ridiculous rate.

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