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NFL Playoff Odds: Where is the Smart Money Going This Weekend?

John RozumJun 4, 2018

Just because it's the postseason doesn't mean the betting game slows down. In fact, the betting game arguably intensifies accordingly as the magnitude of each game increases.

That being said, here is what to do on Wild Card Weekend.

Click the link to view the Wild Card Weekend NFL Line. Favorites are in ALL CAPS. 

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Cincinnati Bengals at HOUSTON TEXANS -3

In their first meeting this year, the Texans outgained Cincinnati 412 to 285; however, they turned the ball over four times and still won a big road game, 20-19. It was easily T.J. Yates' best performance and he did so without Andre Johnson.

This time around Houston get the Bengals at home. The Texans will showcase arguably the NFL's best defense and Johnson will be close to 100 percent healthy.

Add in Houston's No. 2 rushing attack and awesome two-back tandem of Arian Foster and Ben Tate, and the Bengals defense will get scored on. Now, Cincinnati will also move the ball because of playmakers like AJ Green and Jerome Simpson.

Unfortunately, they don't have the offense to be efficient against the Texans. It's not a blowout but Houston covers the spread.

Take the Texans against the spread


Detroit Lions at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5

Another regular season rematch, the Saints bested the Lions at home 31-17 in Week 13. As for this game, it will be an eerily similar differential but on a much higher scale.

Detroit knows they will have to outscore New Orleans so expect a big day from Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson. No one on the Saints defense can cover Megatron one-on-one and he'll also beat most double-coverages.

Not to mention the Saints rank No. 30 in pass defense while not forcing too many turnovers. As for their offense, Drew Brees will once again dial up a 400-plus yard/multi-TD day. The Lions defense is weak against both the rush and pass, whereas the Saints excel at both on offense.

It looks like an appealing spread being that the Lions put up 41 at Green Bay, however, not only do the Saints rarely lose at home, the average score in The Superdome for 2011 was 41-17 in New Orleans' favor.

Take the Saints against the spread


Atlanta Falcons at NEW YORK GIANTS -3

Two closely related teams with excellent passing offenses, capable ground games and vulnerable pass defenses, the Falcons face the Giants at The Meadowlands in New Jersey.

The biggest difference in this game is which team will be able to get a better pass rush. We know the Giants will get to Matt Ryan thanks to Jason Pierre-Paul, Chris Canty and Justin Tuck. But can Atlanta get to Eli Manning with John Abraham, Ray Edwards and Johnathan Babineaux?

Abraham has been the most consistent of that group and Manning gets excellent protection from his offensive line. Plus, both Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw are solid pass-blockers.

Atlanta's Michael Turner isn't used in most passing situations, so his ability to do work on the ground and keep New York's defense honest is crucial. It will be a rather high-scoring affair and both are confident heading in.

But, with the game in New York, the Falcons will fall as they're just average on the road.

Take the Giants against the spread


PITTSBURGH STEELERS -8.5 at Denver Broncos

So we come to the biggest defensive slug-fest of them all, Pittsburgh at Denver. The Broncos offense will get shutdown for the most part, mainly because they lack any sort of threatening pass game or balance on offense.

The Steel Curtain will force some turnovers and the Broncos only chance to move the ball will be on the ground. That said, it will be a slow game for Tim Tebow and Co.

As for The Orange Crush, they get to face a not-100 percent Ben Roethlisberger and a weakened ground game in Pittsburgh. The Steelers have struggled on the ground all year anyway, so expect them to try and air it out to stretch the Broncos defense.

But with pass-rushers Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil, Big Ben won't have much time to throw and Denver will prevent the Steelers from having any success on the ground. In turn, Pittsburgh needs to win the field position battle as they'll punt more often than not.

Regardless of who wins, it's within one scoring possession.

Take the Broncos and the points

Follow John Rozum on Twitter

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