Super Bowl 2023: Updated Odds and Predictions for Championship Tilt

Maurice Bobb@@ReeseReportFeatured Columnist IJanuary 19, 2023

Super Bowl 2023: Updated Odds and Predictions for Championship Tilt

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    Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes looks to pass against the Denver Broncos during an NFL football game Sunday, Jan. 1, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Ed Zurga)
    AP Photo/Ed Zurga

    Now that the wild in the NFL's Wild Card Weekend is over, only eight teams remain in the chase for the 2023 Super Bowl.

    As much as fans are looking forward to the big game at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, there's still the divisional and conference rounds to get through before that.

    The Jacksonville Jaguars, Cincinnati Bengals, Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs will be battling it out to see who comes out of the AFC, while the NFC's remaining teams are the New York Giants, Dallas Cowboys, Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers.

    The frontrunners like the Eagles, Chiefs, Bills and 49ers are getting a lot of attention from bettors, but underdogs like the Giants and Jaguars will always be of interest to those looking for a big profit.

    With a slate of four games for this weekend, here's a look at the latest odds and predictions for which team will end up hoisting the Lombardi Trophy to cap off the 2022 season.

Super Bowl 2023 Odds

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    San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) during an NFL football game against the Los Angeles Chargers in Santa Clara, Calif., Sunday, Nov. 13, 2022. (AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
    AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez
    • Kansas City Chiefs +300
    • Buffalo Bills +350
    • San Francisco 49ers +450
    • Philadelphia Eagles +500
    • Dallas Cowboys +800
    • Cincinnati Bengals +800
    • New York Giants +2500
    • Jacksonville Jaguars +3500

    Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

AFC Winner Prediction: Buffalo Bills

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    ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK - JANUARY 15: Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills looks to pass against the Miami Dolphins during the second half of the game in the AFC Wild Card playoff game at Highmark Stadium on January 15, 2023 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Bryan M. Bennett/Getty Images)
    Bryan M. Bennett/Getty Images

    Heading into this weekend, the Kansas City Chiefs have been dubbed the favorites to come out of the AFC, which is hard to argue against considering that they finished the regular season tied for the best record in the NFL.

    But the Chiefs have a very slim margin over the Buffalo Bills, who finished the year with the league's third-best record.

    Kansas City and Buffalo are both favored to win this weekend to set up a potential powerhouse AFC Championship Game showdown.

    But first, the Chiefs will have to get past the Jacksonville Jaguars, who ended the regular season on a five-game winning streak and just pulled off an improbable 27-point comeback wild-card win over the Los Angeles Chargers.

    Then the Bills will have to beat the Cincinnati Bengals, who made it all the way to the Super Bowl last year and finished on an eight-game winning streak of their own.

    On paper, Kansas City should have no problem dispatching Jacksonville, but Buffalo won't have an easy task in doing the same to Cincy.

    In the end, though, it appears that the Bills and Chiefs will face off in the AFC Championship Game, and while this is likely Mahomes' year to take home the MVP, this should be Josh Allen's year to go to the Super Bowl.

NFC Winner Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles

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    Philadelphia Eagles' Jalen Hurts plays during an NFL football game, Sunday, Jan. 8, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)
    AP Photo/Matt Slocum

    There seems to be a bit more parity in the NFC, especially when it comes to expectations.

    At the end of the regular season, the Philadelphia Eagles had the conference's best record, followed closely by the San Francisco 49ers. In fifth and sixth place were the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants, who both secured wild-card wins on the road to advance to this point.

    The oddsmakers have the 49ers coming out of the NFC. San Francisco is led by the surprising Brock Purdy at quarterback, a reenergized Christian McCaffrey at running back and a top-rated defense against the pass and the rush. But the Eagles won't be an easy out by any means if Jalen Hurts, a likely top-three finalist in the MVP voting, is able to play through the pain in his throwing shoulder and perform to his usual standards.

    The odds are against both the Giants and the Cowboys, who are running into teams that have made very few mistakes to get to this point.

    After this weekend, it's likely that Philly will face off against San Francisco to see who will represent the NFC. Bet on the former to punch its ticket to Arizona.

Super Bowl Winner: Buffalo Bills

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    ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK - JANUARY 08: Stefon Diggs #14 of the Buffalo Bills celebrates after catching a touchdown  during the fourth quarter against the New England Patriots at Highmark Stadium on January 08, 2023 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Bryan M. Bennett/Getty Images)
    Bryan M. Bennett/Getty Images

    There are Buffalo Bills fans old enough to know what it's like to go to four consecutive Super Bowls and lose all of them.

    Those diehards have endured a lot, but they're likely finally going to get the Super Bowl win they deserve. The Bills have the second-best odds to win it all, but that doesn't tell the whole story.

    The Bills have suffered playoff heartbreak for three straight seasons, losing in overtime to the Houston Texans in the 2019 wild-card round before two straight exits against the Kansas City Chiefs.

    Following the 2020 season, the Bills made it the AFC title game and took a 9-0 lead in Arrowhead Stadium, only for the Chiefs to storm back with 21 unanswered points to take a vice grip of the game and never let go.

    The next year in the divisional round, Buffalo took a three-point lead with 13 seconds remaining in regulation, but Kansas City gained 44 yards on two plays to set up Harrison Butker for the game-tying field goal as time expired. The Chiefs won the coin toss in overtime and drove down the field to score a touchdown and win the game in an outcome that led to the NFL changing overtime rules to ensure both teams would possess the ball in playoff games.

    After learning how it feels to lose in such devastating fashion, the Bills will be more desperate than anyone to not feel that way again. Josh Allen has put on his Superman cape more than once this season, and he's ready to do it again for Buffalo this postseason.