Waiver Wire Week 13: Stat Projections for Top Fantasy Pickups and Sleepers

Kristopher Knox@@kris_knoxCorrespondent INovember 30, 2022

Waiver Wire Week 13: Stat Projections for Top Fantasy Pickups and Sleepers

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    Titans WR Treylon Burks
    Silas Walker/Getty Images

    With the fantasy football playoffs right around the corner—and perhaps already here in some larger leagues—managers cannot afford lineup mistakes. This means that scrambling for a last-minute fill-in should be avoided at all costs.

    And Week 13 of the NFL season could require a few fill-ins. The Arizona Cardinals and Carolina Panthers will be on bye, while players such as Zach Ertz, Darren Waller, Elijah Mitchell and Darnell Mooney will be unavailable.

    For managers in need, it would be wise to target a quality replacement or two on the waiver wire.

    Here, we'll examine the top waiver-wire targets and potential sleepers for Week 13, break down their matchups and provide stat projections for each. All picks are based on points-per-reception (PPR) scoring.

Jared Goff, QB, Detroit Lions

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    DETROIT, MI - NOVEMBER 24:  Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) looks on during a timeout during a regular season NFL football game between the Buffalo Bills and the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day on November 24, 2022 at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan.  (Photo by Scott W. Grau/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
    Scott W. Grau/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

    With Kyler Murray on bye, Justin Fields dealing with a shoulder injury and Aaron Rodgers battling rib and thumb injuries, many managers could use a Plan B quarterback.

    Jared Goff could be the perfect Week 13 replacement. Because the Detroit Lions signal-caller has weapons like Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jamaal Williams at his disposal, he has been a fair fantasy play several times this season.

    In Week 12, for example, the 28-year-old passed for 240 yards and two touchdowns against a very good Buffalo Bills defense. His matchup this week won't be as daunting.

    The Jacksonville Jaguars are a scrappy football team, as evidenced by their stunning Week 12 upset of the Baltimore Ravens. However, they have allowed the eight-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, which bodes well for Goff managers.

    Goff provides virtually no rushing upside, but he should still have a solid floor against Jacksonville. He is rostered in only 46 percent of Yahoo leagues and 29 percent of ESPN leagues.

    Projection: 276 passing yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT

Kyren Williams, RB, Los Angeles Rams

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    KANSAS CITY, MO - NOVEMBER 27: Kyren Williams #23 of the Los Angeles Rams carries the ball against the Kansas City Chiefs during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on November 27, 2022 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)
    Cooper Neill/Getty Images

    No offense has been more disappointing in 2022 than that of the Los Angeles Rams. A lackluster running game has been part of the problem, but they may have found a spark in rookie fifth-round pick Kyren Williams.

    The Notre Dame product, 22, suffered an ankle injury in Week 1 and didn't return until Week 10. He saw his biggest workload of the season last week, finishing with 11 carries for 35 yards and three receptions for 25 yards.

    With Los Angeles getting little from its other running backs, managers can expect Williams' workload to continue growing. With a decent amount of PPR upside, he's worth an add in Week 13.

    Rams running backs also happen to have an enticing matchup this week, going against the Seattle Seahawks, which has allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing RBs in 2022.

    Williams is rostered in only 37 percent of Yahoo leagues and 19 percent of ESPN leagues.

    Projection: 65 rushing yards, 3 receptions, 31 receiving yards, 1 TD

Treylon Burks, WR, Tennessee Titans

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    GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN - NOVEMBER 17: Treylon Burks #16 of the Tennessee Titans celebrates a first down reception against the Green Bay Packers during the first quarter in the game at Lambeau Field on November 17, 2022 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
    Patrick McDermott/Getty Images

    When the Tennessee Titans lost rookie wideout Treylon Burks to a toe injury in Week 4, they eagerly awaited his return, even though he had only caught 10 passes through the first month.

    "Whenever he is ready, I'm excited for him to get back out there," head coach Mike Vrabel said in early November, per Jim Wyatt of the team's official website.

    Once the 22-year-old was able to return, the Titans wasted little time incorporating him into the offense. Over his past three games, he has caught 14 passes for 205 yards on 20 targets. He scored his first NFL touchdown last week after recovering a Derrick Henry fumble.

    Fantasy managers can see why the Titans were eager to have Burks back, as he adds a dynamic downfield element to the offense. Expect that to be on full display this week against former Tennessee receiver A.J. Brown and the Philadelphia Eagles.

    Philadelphia, which has allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers, is far from an ideal matchup. However, the Arkansas product's new role as a No. 1 target should provide a solid floor for managers who are able to land him.

    Burks is rostered in 51 percent of Yahoo leagues and only 38 percent of ESPN leagues.

    Projection: 5 receptions, 68 yards, 1 TD

Donovan Peoples-Jones, WR, Cleveland Browns

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    MIAMI GARDENS, FL - NOVEMBER 13: Donovan Peoples-Jones #11 of the Cleveland Browns runs with the ball against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium on November 13, 2022 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Joel Auerbach/Getty Images)
    Joel Auerbach/Getty Images

    Cleveland Browns wideout Donovan Peoples-Jones has started to establish himself as a reliable No. 2 receiver this season. While he had just two receptions for 16 yards in Week 12, he caught at least four passes in each of his previous four games.

    The question this week is whether the 23-year-old will continue to shine with a new quarterback. The Browns are expected to start Deshaun Watson after his suspension for violation of the league's personal conduct policy, which came after 25 women filed lawsuits accusing him of sexual misconduct or sexual assault, ended this week.

    We'd expect Peoples-Jones to maintain a prominent role in Cleveland's passing attack, and he should have a solid floor despite a not-so-great matchup with the Houston Texans.

    Because the Texans have been putrid against the run (32nd in rushing yards allowed), opposing teams don't frequently pass against them. As a result, Houston has allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers in 2022. Still, managers can expect the Michigan product to corral a handful of passes in Week 13.

    Peoples-Jones is rostered in 50 percent of Yahoo leagues and 42 percent of ESPN leagues.

    Projection: 4 receptions, 56 yards

    *Fantasy scoring and roster information via FantasyPros.