Updated 2023 NFL Draft Order After Sunday's Week 12 ResultsNovember 28, 2022
Updated 2023 NFL Draft Order After Sunday's Week 12 Results
The Houston Texans haven't used the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL draft since 2014, when they selected Jadeveon Clowney. But it's beginning to look quite likely that the team could have the top choice in 2023.
The 2022 NFL regular season is nearly through 12 weeks. The only remaining Week 12 game is a Monday night matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Indianapolis Colts. Then, there will be only six weeks to go.
After losing to the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, the Texans are a league-worst 1-9-1. Every other team in the league has at least three wins. But the potential draft order isn't too clear, because there are four teams with three victories and nine with four, so a lot can still change.
However, it could take drastic improvement (or the opposite) for a team to greatly modify its draft position down the stretch.
So, here's a look at how the draft order is shaping up at this point in the regular season.
Updated 2023 NFL Draft Order
1. Houston Texans (1-9-1)
2. Chicago Bears (3-9)
3. Detroit Lions (via Los Angeles Rams) (3-8)
4. Seattle Seahawks (via Denver Broncos) (3-8)
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7)
6. Carolina Panthers (4-8)
7. Philadelphia Eagles (via New Orleans Saints) (4-8)
8. Arizona Cardinals (4-8)
9. Green Bay Packers (4-8)
10. Las Vegas Raiders (4-7)
11. Houston Texans (via Cleveland Browns) (4-7)
12. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7)
13. Detroit Lions (4-7)
14. Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1)
15. Atlanta Falcons (5-7)
16. Seattle Seahawks (6-5)
17. Los Angeles Chargers (6-5)
18. New England Patriots (6-5)
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6)
20. Washington Commanders (7-5)
21. Baltimore Ravens (7-4)
22. New York Jets (7-4)
23. Cincinnati Bengals (7-4)
24. New York Giants (7-4)
25. Denver Broncos (via San Francisco 49ers) (7-4)
26. Tennessee Titans (7-4)
27. Dallas Cowboys (8-3)
28. Buffalo Bills (8-3)
29. Forfeited pick (via Miami Dolphins) (8-3)
30. Minnesota Vikings (9-2)
31. Kansas City Chiefs (9-2)
32. Philadelphia Eagles (10-1)
Draft order via Tankathon.com.
Texans Continue Their Post-Bye Tailspin
The Texans' losing streak began after their Week 6 bye, and it's now reached six games after their 30-15 loss to the Dolphins. It wasn't a competitive game, either, as Miami outscored Houston 30-0 in the first half.
There was also a quarterback change made to try to spark the Texans' offense. They turned from Davis Mills to Kyle Allen, who went 26-for-39 for 215 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Most of his success came when the game was already out of reach, though.
In Week 13, Houston will host the Cleveland Browns. It'll also happen to be former Texans QB Deshaun Watson's Browns debut, as it will be the first week he's eligible to play following his suspension. And Cleveland is coming off an impressive overtime win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Then, the Texans will play three of the best teams in the NFL (the Dallas Cowboys, Kansas City Chiefs and Tennessee Titans) in the following weeks. So it seems Houston's struggles will continue, unless it can take down Cleveland on Sunday.
Can Bears End Losing Skid Before Bye?
The Bears' bye is coming up in Week 14, so they have only one more game to play before that point. The break is coming at a good time, as they've lost five straight following their 3-4 start to the season.
Before that, Chicago will host Green Bay for an NFC North matchup in Week 13. And it could be a more winnable game for the Bears than it has been in past years.
However, it could come down to the health of the two starting quarterbacks. Justin Fields missed Chicago's Week 12 loss to the Jets due to a shoulder injury, so Trevor Siemian started for the Bears. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers exited Green Bay's loss to the Eagles with a rib injury, which led to Jordan Love taking over under center for the Packers.
Either Rodgers or Love would likely have success against Chicago's defense, but the Bears probably need Fields at QB in order to have a chance to win. If Fields is out and Chicago loses, then it will already have 10 losses through 13 weeks of the season and be further on its way to a top draft pick.
Rams' Surprise Struggles Helping Lions
The Lions have to be thrilled with how much the Rams have struggled throughout the 2022 season. Detroit also likely didn't expect Los Angeles' 2023 first-round draft pick to be an early selection when it acquired it in the Matthew Stafford trade in January 2021.
Yet, the Rams are 3-8 after falling to the Chiefs on Sunday, as they've now dropped five consecutive games coming out of their Week 7 bye. Los Angeles has been hurt by injuries to key players, with Stafford (concussion/neck) and wide receivers Cooper Kupp (ankle) and Allen Robinson (ankle) all currently out.
The more the Rams lose, the more it helps the Lions, who are 4-7 themselves. If the season ended today, Detroit would have the Nos. 3 and 13 picks in the 2023 draft. And it's possible both selections will end up even earlier depending on how much these two teams struggle.
Considering the Rams are the defending Super Bowl champions, they've had a drastic falloff from 2021 to 2022. Nobody is benefiting more from that than the Lions.