College Football Odds Week 12: Picks Against the Spread and Score Predictions
We're through 11 weeks of the 2022 college football season, and there are still four undefeated FBS teams. That could still be the case after Week 12, too...well, there should be at least three unbeaten programs standing.
No. 1 Georgia (at Kentucky), No. 2 Ohio State (at Maryland) and No. 3 Michigan (vs. Illinois) are each playing conference games against unranked opponents, and it's unlikely any of the three get upset. No. 4 TCU faces a slightly larger challenge, as it will be on the road against Baylor on Saturday.
That Big 12 matchup between the Horned Frogs and Bears has the potential to be one of the most exciting games of the weekend.
There are also a pair of great Pac-12 games to keep an eye on: No. 7 USC and No. 16 UCLA will go head-to-head, while No. 10 Utah is on the road to face No. 12 Oregon.
Here's a look at the Week 12 schedule for teams in the top 25 of the College Football Playoff rankings, along with odds and picks for each.
Week 12 Schedule, Odds, Picks
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Thursday Nov. 17
SMU at No. 21 Tulane (-3.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
Saturday, Nov. 19
Navy at No. 20 UCF (-16.5), 11 a.m. ET, ESPN2
Illinois at No. 3 Michigan (-18), noon ET, ABC
No. 4 TCU (-2.5) at Baylor, noon ET, Fox
Austin Peay at No. 8 Alabama (no line), noon ET, ESPN+
Louisiana at No. 19 Florida State (-24), noon ET, ESPN3
No. 15 Kansas State (-7.5) at West Virginia, 2 p.m. ET, ESPN+
No. 23 Oregon State (-8) at Arizona State, 2:15 p.m. ET, ESPN2
Boston College at No. 18 Notre Dame (-20.5), 2:30 p.m. ET, NBC
No. 1 Georgia (-22.5) at Kentucky, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS
No. 2 Ohio State (-27.5) at Maryland, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC
Miami at No. 9 Clemson (-19), 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
No. 11 Penn State (-19) at Rutgers, 3:30 p.m. ET, Big Ten Network
No. 24 NC State at Louisville (-4), 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN3
No. 25 Cincinnati (-17) at Temple, 4 p.m. ET, ESPNU
Georgia Tech at No. 13 North Carolina (-21), 5:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2
No. 5 Tennessee (-22) at South Carolina, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN
No. 14 Ole Miss (-2.5) at Arkansas, 7:30 p.m. ET, SEC Network
No. 22 Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-7), 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC
No. 7 USC (-2) at No. 16 UCLA, 8 p.m. ET, Fox
UAB at No. 6 LSU (-14.5), 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2
Colorado at No. 17 Washington (-30.5), 9 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network
No. 10 Utah (-1) at No. 12 Oregon, 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. Picks in bold against the spread.
Count on TCU to Cover the Spread on the Road
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The oddsmakers haven't quite been sold on TCU's undefeated run this season.
The Horned Frogs were underdogs for their road matchup at Texas last Saturday, yet they held on for a 17-10 win. Now, TCU is only a slight 2.5-point favorite for its road contest against Baylor this Saturday.
The Bears aren't a bad team, and they've proved that during their 6-4 start. Three of their four losses came against schools that were ranked at the time of the game. However, Baylor is coming off a game in which it was completely overmatched, as it fell 31-3 to Kansas State at home last Saturday.
If the Wildcats came in and did that, then the Horned Frogs shouldn't have any trouble beating the Bears, either. Even if it's a bit closer of a game, TCU has had a knack for winning competitive contests against quality opponents all season.
The Horned Frogs are looking to stay undefeated, win the Big 12 championship and reach the College Football Playoff for the first time. They're not going to let Baylor keep any of that from happening.
Feel confident in betting on TCU to win by three or more points.
Prediction: TCU 38, Baylor 21
Arkansas Should Win as Home Underdog
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If you're looking for an underdog to bet on this week, go with Arkansas.
It's been an up-and-down season for the 5-5 Razorbacks, but they have a real chance to take down No. 14 Ole Miss at home on Saturday night.
Arkansas nearly upset LSU last week, falling 13-10 in a game in which it was without starting quarterback KJ Jefferson, who was out due to a shoulder injury.
However, Razorbacks head coach Sam Pittman said earlier this week that he anticipates the 21-year-old will play this week, according to Christina Long of the Southwest Times Record.
When Jefferson is on the field, Arkansas is a much more dangerous team. And he should make a difference in what could be a high-scoring game against Ole Miss.
The Razorbacks may be 2.5-point underdogs, but don't be surprised to see them end up victorious in their final home game of the season.
Prediction: Arkansas 33, Ole Miss 28
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Bet on Oregon to Bounce Back at Home
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The betting line for Utah-Oregon has shifted throughout the week. The Ducks were initially favorites, but now the Utes are favored by one point. However, that's essentially a pick 'em at this point, and the matchup could go either way.
These are two top Pac-12 programs, so the game will be exciting and competitive. Oregon had an eight-game winning streak snapped last week, when it was upset by Washington at home. Could the Ducks really lose back-to-back home games against conference rivals?
It's possible, but the prediction here is that it's unlikely. Oregon senior quarterback Bo Nix has been impressive all year, and he'll be aiming to get his team back on track so it can still try to play its way into a New Year's Six bowl.
Utah is a strong team, but Oregon is a little better. And the Ducks will prove that with the support of their fans in their final home game of the year.
Prediction: Oregon 40, Utah 30
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