College Football Picks Week 11: Top 25 Rankings, Schedule, Odds and Predictions
It's no surprise that Georgia, Ohio State and Michigan all remain undefeated through 10 weeks of the 2022 college football season. The Bulldogs are the defending national champions and the clear front-runners in the SEC, while the Buckeyes and Wolverines are Big Ten powerhouses.
However, TCU is also among the four unbeaten FBS teams entering Week 11. The Horned Frogs have emerged as the top team in the Big 12, and they've greatly outperformed expectations, considering they're 9-0 after winning six or fewer games in each of the previous three seasons.
This week, TCU has another challenging matchup, as the No. 4 Horned Frogs are going on the road to face No. 18 Texas. If TCU wins, it will mark its fifth win against a team that was ranked at the time of its matchup.
That's not the only big game on the Week 11 schedule. Here's a look at this week's upcoming slate for the teams ranked in the AP Top 25 poll, along with odds and picks for each.
Week 11 Top 25 Schedule, Odds, Picks
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Friday, Nov. 11
Colorado at No. 8 USC (-34), 9:30 p.m. ET, FS1
Saturday, Nov. 12
Missouri at No. 5 Tennessee (-21), noon ET, CBS
Indiana at No. 2 Ohio State (-41), noon ET, Fox
No. 7 LSU (-3) at Arkansas, noon ET, ESPN
Purdue at No. 21 Illinois (-6), noon ET, ESPN2
No. 19 Liberty (-14.5) at UConn, noon ET, CBS Sports Network
No. 20 Notre Dame (-17) at Navy, noon ET, ABC
Nebraska at No. 3 Michigan (-29.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC
No. 10 Alabama (-11.5) at No. 11 Ole Miss, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS
Louisville at No. 12 Clemson (-7), 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
Maryland at No. 14 Penn State (-12.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, Fox
No. 22 UCF at No. 16 Tulane (-2), 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2
Boston College at No. 17 NC State (-19), 3:30 p.m. ET, ACC Network
No. 1 Georgia (-17) at Mississippi State, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN
No. 24 Washington at No. 6 Oregon (-13), 7 p.m. ET, Fox
No. 23 Kansas State at Baylor (-3), 7 p.m. ET, FS1
No. 4 TCU at No. 18 Texas (-7.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC
No. 15 North Carolina at Wake Forest (-3.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2
No. 25 Florida State (-7) at Syracuse, 8 p.m. ET, ACC Network
Stanford at No. 13 Utah (-23), 10 p.m. ET, ESPN
Arizona at No. 9 UCLA (-19), 10:30 p.m. ET, Fox
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. Picks in bold against the spread.
Alabama Should Bounce Back at Ole Miss
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Two losses in a span of three games? That's not typical for a Nick Saban-coached Alabama team. And yet, that's what's happened to the Crimson Tide, who have dropped recent road matchups against Tennessee and LSU. Those defeats were sandwiched around a home win over Mississippi State.
Things don't get any easier for Alabama this week. On Saturday, the No. 10 Tide will try to bounce back with a road contest against No. 11 Ole Miss. It's a game with high stakes for Alabama (4-2 record in SEC play), considering it can still overtake LSU (5-1) and Ole Miss (4-1) in the SEC West standings.
But the Tide's margin for error is much smaller, and if they're going to reach the conference championship game, they'll need some help. They'll also need to play better than they have of late, and that's something that Saban should get them to do.
The Rebels are giving up the fifth-most passing yards per game in the SEC (222.2), and Crimson Tide quarterback Bryce Young is having another strong season. So expect the junior QB to get Alabama back on track this week, as the Tide should win by at least 12 points to cover the spread.
TCU Will at Least Play a Close Game at Texas
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TCU may be 9-0, but that wasn't enough for the Horned Frogs to be the favorite for their Week 11 contest, per the oddsmakers. Despite its impressive play this year, TCU is a 7.5-point underdog for its road matchup at Texas on Saturday.
The Longhorns are 6-3, but they've been playing well of late, having won four of their past five games. They're coming off an impressive 34-27 road victory at Kansas State, and junior running back Bijan Robinson (1,129 rushing yards and 14 total touchdowns) continues to power them to success.
However, the Horned Frogs have the top offense in the Big 12. They're leading the conference in both total yards (508.7) and points (43.1) per game. So Texas' defense will likely have some trouble trying to slow that unit.
Will TCU preserve its sterling record? Possibly, but this is a game that could go either way, especially with the Horned Frogs playing in a hostile environment. If they lose, though, it shouldn't be by more than seven points, so it's smart to bet on them with the 7.5 points.
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UCF a Strong Underdog on Road at Tulane
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TCU isn't the only ranked team going on the road as an underdog this week. No. 22 UCF has a challenging road matchup against No. 16 Tulane, which will be favored by two points. The Green Wave also have a lot to prove, as they've lost their past four meetings with the Knights and trail 9-2 in the all-time series between the two programs.
Since losing at East Carolina on Oct. 22, UCF has bounced back with impressive wins over Cincinnati and Memphis the past two weeks to improve to 7-2. But Tulane will be another challenging opponent for the Knights, as the Green Wave are 8-1 and have won five straight games (all against AAC rivals).
The UCF-Tulane matchup should be one of the most entertaining AAC games of the season, as the two teams are among the best in the conference. The Knights have the top offense in the AAC (501 total yards per game), while the Green Wave have the top defense (307.3 total yards allowed per game).
It could go either way, but Tulane may have trouble against a UCF rushing attack that has three players with more than 500 yards on the ground. So don't be surprised if the Knights go on the road and pull off this upset to keep their recent momentum going.
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