Columbus Blue Jackets Dashboard, Vol. 2: Thumbs Up

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Columbus Blue Jackets Dashboard, Vol. 2: Thumbs Up
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The Columbus Blue Jackets had a decent preseason showing with an aggregate record of five wins, two losses in regulation time and one overtime loss.

Granted, preseason games cannot be taken too seriously as veterans are generally sidelined or limited to just a few minutes, so you are not facing the best line-up from the opposition.

In spite of that, the playoff dashboard below indicates that the Jackets have a decent chance of making the playoffs, if they can continue this level of performance into the regular season.

The "Goals For Average" (GFA) ended up at 3.1 goals scored per game, which is over-the-threshold of 2.8 goals needed per game to hit the magic number of about 230 goals through the course of the regular season.

It is expected that the Blue Jackets scoring is bound to increase this season with the acquisition of Jeff Carter. However, the preseason honors for scoring went to veteran Fedor Tyutin and a handful of prospects.

The Jackets will need to keep their foot on the gas pedal with scoring, as to provide some relief to their goaltenders.

The "Goals Against Average" (GAA) ended up at 2.8 goals allowed per game, which needs to be below the threshold of 2.6 goals allowed per game to hit the magic number of about 210 goals through the course of the regular season.

This would ordinarily prohibit the Jackets from advancing to the playoffs. However, they would be projected to barely squeeze into the playoffs due to the GFA differential with GAA being at least eight percent.

Goaltending was deemed as being the proverbial albatross around the neck of the franchise during the offseason. The preseason performance by backup goalies didn't help matters from a statistical perspective, although Steve Mason was able to hold his own.

As expected, Steve Mason will need to have a massive season if the Jackets are to make a serious run at the playoffs. The return of the injured Mark Dekanich should help things in this department. Until then, Curtis Sanford will be called upon in a secondary capacity.

Looking at it from a points earned perspective, the Jackets would easily cruise into the playoffs with their won-loss ratio.

However, this statistical comparison is not viewed as being a good determinant in the early to mid range of the season. The GFA and GAA is more accurate in this regard.

The anticipation and excitement leading up to the season opener against the Nashville Predators is unrivaled in Jackets' history.

This game will certainly give us some insight on what the new No. 1 line of Vinny Prospal, Jeff Carter and Rick Nash can muster up along with Steve Mason's goaltending performance.

JACKETS PLAYOFF PROJECTION DASHBOARD

 

VOLUME 2 - Eve of Regular Season

 

Game #

 

CBJ          Goals For   (Target: 2.8 or higher) 

 

CBJ          Goals Against (Target: 2.6 or lower) 

 

CBJ           Goals For Average (Target: 2.8 or  higher)  

 

CBJ           Goals Against Average (Target: 2.6 or lower)  

 

CBJ                                      

Projected

to go to

playoffs?

 

1 Wpg

 

5

Pass

 

1

Pass

 

5.0

Pass

 

1.0

Pass

 

Yes

 

2 @Wpg

 

1

Fail

 

6

Fail

 

3.0

Pass

 

3.5

Fail

 

No

 

3 Wsh

 

4

Pass

 

3

Fail

 

3.3

Pass

 

3.3

Fail

 

No

 

4 @Min

 

3

Pass

 

4

Fail

 

3.3

Pass

 

3.5

Fail

 

No

 

5 Buf

 

4

Pass

 

1

Pass

 

3.4

Pass

 

3.0

Fail

 

Yes*

 


6 @Wsh

 

1

Fail

 

3

Fail

 

3.0

Pass

 

3.0

Fail

 

No

 

7 Min

 

4

Pass

 

2

Pass

 

3.1

Pass

 

2.9

Fail

 

No

 

8 @Car

 

3

Pass

 

2

Pass

 

3.1

Pass

 

2.8

Fail

 

Yes*

 

* GFA exceeds GAA by at least 8 percent which should be adequate to make playoffs

Footnotes

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1. GF/GFA  needs to be 2.8 goals per game or higher; 230 goals or higher (82 games)

2. GA/GAA needs to be 2.6 goals per game or lower; 210 goals or lower (82 games)

3. Magic numbers are based on historical data for 8th place team in Western Conf.


4. Magic numbers are adjustable as long as GFA exceeds GAA by 8 percent.

 


5. Preseason games do not count toward playoffs.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

For background information on the dashboard, please refer to a previous article of mine:

3 Reasons Columbus Blue Jackets Will Make The Playoffs

Feel free to send me your comments and feedback via postings to the article or by emailing me. Also, you can follow me on Twitter:

Email: Harry.Kamdar@yahoo.com
Twitter: http://twitter.com/JacketsCity

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