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Predicting the Mets Record for the 2009 Season

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Predicting the Mets Record for the 2009 Season
According to my calculations, the Mets will finish the 2009 season with a record of 79-83.It will be the first time in 5 seasons that the Mets will finish under .500.

I took a very conservative approach to these calculations and I can't find a real opening for the Mets to go on a 8+ winning streak. In my estimation the longest streak the Mets have the potential of making is a 4-5 game win streak from when they leave Arizona leading into the home series against the Giants.

Here's my breakdown of the remaining series:

Series Wins Losses
Cardinals 1 1
San Diego 2 2
Arizona 2 1
San Fran 3 1
Atlanta 2 1
Philly 1 3
Florida 1 2
Chicago 1 2
Colorado 2 1
Chicago 1 2
Florida 2 1
Philly 1 3
Atlanta 1 2
Washington 3 0
Atlanta 1 2
Florida 1 2
Washington 2 1
Houston 2 1
Total
29 28

Not exactly the year we all had planned for this team, but injuries, disappointment and some questionable roster moves can change the scope of a season.

For those still hoping that the Mets can make a run at the Wild Card, I'd estimate that the Mets have to win 91 games in order to do that. Here's the type of schedule the Mets would have to have to accomplish that:


Series Wins Losses
Cardinals 2 0
San Diego 3 1
Arizona 3 0
San Fran 3 1
Atlanta 2 1
Philly 2 2
Florida 2 1
Chicago 1 2
Colorado 2 1
Chicago 2 1
Florida 2 1
Philly 2 2
Atlanta 2 1
Washington 3 0
Atlanta 2 1
Florida 2 1
Washington 3 0
Houston 3 0
Totals 41 16

Basically the Mets would have to win every series but one and then split the two series against the Phillies. As you can see that's a pretty tough scenario to consider realistic.
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