The Schwach Indicator: Feb. 24
This is the seventh week of the Schwach Indicator standings. For those of you who missed the explanation of this new evaluation tool, here's a quick recap.
As the NCAA tournament approaches every March, one starts hearing college basketball experts talk a lot about top 50 and top 100 wins when discussing a team's possible seed or whether or not a school deserves to be in the Big Dance at all.
I think these two criteria are important as well, but they're not perfect. Why? Because not all top 100 wins are created equal.
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So I set out to create a more precise evaluation system in which teams aren't grouped by 50 or 100, but individually according to their RPI.
I enlisted the help of two friends: Brad Wachtel, director of operations at Hoop Group, a New Jersey-based company that organizes basketball camps and runs an NCAA preseason tournament; and Mike Sverdlov, a computer programmer for New York Life.
We came up with the following formula.
For each victory, a team receives the number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank subtracted from 344. So if you beat the RPI's 144th-ranked team, you receive 200 points. Beat them at a neutral site, and you multiply that number by 1.25. Beat them on the road and multiply the number by 1.5.
For each loss, a team receives a deduction of the exact number of points equal to their opponent's RPI rank. So you better not lose to the RPI's 300th-ranked team, or you'll lose 300 points. Lose to the top team in the country? No sweat, you drop only one point. But lose at home, and that number is multiplied by 1.5.
This way teams are rewarded for beating better teams (especially on the road) and punished for losing to worse teams (especially at home).
Mosang Miles put together an interesting slideshow article last week grouping teams by conferences and ranking the leagues based on the Schwach Indicator.
Without further ado, let's get to the rankings through action on Monday, Feb. 23.
1 Connecticut 7275.50
2 Pittsburgh 6940.25
3 North Carolina 6813.75
4 Oklahoma 6595.00
5 Memphis 6317.25
6 Michigan State 6146.50
7 Duke 6010.00
8 Louisville 5993.00
9 Clemson 5573.50
10 Kansas 5559.00
11 Villanova 5487.50
12 Xavier 5382.75
13 Marquette 5359.25
14 Arizona State 5212.25
15 Illinois 5204.75
16 Florida State 5129.25
17 Butler 4911.50
18 West Virginia 4885.25
19 Wake Forest 4869.00
20 Purdue 4846.00
21 Missouri 4809.75
22 Washington 4782.50
23 Creighton 4588.75
24 Siena 4555.50
25 California 4513.50
26 Utah 4509.50
27 LSU 4449.00
28 UCLA 4426.25
29 Dayton 4375.75
30 Gonzaga 4360.25
31 Syracuse 4337.50
32 Brigham Young 4119.00
33 Minnesota 4085.75
34 Texas 4030.50
35 UNLV 3940.50
36 Utah State 3934.50
37 Wisconsin 3932.50
38 Boston College 3865.00
39 Saint Mary's 3756.00
40 Niagara 3752.50
41 Ohio State 3746.50
42 Penn State 3670.00
43 Arizona 3629.00
44 Tennessee 3608.00
45 Illinois State 3606.00
46 Temple 3538.75
47 Florida 3487.25
48 Kentucky 3468.75
49 UAB 3458.75
50 Oklahoma State 3456.75
51 South Carolina 3373.00
52 Texas A&M 3361.00
53 Rhode Island 3299.25
54 USC 3268.25
55 Maryland 3207.25
56 Davidson 3175.50
57 Cincinnati 3169.00
58 Georgetown 3146.75
59 Virginia Tech 3100.50
60 Kansas State 3091.00
61 Michigan 3013.75
62 Wisconsin-Green Bay 2958.75
63 New Mexico 2890.00
64 Tulsa 2845.50
65 Providence 2764.00
66 Miami (FL) 2712.00
67 Northern Iowa 2686.75
68 Virginia Commonwealth 2684.00
69 San Diego State 2676.25
70 Vermont 2636.75
71 Hofstra 2604.00
72 Mississippi State 2545.00
73 Notre Dame 2491.25
74 UTEP 2482.00
75 Northeastern 2460.00
76 George Mason 2424.00
77 Cleveland State 2399.50
78 Baylor 2395.75
79 Washington State 2395.75
80 Nebraska 2358.00
81 Western Kentucky 2263.25
82 Vanderbilt 2226.50
83 Mississippi 2185.00
84 Northwestern 2167.50
85 Houston 2143.50
86 Stanford 2026.00
87 Duquesne 2005.00
88 Iowa 1955.00
89 North Carolina State 1950.00
90 Auburn 1934.50
91 Arkansas-Little Rock 1915.00
92 Saint Joseph's 1893.50
93 Buffalo 1893.00
94 Drake 1833.75
95 Old Dominion 1832.50
96 Bradley 1811.00
97 Evansville 1794.00
98 Drexel 1749.50
99 Seton Hall 1695.00
100 Saint Louis 1689.25
101 Wright State 1621.50
102 Nevada 1609.50
103 Binghamton 1597.50
104 American University 1556.00
105 Miami (OH) 1552.50
106 James Madison 1487.50
107 Charleston 1449.75
108 Fairfield 1414.75
109 UCF 1398.00
110 La Salle 1366.75
111 Portland 1332.25
112 Boise State 1310.50
113 Wyoming 1297.25
114 Weber State 1265.50
115 TCU 1203.75
116 Manhattan 1169.00
117 Southern Miss 1139.25
118 Oregon State 1116.50
119 Arkansas 1115.00
120 St. John's 1077.00
121 Milwaukee 1051.50
122 Rider 1045.50
123 New Mexico State 1039.00
124 North Dakota State 1006.00
125 Alabama 936.25
126 Virginia 920.00
127 Texas Tech 908.00
128 Cornell 809.25
129 Wichita State 774.25
130 Akron 769.00
131 Richmond 752.50
132 Oakland 720.50
133 Iowa State 710.50
134 Virginia Military 683.00
135 Stephen F. Austin 659.50
136 Robert Morris 575.50
137 Troy 540.75
138 San Diego 540.25
139 Portland State 526.25
140 Kent State 476.00
141 Citadel 469.75
142 North Texas 461.00
143 Liberty 456.00
144 Charlotte 448.50
145 Oral Roberts 421.75
146 Radford 412.50
147 Georgia Tech 372.00
148 South Florida 367.00
149 Massachusetts 351.00
150 Idaho 349.00
151 Illinois-Chicago 343.50
152 South Alabama 338.75
153 Boston University 244.00
154 Long Beach State 217.00
155 Southern Illinois 207.50
156 Tennessee-Martin 202.50
157 St. Bonaventure 147.50
158 Iona 138.75
159 Mount St. Mary's 134.50
160 Albany 71.00
161 Bowling Green 18.50
162 Morgan State 12.00
163 Belmont -21.50
164 Navy -36.50
165 Oregon -44.00
166 East Carolina -46.00
167 Texas A&M-CC -57.50
168 Pacific -58.00
169 Marshall -63.00
170 Rutgers -81.50
171 Ohio -110.75
172 Sam Houston State -134.50
173 Middle Tennessee State -136.50
174 Eastern Kentucky -156.50
175 Montana -176.50
176 Loyola (IL) -197.50
177 Colorado State -203.00
178 Texas-San Antonio -239.50
179 Missouri State -240.00
180 Chattanooga -270.00
181 DePaul -304.25
182 East Tennessee State -322.50
183 Wofford -364.00
184 Morehead State -379.75
185 Murray State -390.50
186 Georgia -399.75
187 Loyola (MD) -401.00
188 Stony Brook -442.50
189 UC Riverside -482.00
190 Santa Clara -563.00
191 Jacksonville -605.50
192 Texas-Arlington -615.00
193 Indiana -657.00
194 Hawaii -687.00
195 George Washington -698.00
196 Cal State Northridge -721.00
197 Louisiana Tech -752.50
198 UC Santa Barbara -768.00
199 Holy Cross -807.50
200 Mercer -814.75
201 Nicholls State -831.50
202 UMBC -861.50
203 Alabama State -869.25
204 Delaware -873.75
205 Cal State Fullerton -877.00
206 Tulane -886.75
207 Montana State -901.00
208 Western Carolina -931.50
209 North Carolina-Asheville -937.00
210 Indiana State -938.00
211 Colorado -968.75
212 Lamar -1026.50
213 Ball State -1046.00
214 Idaho State -1071.50
215 Austin Peay -1104.00
216 Arkansas State -1111.00
217 San Francisco -1132.50
218 IUPUI -1171.00
219 Canisius -1226.00
220 Youngstown State -1237.50
221 San Jose State -1283.50
222 Lehigh -1296.00
223 Sacred Heart -1308.00
224 Denver -1317.25
225 Florida International -1347.00
226 Fresno State -1347.50
227 Presbyterian -1354.00
228 Jackson State -1414.25
229 UC Davis -1429.75
230 Eastern Washington -1453.50
231 New Hampshire -1471.50
232 St. Peter's -1554.00
233 Air Force -1570.75
234 Samford -1588.50
235 Yale -1593.50
236 Chicago State -1603.50
237 Valparaiso -1628.50
238 Rice -1657.75
239 Long Island -1665.00
240 Marist -1682.50
241 Central Connecticut State -1698.00
242 Lipscomb -1745.50
243 Utah Valley -1748.50
244 Towson -1845.50
245 Western Michigan -1847.50
246 Appalachian State -1854.00
247 North Carolina A&T -1871.50
248 Southern Methodist -1874.00
249 IPFW -1881.50
250 Louisiana-Lafayette -1900.00
251 UC Irvine -1903.50
252 Columbia -1917.75
253 Georgia State -1941.50
254 Longwood -1948.50
255 William & Mary -1978.50
256 Texas State -2002.00
257 Gardner-Webb -2024.00
258 Coppin State -2033.00
259 Stetson -2036.50
260 Georgia Southern -2108.50
261 South Dakota State -2124.00
262 McNeese State -2126.00
263 Southern Utah -2195.00
264 Detroit -2205.50
265 Harvard -2223.00
266 Winthrop -2238.00
267 Pennsylvania -2268.00
268 New Orleans -2276.00
269 Campbell -2296.00
270 Hampton -2305.00
271 Northern Colorado -2314.00
272 Eastern Illinois -2348.50
273 Elon -2373.50
274 Princeton -2388.50
275 Savannah State -2399.50
276 North Carolina-Wilmington -2438.75
277 Pepperdine -2438.75
278 Quinnipiac -2471.50
279 Wagner -2479.00
280 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -2488.00
281 Jacksonville State -2488.50
282 Cal Poly -2581.00
283 Tennessee State -2581.00
284 Coastal Carolina -2596.75
285 Maine -2618.75
286 South Carolina State -2629.00
287 St. Francis (NY) -2647.50
288 Louisiana-Monroe -2673.00
289 Bethune-Cookman -2688.75
290 Prairie View A&M -2726.00
291 Central Michigan -2753.50
292 Southeastern Louisiana -2820.50
293 Fordham -2852.00
294 Northern Arizona -2898.00
295 Alabama A&M -2905.50
296 Central Arkansas -2965.75
297 Cal State Bakersfield -2999.00
298 Centenary -3043.75
299 Northwestern State -3107.00
300 Texas-Pan American -3108.75
301 Brown -3130.50
302 Northern Illinois -3160.75
303 Florida A&M -3169.75
304 Lafayette -3201.50
305 Toledo -3270.50
306 Howard -3296.50
307 Charleston Southern -3366.00
308 Tennessee Tech -3374.50
309 USC Upstate -3387.50
310 Bucknell -3388.50
311 Hartford -3434.25
312 Colgate -3474.50
313 Florida Atlantic -3489.25
314 UMKC -3562.00
315 Dartmouth -3608.00
316 Norfolk State -3736.50
317 Western Illinois -3775.50
318 High Point -3858.00
319 Army -3861.50
320 Furman -3904.50
321 Bryant University -3969.50
322 Florida Gulf Coast -4006.50
323 Delaware State -4013.50
324 Houston Baptist -4055.50
325 Loyola Marymount -4085.00
326 Fairleigh Dickinson -4132.00
327 North Florida -4170.00
328 Winston-Salem -4233.00
329 Southern University -4399.50
330 Eastern Michigan -4454.50
331 Grambling State -4503.25
332 Mississippi Valley State -4572.00
333 Monmouth -4638.75
334 St. Francis (PA) -4666.50
335 UNC Greensboro -4670.00
336 Maryland-Eastern Shore -5148.00
337 Kennesaw State -5189.50
338 Alcorn State -5201.00
339 Texas Southern -5203.50
340 North Carolina Central -5387.00
341 Southeast Missouri State -6120.50
342 Sacramento State -6300.50
343 N.J.I.T. -7419.50
Jordan Schwartz is Bleacher Report's New York Yankees Community Leader. His book "Memoirs of the Unaccomplished Man" is available at amazon.com, barnesandnoble.com, and authorhouse.com.
Jordan can be reached at jordanschwartz2003@yahoo.com



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