NFL Week 10 Picks: Odds of Each Underdog Actually Pulling off the Upset

Perhaps more than any other NFL season in recent memory, the games continue to be closer than ever. Obviously each week has had a blowout or two, but it appears that more games are coming down to the wire in exuberant fashion.

To that end, here are the odds that every underdog (according to the Week 10 NFL line) pulls off the upset victory.

Click the first link for more information on the NFL Week 10 Line.

Click the second link for full score predictions of every Week 10 game.

Note: UNDERDOG team is in ALL CAPS, and Saints-Falcons game is not listed as it has a line of zero. Hence, no underdog or favorite.

Pittsburgh at CINCINNATI (-3)

The Bengals have the No. 21-ranked pass and rush offense against a top-five defense in Pittsburgh. Not to mention that Cincinnati starts a rookie QB in Andy Dalton. The Bengals are clearly on the rise, but not quite ready yet to oust the Steel Curtain.

Odds: 1 in 15

DENVER at Kansas City (-3)

For some reason, the Chiefs aren't playing nearly as consistent as they should at home. That said, the Broncos are playing solid football on the road and have a ground game that's arguably just as good.

Now include Denver's improving defense and K.C.'s vulnerability from losing to Miami, and the odds are quite good for the Broncos.

Odds: 1 in 3

Jacksonville at INDIANAPOLIS (-3)

Jacksonville may have two wins, but they're 0-4 on the road and the Colts have given great effort despite being winless. However, all that changes this week as Indy gets win No. 1 over a Jaguars team that starts a rookie QB in Blaine Gabbert.

The Colts may not be overly impressive themselves, but the Jags are conscious of this being a tough game during a current three-game road stretch.

Odds: 1 in 4

BUFFALO at Dallas (-5.5)

The Bills are just 2-3 in their last five games, so their inconsistency is comparable to that of Dallas. The only difference, however, is that the Cowboys have been dealing with multiple injuries throughout the year.

Also, Buffalo hasn't won a road game since Week 1 over Kansas City, which appears obsolete now that Miami won at Arrowhead as well. Dallas doesn't lose at home (the Lions game was bogus), and the Bills are beginning to crumble thanks to a very weak defense.

Odds: 1 in 12

Houston at TAMPA BAY (-3)

Tampa Bay has two solid home wins over New Orleans and Atlanta, but are just 1-3 in their last four games. Houston, on the other hand, has been playing quite well without WR Andre Johnson and has the No. 2-ranked rushing offense.

The Buccaneers fall at home, as their defense ranks No. 28 and No. 26 against the pass and run, whereas the Texans have a top-five defense in both categories.

Odds: 1 in 25

TENNESSEE at Carolina (-3.5)

If there's one team clearly better than their indicated record, it's the Carolina Panthers. They've played a very tough schedule and have been rather impressive against the top NFC teams.

Unfortunately, the Titans have significantly underachieved, rank dead last in rushing offense and have just one win in their last four games (Indy at home). Now include the Panthers top-10 offense in rushing and passing and, well, Tennessee has no chance on the road.

Odds: 1 in 30

WASHINGTON at Miami (-4)

The Redskins visit the Dolphins in Week 10 while riding a four-game losing streak, whereas Miami is feeling good after a road win over the Chiefs.

Washington has arguably the worst offense in pro football and the Dolphins may have found something in QB Matt Moore. That said, the Redskins do have a respectable defense, but they have trouble winning on the road.

Odds: 1 in 20

DETROIT at Chicago (-3)

The game that could determine who earns one of the NFC wild-card spots and second place in the NFC North. The Bears have significantly improved on defense and are rolling with confidence on offense since their loss at Detroit in Week 5.

The Lions, however, still don't have a ground game, can't stop the rush and have only one win in their last three games (Denver). Chicago wins a barn-burner, thanks to a perfect game plan with Detroit's offense kept off the field as Bears' RB Matt Forte controls the game tempo.

Odds: 1 in 10

ST. LOUIS at Cleveland (-2.5)

After defeating the New Orleans Saints at home, the St. Louis Rams fell from grace and had a hangover loss to the Arizona Cardinals last week. The Browns, though, haven't proven anything to anyone and are in dire straits once again.

With that in mind, this could be the ugliest game of Week 10, so game thoughts will be spared.

Odds: 1 in 8

ARIZONA at Philadelphia (-13.5)

It's no secret that the Philadelphia Eagles have underachieved this season, but luckily they get the 2-6 Cardinals at home to regroup.

Arizona has no offense other than WR Larry Fitzgerald, and their defense is still developing. In other words, they're a few steps in back of Philly, who is supremely more talented and will dominate because of a dynamic offense and a defense with something to prove.

Odds: 1 in 40

Baltimore at SEATTLE (-6.5)

Just because this game is played in the Great Northwest doesn't automatically mean Seattle will keep it close. The Seahawks are dismal this season, and although the Ravens lost to Jacksonville on the road, they just swept Pittsburgh, so there's a big advantage to Baltimore.

The Ravens top-five defense will completely blank the Seahawks offense, which may be worse than Washington's, and Baltimore's offense will wear out Seattle's defense with RB Ray Rice.

Odds: 1 in 35

NY GIANTS at San Francisco (-3.5)

This is an interesting game because the Giants are more known for being road warriors and San Fran has shown that they can be upset at home (Dallas in Week 2). However, the 49ers are playing much better since then and the Giants have some injury issues as of recent.

Frisco wins a defensive battle because they're much better in the trenches, which in turn controls the clock and seemingly wears on New York toward the end.

Odds: 1 in 10

NEW ENGLAND at NY Jets (-1.5)

Right now, it seems that the Jets are New England's Achilles heel. Sure, the Pats bested them earlier this season, but New York was still able to put solid pressure on Tom Brady.

This time around, not only are the Jets playing with a lot more confidence, but the Pats' are lacking just that. New England's has lost two straight, and until their No. 32-ranked pass defense actually stops an offense, all Mark Sanchez has to do is keep Brady off the field.

Odds: 1 in 14

MINNESOTA at Green Bay (-13.5)

Potentially the biggest blowout of Week 10 comes in the form of Green Bay and Minnesota at Lambeau Field.

RB Adrian Peterson may get his numbers, but it's not going to be nearly enough to match anything Aaron Rodgers does to the Vikings defense. Expect Green Bay to stack the box all game long to slow Peterson down. In turn, that will allow the Packers to gain a quick and solid lead.

Thereafter, Minnesota must rely on rookie QB Christian Ponder to catch Rodgers and company. However, by then it will be too late.

Odds: 1 in 50

Be sure to check out John on Bleacher Report. 

You can follow him on Twitter @ Sportswriter27.