Super Bowl Odds: Green Bay Packers Favored to Repeat as Champions

Jeff Grant@@JeffGrantSportsContributor IOctober 4, 2011

Super Bowl Odds: Green Bay Packers Favored to Repeat as Champions

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    Heading into Week 5 of the 2011 NFL regular season is the perfect time to take a look at the updated Super Bowl odds, as bye weeks start coming into play.

    One team that has lost favor in the betting market is the Philadelphia Eagles (+2000), falling back to the 11th-best choice to walk away with the Lombardi Trophy.

    Let's take a closer look at the top six teams that the public is falling in love with to win it all in Indianapolis.

Houston Texans (+950)

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    If you feel the Houston Texans can finish with the best record in the AFC—than you should put your money down now.

    This team has always been perceived as one of the more talented squads in the league, but has failed to deliver.

    So far, the 2011 season has been a big success, especially with the defense's improvement under first-year coordinator Wade Phillips.

    Houston ranks 10th in the league in total defense and offense respectively.

    The main concern is the dreaded hamstring injury, as both running back Arian Foster and wide receiver Andre Johnson will likely be dealing with it the entire season.

Detroit Lions (+950)

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    I'm afraid all value has been lost in the futures market in terms of playing the Detroit Lions, as back-to-back come-from-behind victories has every person in the Motor City thinking Super Bowl.

    The youthful team is definitely not short on excitement, but it also must leapfrog the Green Bay Packers to even get into this discussion.

    Not going to happen.

    Even more depressing is the fact the oddsmakers will not go to sleep on this team when setting the futures markets for next year.

New Orleans Saints (+850)

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    The New Orleans Saints were my pick to win it all this year, and I didn't change my mind after watching them drop a 42-34 season-opening contest to the Green Bay Packers as 4.5-point road underdogs.

    Offensively, the team ranks second in the league in total yards, while the defense has slowly climbed up the rankings to 15th after that tussle in Titletown.

    Quarterbacks are king in the NFL these days—just ask the Indianapolis Colts.

    For some reason, nobody is talking about No. 9 in the Bayou.

    He's only completed 69 percent of his passes for 1,410 yards and 10 touchdowns with four interceptions.

    That's fine by me, Mr. Drew Brees.

Baltimore Ravens (+850)

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    The Baltimore Ravens have been visually impressive in all three wins this year, while also throwing in a clunker by dropping a 26-13 contest to the Tennessee Titans as 5.5-point road favorites.

    Defensively, the team is playing ungodly football, ranking third in the league and causing plenty of turnovers.

    My concern in running up to bet this team is quarterback Joe Flacco. 

    He just leaves me wanting more than a 79.9 passer rating, which is well below Aaron Rodgers who leads the league (124.6).

New England Patriots (+425)

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    New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady is going to make your team the clear favorite out of the AFC, but some sirens are sounding off in the distance.

    Nobody questions the ability of the offense, ranking first in the league by averaging 507.5 yards a game, which is 53.5 yards better than the New Orleans Saints.

    That's simply astounding through four weeks of the season.

    My concern on that side of the ball is the health of wide receiver Wes Welker

    Every week I see this human dynamo carry the receiving corps on this shoulders, while the tight ends are banged up.

    I just don't see any scenario in which he doesn't slow down, as he's now 30 years old.

    The defense ranks last in the NFL, surrendering 477.5 yards a contest, but is allowing just 24.5 points.

    Bend, but don't break?

    Not with my money.

Green Bay Packers (+350)

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    It's hard to imagine anyone beating this team with No. 12 playing like—well—nobody else has in the history of the NFL.

    There's certainly concerns with an aging Donald Driver only having eight catches for 71 yards, but tight end Jermichael Finley is making up for that.

    Aaron Rodgers has this team leading the league in scoring offense, which is making up for an under-performing stop unit that ranks 28th in total yards allowed.

    It's all in the hands of the talented signal-caller and, good news Packers' fans—the Super Bowl is being played indoors at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

    He has compiled a 106.4 passer rating in 10 such contests, while averaging 264.5 yards and throwing for 18 touchdowns and just five interceptions.

    Scary.