NFL Picks Week 4: Which Teams Have Best Shots at 0-16 Infamy?
While five teams in the NFL have yet to win a game, three of them have the best chance to end their seasons without a single victory: the St. Louis Rams, Kansas City Chiefs and Indianapolis Colts.
Fans may dismiss stats as an unreliable indicator of a team's true performance, but in the case of these three winless teams, they paint a very clear picture of squads who will struggle to stave off losses all season long.
The Colts have been outscored 46 points to 84 and have one of the least-efficient overall teams in the league, ranked at 27th by Football Outsiders. Their offense, ranked 26th in the league, is at least mitigated by a less-terrible defense, which benefited from an impressive showing in Week 3 against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
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Upon examining their schedule, the Colts have one clear shot at preventing a winless season: their Week 5 game against one of the two teams worse than them, the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Chiefs are easily the statistically worst team in the league—being outscored 27 points to 109 through three weeks, ranking dead last in team efficiency and total offense, while sitting at a similarly-bad 27th in overall defense.
This week, the Chiefs take on the also-winless Minnesota Vikings—a team that has held three first-half leads and lost them each time. While that's not a good pattern (to say the least), I do not see the Vikings having the same type of second-half struggles against the dismal Chiefs.
The remainder of their schedule, which includes matchups against divisional contenders San Diego Chargers and Oakland Raiders, as well as contests with the Pittsburgh Steelers, New England Patriots, Green Bay Packers and New York Jets, is as difficult as they come in the NFL, and there's little chance the Chiefs are up to the challenge.
Joining Kansas City as yet another surprisingly 0-3 squad are the St. Louis Rams. Again, deferring to the stats paints a very clear picture of a team that's going to struggle for the remainder of the season. The Rams are second only to the Chiefs in terrible points differentials, being outscored 36 to 96. They have the 31st most efficient team in the league, with the worst defense and 27th-ranked offense through three games.
This week, St. Louis takes on the Washington Redskins, an inconsistent team coming off of a Week 3 nationally-televised loss to the Dallas Cowboys. While the Redskins aren't as difficult a team as many of the others looming on the Rams' horizon, there's little chance they will best the 2-1 squad this Sunday.
The one thing the Rams have going for them is their division; the NFC West is easily the weakest in the league, and with two games ahead against the Seattle Seahawks, St. Louis might be able to end the year with a single win.
None of these three teams have that great of a chance to win a game this year; that the Colts are taking on the Chiefs a week from Sunday is a saving grace for one of them, to be sure, but there's very little to be excited about at 1-15, either.

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