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NFL Odds Week 2: 5 Prop Bets Worth Gambling on

Jordan SmithJun 7, 2018

Why bet on teams when you can bet on players and situations? Prop bets make watching a game even more fun, if that's possible.

Prop bets are also great for the layman bettor. People are able to take advantage of the general public opinion that sets these lines. People also have better knowledge about players than they do about football; thanks to the rise of fantasy football.

Week 2 brings us many good prop bets that have been set with the public's perception in mind. There is always an overreaction to the way teams or specific players performed in Week 1, so there is great value to be found.

Cam Newton over 210.5 Yards (-115)

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Cam Newton shocked the sports world when he came out slinging the ball with confidence and precision. He looked good, surprisingly good.

Newton set the record for most passing yards in a rookie debut at 422 yards. He hooked up Steve Smith with eight receptions for 178 yards.

The line is set so low this week because most people think that Newton will crash and burn against a very good Green Bay Packers secondary. I expect Newton to struggle this week against Green Bay's defense, but 210.5 yards isn't exactly a lofty goal for any quarterback. If Newton throws the ball 37-times, like he did in Week 1, he will get 211 yards.

Green Bay's offense will likely put them ahead in this game, and quickly. That also plays into Newton's favor, as the Panthers will need to start throwing the ball to catch up. There's a strong possibility that Newton will throw the ball 40+ times this game, and that makes this a great bet.

Cadillac Williams over 55 1/2 Rushing Yards

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Steven Jackson is reportedly out for the Monday night game against the Giants.

That leaves Cadillac Williams to take over the primary back duties, which he performed admirably last Sunday. Williams carried the ball 19 times for 91 yards and added another 49 on five receptions, making him the best offensive player for the Rams.

Williams will be the workhorse for the Rams this week. Danny Amendola's injury further weakens an already questionable receiving corps for the Rams. Sam Bradford is also banged up, having bruised his index finger on his throwing hand.

This means a large workload, and Williams seems like he could have a rebirth in Saint Louis. It was only a few years ago that Williams was offensive rookie of the year, and this change of scenery makes 55 1/2 rushing yards seem pretty low. Take the odds at -115.

Ochocinco Under 45.5 Receiving Yards(-115)

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Biggest stat supporting this bet: Ochocinco saw the field a whole 18 times out of 80-offensive snaps for the New England Patriots.

Ochocinco only caught one reception in that time for a measly 14 yards. He was targeted three times. How in God's name can Brady throw for over 500 yards and Ochocinco only get 14?

Ochocinco clearly doesn't know or understand the Patriots offense right now. Bill Belichick doesn't trust him enough to put him on the field, yet. Until he can gain the confidence of the Hoodie, he won't be on the field very much. 

Take the under. Easy money.

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Over 1.5 Wins for the NFC South(-180)

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Though this prop bet gives you only 60 cents on the dollar, it's a safe bet.

The only NFC South team that looks like a loss this week is the Carolina Panthers, who host the Packers.

Outside of that, the Saints have the Bears at home, the Falcons have the Eagles, and the Bucs are on the road for the Vikings.

The Saints and Falcons each suffered losses the first week of the season, and starting 0-2 is simply out of the question for both of them. The Saints defense will experience a bounce back game against the Chicago Bears, who I still think are impostors. The Falcons beat themselves more than the Bears did in Week 1.

The Bucs will be going to a Minnesota team that is reeling. Donovan McNabb threw for 39-yards last week, and there's no sign he'll get any better. Unless Adrian Peterson has an absolute monster game, I expect the Bucs to take this one.

The Falcons have a big game against he Eagles this week. However, it's dome sweet dome for Matt Ryan. There's few quarterbacks that play better at home than Ryan. It will be a tough game, but this 13-3 from last year will not start 0-2.

Two out of these four teams will pull out their games. And don't discount the Panthers. Crazier things have happened.

Ochocinco Under 3 Receptions(-130)

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I'm all out on Ochocinco.

Again, Ochocinco had only one reception in his Patriots debut, and was only on the field for 18 plays, being targeted three times.

Outside of that, it's just common sense. The Patriots are utilizing two-tight end sets with Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez the majority of the time. With a running back on the field at all times that leaves two wide receivers: Deion Branch and Wes Welker.

There's no way Welker is ever coming out of the game except to take a breather. Branch is a reliable target that Brady trusts.

The Patriots are most likely going to run the ball more against the Chargers this weekend. The Chargers have been having trouble stopping the run since last year. All these things take away opportunities from Ochocinco.

Maybe in five or six weeks Ocho will become a presence on the field again. Until he gets into the grove, bet against him as often as possible.

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