NFL Week 11 Football Betting Power Rankings-Ratings
Week 11 NFL Football Betting Power Rankings-Ratings Courtesy of Alex Smart, An Award-Winning Professional Football Handicapper Featured on Touthouse.com. If you are Betting on NFL Football in Week 11, Be Sure to Buy Alex’s Expert NFL Picks
1: Tennessee Titans (8-1 ATS, 9-0 SU) (LW: 1) They’re not quite as dominating as last year’s Patriots, but the Titans are seven games away from duplicating their feat. They beat the Bears 21-14 in a hard-nosed game in Week 10, and looking at their schedule, if they can survive a game in Jacksonville next weekend, should be heavy favorites to get to 14-0. They’re 13-2 ATS against the AFC South since 2006.
Next Up: Away @ Jaguars (-3)
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2: New York Giants (7-2 ATS, 8-1 SU) (LW: 2) It wasn’t the greatest game in the world for the Giants’ defense, but the blue and white did enough for a 36-31 upset victory over the Eagles. New York bettors have covered four straight games, but have a very tough test coming this week against a Baltimore team that is also 7-2 ATS.
Next Up: Home vs. Ravens (-6.5)
3: Baltimore Ravens (7-2 ATS, 6-3 SU) (LW: 4) Oddsmakers insulted the Ravens by making them underdogs in Houston against a Texans team led by a backup quarterback. They picked off QB Sage Rosenfels four times and are now tied for first place in the AFC South. The test gets much tougher next week at Giants Stadium, even though they are 2-0 SU and ATS against the G-Men since moving to Baltimore.
Next Up: Away @ Giants (+6.5)
4: Atlanta Falcons (6-3 ATS, 6-3 SU) (LW: 4) For a team that was picked to just win 4.5 games this season by the linesmakers, the Falcons have sure become a thorn in the side of everyone in the NFC. They whipped the Saints 34-20 in Atlanta on Sunday and are now a perfect 4-0 ATS at home, where they will face their next two opponents.
Next Up: Home vs. Broncos (-5.5)
5: Green Bay Packers (6-3 ATS, 4-5 SU) (LW: 9) Though QB Aaron Rodgers has certainly been worthy of his recent contract extension, the Green Bay faithful has to wonder why this team has already lost two more games than it did all of last season. The Pack covered the Vikes in their 28-27 defeat by a narrow 1.5-points, and can get back into the NFC North race by beating Chicago next weekend.
Next Up: Home vs. Bears (-4)
6: Arizona Cardinals (6-3 ATS, 6-3 SU) (LW: 3) Arizona’s streak of four straight covers was snapped on Monday Night Football, but they continued their winning ways by beating the Niners 29-24. The Cards extended their lead in the NFC West to a commanding four games, and could extend that lead further by beating Seattle this week, a team that has covered seven of its L/8 against the NFC West.
Next Up: Away @ Seahawks (-3)
7: Carolina Panthers (5-3-1 ATS, 7-2 SU) (LW: 12) It’s not often that you travel across the country, have your quarterback complete a shade over 25% of his passes, throw four interceptions, and still cover a double-digit spread as a favorite, but it’s also not every day that you’re playing the Raiders. With their 17-6 win, Carolina is now 3-0 ATS against teams that currently have losing records, and they’ll look to improve that next week against the Lions, who might be the only team more dysfunctional than Oakland.
Next Up: Home vs. Lions (-14)
8: Philadelphia Eagles (6-3 ATS, 5-4 SU) (LW: 5) With the nation watching on SNF, the Eagles fell flat on their faces by losing to the Giants 36-31. They’ve covered back-to-back games on the road still, and have their next two games away from the City of Brotherly Love.
Next Up: Away @ Bengals (-9.5)
9: Miami Dolphins (5-4 ATS, 5-4 SU) (LW: 7) The Fins never really had a chance to cover the spread against the Seahawks, but also never trailed in their 21-19 victory. Miami is now just 2-3 ATS at home, and have back-to-back home games next week, starting with a visit from the silver and black, a team which they’ll be looking for payback against for last season’s 35-17 shellacking in Oakland.
Next Up: Home vs. Raiders (-10.5)
10: New England Patriots (5-4 ATS, 6-3 SU) (LW: 18) Has there been a quieter 6-3 team in the NFL than the Pats? QB Matt Cassel appears to be settling down a bit, and the defending AFC champs have now covered back-to-back spreads after beating Buffalo 20-10 over the weekend. First place in the AFC East will be on the line this week when the Jets pay a visit to Gillette Stadium Thursday night.
Next Up: Home vs. Jets (-3)
11: Cleveland Browns (5-4 ATS, 3-6 SU) (LW:
The Brady Quinn era started off quite well for Browns bettors, as they were ahead of the Broncos by two scores heading into the 4th quarter. They coughed up two leads in the stanza and lost 34-30. Cleveland has covered three straight spreads on the road this year, and tries to run it to four and keep its slim playoff hopes alive in Buffalo next weekend.
Next Up: Away @ Bills (+5.5)
12: New York Jets (5-4 ATS, 6-3 SU) (LW: 11) QB Brett Favre and the Jets are flying high following a dominating 47-3 victory over the Rams in last week’s football betting affair. The Jets have scored 255 points this year after scoring just 268 all of last season. They’ll need all of that offense against the Pats on Thursday, as they are just 4-11 ATS in their L/15 games against New England.
Next Up: Away @ Patriots (+3)
13: Kansas City Chiefs (5-4 ATS, 1-8 SU) (LW: 20) It’s time to start recognizing just how clutch the Chiefs have been for NFL bettors this season. They’ve covered three straight spreads after losing 20-19 as 14.5-point dogs in San Diego on Sunday. KC has already lost all three games against the NFC South this year and is just 1-6 SU against the division since ’04.
Next Up: Home vs. Saints (+5)
14: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-4 ATS, 6-3 SU) (LW: 14) Tampa Bay has been a streaky team this season, as it is currently riding a three-game coverless streak after providing five straight victories for Bucs bettors before it. The Bucs have already picked up two victories SU and ATS against the NFC North this year, and will look to run that three straight when the Vikes come to town.
Next Up: Home vs. Vikings (-3.5)
15: Washington Redskins (5-4 ATS, 6-3 SU) (LW: 15) If the Skins are going to make a move on the defending champs in the NFC East, now’s the time. The Giants and Cowboys are both on the schedule in the next three weeks for Washington, and it’ll hope to return to the team that won in Dallas and Philadelphia earlier this season and less like the team that was blown away by Pittsburgh two weeks ago.
Next Up: Home vs. Cowboys (+1.5)
16: New Orleans Saints (5-4 ATS, 4-5 SU) (LW: 16) The magic of the Saints has apparently disappeared after losing 34-20 at the Georgia Dome. They’re now three games behind the Panthers and look like a team planning for 2009. For now, Saints bettors have been profitable on the season, but a trip to KC could change that this weekend.
Next Up: Away @ Chiefs (-5)
17: Chicago Bears (4-4-1 ATS, 5-4 SU) (LW: 11) Come back Kyle Orton! With their starting QB on the shelf, Rex Grossman went 20/37 for 173 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. They lost to the Titans 21-14 in spite of holding them to 20 yards rushing. It was the worst point production for the Chicago offense since Week 15 last season. With three road games on the horizon, the Bears may not be in first place in the division for much longer if the offense doesn’t improve with “Sexy Rexy” at the helm.
Next Up: Away @ Packers (+4)
18: Indianapolis Colts (4-5 ATS, 5-4 SU) (LW: 22) If Indianapolis is going to win another Super Bowl, it is likely going to have to take a long road to get there. The Colts aren’t catching the perfect Titans, but at 5-4 following a huge 24-20 upset in Pittsburgh, they look poised to make a run late in the season at a Wild Card spot. The schedule is manageable from here on out, beginning with the second match-up of the year with Houston.
Next Up: Home vs. Texans (-9)
19: Buffalo Bills (4-5 ATS, 5-4 SU) (LW: 13) The Bills had a chance to assert themselves in the AFC East race, but instead took a real beating by losing 20-10 in Gillette Stadium. After opening up 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS, Buffalo has now dropped three straight games by two scores per game. They’re still 4-1 ATS this year against teams with a losing record, which bodes well considering they’re scheduled to face Cleveland, Kansas City, and San Francisco over the next three weeks.
Next Up: Home vs. Browns (-5.5)
20: Pittsburgh Steelers (4-5 ATS, 6-3 SU) (LW: 16) Heinz Field is normally a burial ground for the opposition, but for the second time in three weeks, a Manning has marched into Heinz Field and beat the Steelers with a late comeback; Indy knocked off Pittsburgh 24-20. The black and gold have now gone 0-3 ATS in their L/3 home games, and will hope to reverse that when San Diego travels east this week.
Next Up: Home vs. Chargers (-4.5)
21: Seattle Seahawks (4-5 ATS, 2-7 SU) (LW: 23) Once the Seahawks took the first step towards erasing a 14-0 deficit, they were never behind the NFL betting line against the Fins. They took the 21-19 defeat on the chin, but they’ve won three straight road games for football bettors. They’ll put a five-game home winning streak against the Cards on the line in Week 11.
Next Up: Home vs. Cardinals (+3)
22: San Diego Chargers (3-5-1 ATS, 4-5 SU) (LW: 21) Shame on the Chargers for coming a two-point conversion away from losing to the lowly Chiefs! They hung on to a narrow one-point victory, and really do look like a team that better win the West if they plan on making the playoffs. San Diego has failed to cover three straight on the road, and they have to travel across the country next week to face off with the Steelers.
Next Up: Away @ Steelers (+4.5)
23: Dallas Cowboys (3-6 ATS, 5-4 SU) (LW: 24) No one needed a bye week more than the Dallas Cowboys. QB Tony Romo could be back this week, and he’ll be a welcome sight for Cowboys bettors. The team is just 1-5 ATS in its L/6 games and has failed to cover three straight on the road.
Next Up: Away @ Redskins (-1.5)
24: St. Louis Rams (3-6 ATS, 2-7 SU) (LW: 19) Now this is the St. Louis team sports bettors have come to know and love! The Rams fell behind 40-0 at halftime, and ultimately only failed to cover the 9.5-point spread against the Jets by a mere five touchdowns. They’re 0-2 ATS this year against the NFC West, and return to divisional play this week in San Fran.
Next Up: Away @ 49ers (+6)
25: San Francisco 49ers (3-6 ATS, 2-7 SU) (LW: 30) In his second game as a head coach, Mike Singletary successfully kept his pants on, but fell a couple yards short of his first victory. The Niners lost 29-24, and are now just 1-3 against the NFC West this season. It was the first cover for San Fran since September 21st.
Next Up: Home vs. Rams (-6)
26: Detroit Lions (3-6 ATS, 0-9 SU) (LW: 25) Is this the same Lions team that went 4-0 in the preseason? QB Daunte Culpepper took his first snaps in the “Motor City,” and got crushed in Detroit’s 38-14 defeat. Though the prospect of picking up a win Carolina next week is grim, a three-game home stand after that had better produce a victory, or the Lions could end up going winless for the entire season.
Next Up: Away @ Panthers (+14)
27: Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6 ATS, 4-5 SU) (LW: 31) At least the Jags avoided the embarrassment of losing outright to both Detroit and Cincinnati in the same season… They pounded the Lions 38-14 and finally looked more like the Jacksonville team that sports bettors have become accustomed to. They’re the best threat to break up the Titans perfect season any time in the near future, but have already lost 17-10 to Tennessee way back in Week 1 of this season.
Next Up: Home vs. Titans (+3)
28: Minnesota Vikings (3-6 ATS, 5-4 SU) (LW: 27) Minnesota’s defense finally woke up, recording two safeties and recording five sacks against the Packers. It was enough for a 28-27 victory, but that wasn’t good enough to beat the 2.5-point spread. The Vikes haven’t been the prettiest team in the world, but they are winners of four of their L/5 and suddenly have a very meaningful game in Tampa Bay on the horizon.
Next Up: Away @ Buccaneers (+3.5)
29: Cincinnati Bengals (3-6 ATS, 1-8 SU) (LW: 28) HC Marvin Lewis is probably the most jealous man in America. Scott Linehan and Lane Kiffin got fired for less than this, and it appears that he’s going to be stuck wasting away in Cincinnati at least through the end of the season. If there’s one thing for Bengals bettors to rest on, it’s that they are 7-1 ATS in their L/8 against the NFC East, and could catch the Eagles napping in a typical sandwich game.
Next Up: Home vs. Eagles (+9)
30: Oakland Raiders (3-6 ATS, 2-7 SU) (LW: 26) Former Raiders DB DeAngelo Hall is perhaps the luckiest player in the NFL. He’ll still collect a huge signing bonus from Al Davis, and he moved from the sports purgatory otherwise known as Oakland to a contending team in Washington. Since their bye week, the Raiders have only scored a total of 35 points, and the 17-6 loss to Carolina was the closest defeat since.
Next Up: Away @ Miami (+10.5)
31: Denver Broncos (2-6-1 ATS, 5-4 SU) (LW: 32) The Broncos are losing running backs faster than the stock market is losing points. After putting two running backs on IR last week, RB Ryan Torain could miss the rest of the season after getting injured against the Browns. QB Jay Cutler doesn’t seem to be concerned, as he threw for a whopping 447 yards, leading Denver to a 34-30 comeback victor to end its six-game coverless streak.
Next Up: Away @ Falcons (+5.5)
32: Houston Texans (2-7 ATS, 3-6 SU) (LW: 29) If QB Sage Rosenfels thought he was going to get a chance to redeem himself from single-handedly blowing a three score lead against the Colts in his last meaningful time under center, he was sorely mistaken. The backup QB threw four picks en route to Houston’s 41-13 defeat to the Ravens. Don’t look now Sage, but those pesky Colts are the next team on the schedule.
Next Up: Away @ Colts (+9)

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