College Football Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: October 4th 2008
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Auburn -4.0 - Saturday, October 4th ‘08 6:00p
Auburn(4-1) enters into this tilt off a big bounce back victory against the Tennessee Vols last time out, by a score of 14-12, and will be primed to take out a over hyped Vanderbilt (4-0) program in this spot. The Tigers after a loss to LSU the previous week, could have easily been in a let down situation, but instead came back strong, which in turn bodes well, for their chances against a Commodores team that is getting a lot of over done accolades. Do not get me wrong, Vandy has performed admirably so far this season, with key upset wins against the Mississippi Rebels and South Carolina Gamecocks , however, now, because of their successes , they have a huge target on their backs, and will be unable to launch any more surprise attacks . Im betting Auburns hardcore defense, that has allowed 3 of 5 opponents under 100 yards rushing, to gives fits to a good but not quite ready for prime time Vanderbilt offense., that depends almost exclusively on their running game to move the chains. Meanwhile, a Tigers offense, that has not looked very fluid this season , will finally have some successes against , a vulnerable secondary that has allowed an average of 240 passing yards per game., and with each successive game this season has also allowed more and more yards on the ground. Final notes & Key Trends: The Tigers have won 13 straight in this series, the last three wins have come by an average of 30 PPG. The Commodores are 8-21 ATS L/29 October home games. HC Tubberville of Auburn is also 9-1 L/10 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. Projected score: Auburn 28 Vanderbilt 13 - Courtesy of Alex Smart
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Indiana +7.0 (-110) - Sat October 4th ‘08 12:00p
We rate this battle between the Indiana Hoosiers and the Minnesota Gophers as a toss up, which naturally give value to the Hoosiers catching a touchdown in this spot. Indiana has now dropped two straight after a 2-0 start, but they were on their way to a cover vs. a tough Michigan State team last week before fumbling on the MSU 20-yard line against a prevent defense with less than two minutes remaining. In fact, the Hoosiers have had little trouble moving the ball this year, averaging an impressive 453.5 yards of offense per game including 249.0 yards on the ground. Much of this ground attack has come courtesy of versatile quarterback Kellen Lewis, who was dinged up last week and had to leave the game with a leg injury. He did look fine after re-entering that contest though. Now, Minnesota has also been proficient offensively, averaging 33.2 points per game with a very balanced attack. However, while Indiana carried their offensive success over to Big Ten play, the Gophers were stifled somewhat by Ohio State last week, and that game marked their ninth consecutive conference loss stretching back to last season. These clubs are like mirror images in that both have stout offenses and porous defenses, but the fact that Indiana has at least shown they can still score inside the conference while the Gophers are a vulnerable favorite given their Big Ten losing streak gives the Hoosiers the edge as decided dogs. CFB Free Pick: Indiana +7 (-110) - courtesy of LT Profits
Texas-El Paso +7.5 (-110) - Saturday, October 4th ‘08 7:00p
The UTEP Miners broke through the win column after an 0-3 start with an emphatic 58-13 romp over Central Florida last week, and we now look for them to give the Southern Miss Golden Eagles all that they can handle here. The Miners had a very balanced attack last week, getting 263 passing yards from Trevor Vittatoe and 119 rushing yards from their running back corps. Even the defense got into the act with two touchdowns on fumble returns. UTEP should be able to take advantage of a disappointing Southern Miss defense that is surrendering 26.5 points on a whopping 412.5 yards per game. The Eagles have been equally generous vs. the run (4.9 yards per rush) and the pass (7.3 yard per attempt). They lost here at home to Marshall last week in this identical role of touchdown favorites, as they were shredded for 202 yards on the ground. The Miners were no doubt taking notes, so we look for UTEP to run the ball a little more this week to help set up the passing of Vittatoe. This should result in some time consuming drives, which should shorten the game and be beneficial to the underdogs. CFB Free Pick: UTEP +7.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
Texas Tech -7.0 (-110) - Saturday, October 4th ‘08 3:30p
Many college football observers think this could be the best Texas Tech team that head coach Mike Leach has fielded. Coming into the season, the Red Raiders were pretty much a one dimensional team. But thru the first four games of the campaign, all victories, Tech has balanced things a bit more. This team will still live or die by the pass. The Tech defense is also better than it has been in previous years. Kansas State can’t trade with the Red Raiders offensively, and they’ve been absolutely porous defensively.
Texas Tech’s high-powered offense led by Senior QB Graham Harrell and Sophomore WR Michael Crabtree have averaged over 45 points and 570 yards a game while climbing to No. 7 in the rankings with a 4-0 record. The Red Raiders have also improved their running game. Baron Batch and Shannon Woods, both average over 6 yards per carry and are receiving threats out of the backfield as well. The Red Raiders are backing up all that offense with an improved defense that is giving up an average of 16 points per game. Kansas State also knows how to put up a lot of points, as they average 47 points a contest. The Wildcats are led by Junoir QB Josh Freeman, who broke KSU’s career record for passing yards last week and needs only two passing TDs to tie the school mark. KSU finally found a running game during their last contest as converted WR Lamark Brown rushed for 137 yards and a TD to give the offense a balance. Additonaly, there should be plenty of points today as this game turns into a track meet. Consider a serious look at the OVER. - Courtesy of Bob Harvey
Washington +24.0 (-110) - Sat Oct 4 ‘08 7:30p
There is another big Pac-10 contest going off today, but it is not this game; this game being the Washington Huskies at the Arizona Wildcats. I am going to go with the Huskies, believe it or not, as a 24 point road dog in this tilt with Mike Stoops’ Arizona Wildcats. Everything points to the Wildcats dominating the Huskies, and I am sure they will win the game; however, I think Washington will bring enough this afternoon to cover the big spread. Why? Well, because Arizona has not proven in Mike Stoops tenure to be an overly consistent team. Even this season, probably Stoops best thus far, they have had a lapse, losing 36-28 to a less talented New Mexico team. Washington is a young team and they have played like it to this point. Their highlight is a close loss to BYU, but young team’s can improve (i.e. Oregon State), especially when there are rumors swirling about their coach’s demise. Sometimes this can bring out the best in a team. I see an inspired effort from the Huskies today as they will be playing on the road without as much pressure and with nothing to lose. Here are a couple of nuggets too, that may be of interest. In Mike Stoops tenure (this is his sixth year) at Arizona, the Wildcats have beaten an opponent by more than 24 points at home just three times. Two of those have happened this season, but I find it unlikely that he will pull off a feat three times in six games that he only managed to do once in his first five seasons. Also, the underdog in this conference series is 8-3 straight up and 11-0 against the spread since 1997. Free Pick: Take the Washington Huskies +24 - Courtesy of Matt Foust

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