UFC 131: Does the Winner of Brock Lesnar vs. Junior Dos Santos Even Matter?
The current season of The Ultimate Fighter has yet to get me interested.
Honestly, it should have been expected. Brock Lesnar hates being in front of the camera, and Junior dos Santos isn't exactly Chael Sonnen when it comes to creating drama. But some part of me really, REALLY, wanted this show to work.
Granted there have only been two episodes so far, but the entire season seems like it doesn't matter. And the truth is, it doesn't.
When Brock and JDS finally get to fight at UFC 131 in June, there is little doubt the fight will draw huge pay-per-view numbers and we will have a clear-cut contender to battle Cain Velasquez. The problem is that whomever that contender is has no chance at beating the champion.
If Lesnar wins the fight, we've seen how well he matches up with Cain. He just doesn't. The last person Lesnar wants to fight is a wrestler with good takedown defense and heavy hands. Check, check and check.
Cain can stuff Lesnar's bull rush of a takedown attempt and pick him apart on the feet. There is absolutely no reason to believe that the outcome of a second fight between the two will be any different.
Meanwhile, if Junior dos Santos is able to get past Brock, he runs into a type of fighter he's never encountered before. Although he's been on an impressive streak of victories, dos Santos has fought mostly one-dimensional fighters in his career, most of whom were happy to stand and trade with him.
While Velasquez's standup is ever improving, he has no reason to stay on the feet with dos Santos and will likely be able to easily out-wrestle his Brazilian foe.
Unless Junior dos Santos shows he's the heavyweight equivalent of Ben Askren, or Brock Lesnar suddenly morphs into a 300 lb. version of Anderson Silva, I can comfortably state that Cain Velasquez has the tools to destroy either one of these men.
This Wednesday I'll undoubtedly sit in front of my TV at 8 p.m. and watch The Ultimate Fighter. I'll watch because I'm an MMA fan and I'm looking forward to the fight between the coaches, but I won't give myself false hope that one of these two men will be the next UFC heavyweight champion.
So, can we guarantee that the UFC title will still belong to Velasquez at the end of 2011?
Yes We Cain.


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