College Football Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: September 27th 2008

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Kent +18.0 - Saturday, September 27th 2008 12:00p
The Ball State Cardinals enter into this Home Coming contest against visiting Kent State in a somber mood , Receiver Dante Love suffered a career-ending spinal cord injury last week , in his teams 42-20 win against state rivals the Indiana Hoosiers . It must be noted that the young man, had successful surgery to repair the damage, and is expected to walk again and live a normal life. Love is currently ranked 2nd in the nation in receiving yards , and was one of the Cardinals all time top stats leaders at his position . His versatility also made him a dangerous special teams player, and the impact of his loss will be much greater than some pundits might expect . The combination of last weeks emotional win and the loss of one of their biggest stars , will hinder the Cardinals abilities to concentrate and compete at a high level here this week, even though they are facing a sub .500 opponent in their MAC conference opener. Final notes & Key Trends: Kent State may only be 2-12 ATS dating back to last season, but for the most part they have been very competitive , with their average margin of defeat ringing in at just 8 PPG. Play on the Golden Flashes to cover -Projected score: Ball State 34 Kent 24 - Courtesy of Alex Smart

Indiana +8.0 (-110) - Sat September 27th ‘08 12:00p
The Indiana Hoosiers and Michigan State Spartans are very similar in that both teams have run oriented offenses and both defend the run well, so in what figures to be a tight battle, it seems prudent to grab more than a touchdown with the home team here. In fact, the home underdogs are actually averaging more points and yards offensively and allowing fewer yards per game defensively, meaning that this line may be based more on reputation than on the performances of these teams on the field this season. Indiana is averaging 32.0 points and 446.7 total yards per game while going 2-1 so far, with a whopping 271.3 of those yards coming on the ground. The Hoosiers are averaging an impressive 5.7 yards per rush, and quarterback Kellen Lewis has made up for his passing deficiencies by leading the team with 331 rushing years on a terrific 9.5 yards per carry. The Indiana defense has done its part by allowing just 19.3 points and 298.0 total yards per game, limiting opposing rushers to 3.1 yards per carry. Now the Spartans are off to a 3-1 start, and they are averaging 28.2 points on 376.0 yards per game. While those numbers look impressive, they are actually not as good as Indiana and the yardage numbers are padded somewhat by a dominating performance on the ground vs. a bad Notre Dame team last week. Their defense has been solid, allowing only 13 points per game, but they are allowing an average of 324.2 totals yards and 3.8 yards per rush, more than half a yard higher that the Hoosiers run defense allows per carry. Add this all up and we see a field goal type contest either way, so we feel Indiana offers lots of value at this price at home. CFB Free Pick: Indiana +8 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
 
Virginia Tech +7.0 (-110) - Sat September 27th ‘08 8:00p
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 3-0 and outscoring their opponents by an average score of 40.0-14.3, but the Virginia Hokies represent a jump up in class here. After all, the Huskers three blowout wins have come vs. New Mexico State, San Jose State and Western Michigan. They are now facing a legitimate defense for the first time all year, and while the Hokies are allowing a few more points and yards than recent seasons, they have still displayed big play ability with 11 takeaways and seven sacks. Also do not forget that Virginia Tech already has two conference wins, and their only loss was at East Carolina, so that have not faced the same cupcake schedule that Nebraska has taken on. They are also coming off of an impressive road win over an up and coming North Carolina program. While Nebraska may have the more gaudy statistics on paper, we feel that a tougher schedule for Virginia Tech to this point has better prepared them to take this contest down to the wire, and an outright shocker would not surprise us. CFB Free Pick: Virginia Tech +7 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

Oklahoma State -17.0 (-110) - Saturday, September 27 ‘08 7:00p
Under normal circumstances I would tend to look toward the big dog in this one. However, that’s not the case this year, as Okla. St. will be highly motivated for this one. Okla St. went to Troy last year as a 10.5 point favorite and were embarrassed on national TV getting blown-out 41-23. They were off last week, therefore have had 2 weeks to prepare for the rematch and are catching Troy coming off a tough game last week at Ohio St. Look for Okla St. to roll in this one. - Courtesy of JB Sports

Navy +16.5 (-110) - Sat September 27th ‘08 3:45p
The Navy Midshipmen are off to a 2-2 start this year, but this Saturday they will meet perhaps their toughest opponent to date in Wake Forest. Despite the difficult draw, we are going to go with Navy +16.5 on the road against the Demon Deacons. Navy’s two losses this year both occurred on the road, the first one against a high-powered Ball State team and the second versus the vastly improved Duke Blue Devils. The Midshipmen’s biggest issue in the Ball State game was their inability to get the Cardinals off the field on third down, consequently, they were dropped 35-23. Navy carried a 24-20 lead into halftime at Duke but allowed the Devils to post 21 second half points (they still finished within 10). Wake Forest is a quality team but they have not exactly been overpowering. Their biggest win was their opener at Baylor (41-13), but the Bears handed the Deacons five turnovers, making the margin of victory more than it normally would have been. Since that win they beat Ole Miss 30-28 (Mississippi three turnovers) and Florida State 12-3 (FSU seven turnovers).Wake also has not exhibited a dominant running game (2.6 yards per carry) which could lead to more third and long situations versus Navy. The Midshipmen have proven that they can run the ball (345.8 yards per game on the ground) and this will limit the Demon Deacons ability to run the score up. While their defense is far from being a big stopper, they should be able to get at least a few. Navy will not hand Wake points via turnover either, as their other opponents have. On the year the Midshipmen are averaging just one turnover per game. Wake will get the win, but Navy will hang around here and make this game closer than people might think. Free Pick: Take Navy +16.5 (-110) - Courtesy of Matt Foust

Nebraska -7.0 (-110) - Sat September 27th ‘08 8:00p
In one of two ACC vs. Big XII games this weekend, the Virginia Tech Hokies (3-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) will storm Lincoln to face head coach Bo Pelini’s rejuvenated Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS). The Hokies are coming off of a big come-from-behind 20-17 win against the Tar Heels. Pelini’s Cornhuskers have started the season strong, winning by at least 23 points in every game to generate their unblemished record. Frank Beamer and the Hokies originally intended to redshirt QB Tyrod Taylor this season, but the offense sputtered under QB Sean Glennon and Taylor has taken a hold of the starting reins. Taylor also struggled last week against North Carolina, only completing 11 passes for 125 yards while throwing two interceptions in the win. Once again, the vaunted Hokie defense had to bail out the offense and did so by holding UNC to just 14 first downs while forcing four turnovers in the win. VTECH is a bankroll killing 1-7-1 ATS in non-conference games since 2006. The Huskers have started the season strong and will look to keep it going against the Hokies. Since taking over for Sam Keller with a few games to go last year, QB Joe Ganz has dazzled when given the opportunity as the Huskers field general. In Big Reds last game against New Mexico State, Ganz threw for 227 total yards and two touchdowns in a very efficient performance. RB Marlon Lucky has again been a workhorse on the ground, carrying the ball 15 times for 103 yards and two touchdowns in that win over the Aggies. With one more ATS win this season, the Huskers will have already matched their college football gambling win total from 2007. Look for them to get it in this prime time affair!!! - Courtesy of Mike Rose