College Football Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: September 20th 2008

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Oregon -10.0 - Sat September 20th ‘08 3:30p
As soon as the betting pundits heard that starting Oregon QB Justin Roper will miss 2-4 weeks with a partially torn MCL, the money started to flow in on the side of the visiting underdogs the Boise State Broncos. There were wise guys and squares waiting to pounce on the books as soon as the news broke, bringing the line down , which in turn, in my humble opinion now makes the Ducks the right side. After watching the Ducks comeback with a 32-26 OT victory over Purdue last week, I could see this team had grit and determination , and unlike last years version, will be primed to respond to a QB injury. A quick look at their over all stats, tells the story of a over powering team with credible national championship aspirations. To this point in the season, Oregon is fourth in the nation in total offense (562.33 ypg) and rushing offense (323.33 ypg), and ninth in scoring offense (47.33 ppg). Meanwhile , the Boise State Broncos, despite of a 20-7 win last week against Bowling Green, surprisingly struggled when they had the rock , registering just 89 yards in total offense in the the second half. The defense despite of allowing just one TD, still gave up a total 307 yards . With that said, Im not totally sold on this years version of the Broncos, especially on the road, against what must be recognized as a superior program, from a better conference. What Im betting will happen is that JUCO transfer Jeremiah Masoli and Chris Harper will both see playing time under center for the Ducks. The huge Oregon offensive line will give the pivots time to operate, and a lot of pressure will be alleviated via a heavy taste of a viable running game . As the contest progresses, look for and expect the Broncos over matched D, to fold, and for huge holes to open up, which result in a boatload full of scoring opportunities for the home side. Final notes & Key Trends: Oregon is 28-1 L/29 SU in non conference home games, Mike Bellotti has won 17 straight against WAC programs. Boise State has lost 12 straight road games vs BCS Schools by an average of 21 PPG, and have a recent history of starting slowly in their first road game away from the blue carpet as they failed to cover 7 straight. Play on Oregon to cover -Projected score: Ducks 35 Broncos 20 - Courtesy of Alex Smart

Arkansas +9.5 (-110) - Sat September 20th ‘08 12:30p
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 3-0 and ranked for a very good reason, but keep in mind that this tilt with Arkansas is their first true road game of the season. Alabama is just 2-7 straight up in true road games the last two years, making them quite vulnerable as road favorites in this spot, and they are facing a much more balanced Arkansas offense than they are accustomed to facing. Any success the Razorbacks have had in recent year has come by handing the ball off to any of their plethora of stud running backs, led by Darren McFadden and Felix Jones. However, new coach Bobby Petrino has brought over some of his pass-happy attack with him from Louisville, and as a result, Casey Dick has passed for 641 yards in two games while completing 62.7 percent of his passes, with four touchdown passes vs. just one interception. Now Alabama represents a huge jump in class for he Hogs, as the Tide have steamrolled their first three opponents by an average margin of +24.0 points. As great as Alabama has looked, Tulane and Western Kentucky are not much better than the two cupcakes that Arkansas has faced, and Clemson has proven to be a grossly overrated team from a terrible conference. Now we are by no means demeaning the Tide here, as this is a quality football club. It is just that this game marks the toughest opponent that either of these teams has faced, and Alabama may not be fully prepared for the newfound Arkansas passing attack. The Crimson Tide may win this game on the field, but we expect Arkansas to match them virtually point for point, setting up a barnburner of a finish in front of a raucous home crowd. CFB Free Pick: Arkansas +9.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
 
Rice +29.5 (-110) - Sat September 20th ‘08 7:00p
First of all, there is little question that Texas will win this game. However, we do feel that Rice has enough talent to stay within four touchdowns here. After all, the Owls are averaging 39.7 points and 434.3 yards of total offense per game. They started the season 2-0 in Conference USA play, and then even though they lost 38-21 to Vanderbilt from the SEC last week, they still managed 407 yards including 299 through the air. Rice has the quick strike ability with quarterback Chase Clement, who has 875 passing yards in three games while completing 62.5 percent of his passes, to stay in any game vs. comparable opponents. Now obviously that is not the case with Texas, but Rice could still score enough points not to get embarrassed here. Now the Longhorns are 2-0, although there momentum may have been slowed down by Hurricane Ike, which forced their game vs. Arkansas to be postponed last week. That game has been moved to next week, which may also be a distraction for the Horns, as they will almost undoubtedly have one eye on that contest during the second half of this one. That should at the very least leave the back door open, although it is not a given that Texas will build up a 30-point lead to begin with in a look-ahead situation. Take the abundance of points. CFB Free Pick: Rice +29.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits