WWE Royal Rumble: Breaking Down the 40-Man Royal Rumble Match
We are now just five nights away from the largest Royal Rumble match in history. A record 40 participants will all attempt to headline WrestleMania XXVII and eliminate the rest of their competition. Since last year's event, WWE has lost Batista, Chris Jericho and Shawn Michaels, as well as seeing injuries to The Undertaker, Triple H and an on-the-verge main eventer in Evan Bourne. With more entries than ever before and arguably less star power than ever, WWE fans are baffled at how 40 men could be put into the match.
Regardless, we will only need to wait until Sunday to find out who will be victorious. For the 26 confirmed participants, here are there odds, listed in alphabetical order. Note that this list does not include men such as Big Show, Drew McIntyre, Jack Swagger, Kane, etc. This is because they are yet to be officially named to the match. While they likely will be named on Smackdown this week, nobody will be discussed for the Rumble unless they are definitely in there.
Alberto Del Rio
For weeks, we have seen Alberto Del Rio in pretty much any TV show that WWE has, proclaiming that it is his destiny to win the Royal Rumble. He has been built in a rather strong way and is yet to truly be buried. Only Rey Mysterio has seemed to truly defeat him. In the large Rumble, expect Del Rio to survive, likely by getting help from his ring announcer or from sliding out of the ring from under the bottom rope.
Odds: 5 to 1
CM Punk has to be a big favorite in the Royal Rumble, mainly because it is the one thing that he has never accomplished in WWE. With four men to watch his back, CM Punk and his Nexus minions account for one-eighth of the entire Rumble field. If Punk gets eliminated by anyone that isn't John Cena, consider that to be shock of the night.
Odds: 2 to 1
"Dashing" Cody Rhodes
The Dashing One may be dashing into and out of the Rumble. A guy that I am very high on is not being built very well. If he isn't Intercontinental Championship material, he certainly isn't world championship match at WrestleMania material. I expect Rhodes to get hit in the face and freak out so much that it leads to him getting eliminated.
Odds: 25 to 1
I can't tell much about Daniel Bryan anymore. I can't understand if he is heel or face anymore. I can't tell if he has a personality. Actually, I can tell that last one. He doesn't have one. Thanks for trying, Bella Twins.
For the United States champion, I would prefer him to have a title match earlier on and be slightly hurt. It could lead to him lasting rather long and getting credit for being a gritty and tough guy.
Odds: 15 to 1
For anyone who knows his theme, the song says "1, 2, 3..."
If it goes any longer for Darren Young, good for him.
Odds: 150 to 1
David Hart Smith
I'm waiting for the Baby Bulldog to show some character and get into a storyline, no matter how small. Until then, he isn't getting more than a few minutes from me.
Odds: 100 to 1
WWE has been waiting for Ezekiel Jackson to be good to go for practically a year now. Big Zeke is now healthy and is aligned with better people than he has ever been with (My apologies go out to The Brian Kendrick, William Regal and Vladamir Kozlov). Jackson literally picked up Big Show in a way that I have never seen before. Not considering Ezekiel Jackson a top favorite in this match is a mistake.
Odds: 8 to 1
Now a member of The Corre, Slater is now expected to be in the best place of his career in the WWE yet. Despite the fact that he once held tag team gold with Justin Gabriel, he will be built as strong as the other three men in The Corre. The problem for Slater is that the other three men are better than he is. Regardless, having three good allies in the Rumble will make Slater's odds better than they should be.
Odds: 12 to 1
Cena is a clear favorite in this match. It isn't even funny anymore. The SuperCena jokes will be off the charts if Cena wins this match, but it is his match to lose. Regardless of The Corre and the New Nexus both gunning for him. Those two groups combined with Cena make up for one-fourth of the entire field. Overoming 39 other men and nine other men who specifically want Cena gone.
On a bright side to all the Cena haters, his change in attitude and his abuse of power on RAW had heelish tendencies to it. Just saying, people...
Odds: 1 to 2
John Morrison has become one of those guys who you can expect a great Rumble showing from. With the moveset that makes you miss Shawn Michaels and the tenacity and toughness that mirrors Chris Jericho, Morrison is the embodiment of the dark horse in this Rumble. Morrison was already lasting long in the Rumble; couple that with his push now and his chances look better and better the more you think about it.
Odds: 4 to 1
Justin Gabriel's argument is much like that of Heath Slater's except that he is in a better position than Slater is. Gabriel is hanging with main event talent already. However, much like any other guy with a high-flying finisher, it will be a disadvantage to go to the top of the turnbuckle. Gabriel will shine in his Rumble debut and I expect a build to a Money in the Bank match in a few months. At that point, he will officially have arrived.
Odds: 10 to 1
For a guy that has become such a mainstay at the top of the card, you almost forget that this is the first Rumble match for Sheamus. This is the same man that, in his last battle royale, won a chance at his first world title. As King of the Ring, it would only make sense to finally give him a world title match since he hasn't had one since winning the crown. Signs point to the King as a major contender.
However, it may be time to play The Game...
Odds: 3 to 1
Mark Henry is a large man. So far, he is the only large man confirmed for the Royal Rumble, though that is likely to not stay. Henry is on his way out in the coming years and the World's Strongest Man has had an interesting career around the Royal Rumble. Don't look much into Mark Henry eliminating Sheamus. He isn't a major contender. Consider Mark Henry to be fool's gold.
Odds: 18 to 1
I decided to group David Otunga, Husky Harris, Michael McGillicutty and Mason Ryan all in one. The reason is because none of them are looking to win the match. They only want CM Punk to win. Don't put a lot of stock into Husky Harris's doubt or David Otunga's ego. They will all fall in line. While they will be a major part of how the match plays out, the odds for any of them to win are very large.
Odds: 200 to 1
Yes, he is in the match.
I know, I forgot about him too.
Odds: 80 to 1
R-Truth is going to be in every pay-per-view of meaning, even if he isn't on TV every week. He will encounter Alberto Del Rio and likely get eliminated in order to get him over. Then R-Truth will make his way to the next pay-per-view, unless it is in Canada. He's not allowed in Canada anymore.
Odds: 20 to 1
I am dreading Smackdown this Friday and the commentary when Rey Mysterio is in the Rumble match on Sunday. I'm sick of hearing Rey Mysterio as The Ultimate Underdog. I'm sick of trying to keep a guy as an underdog just because he is small, especially when he is a two-time world champion and won a Royal Rumble a few years ago. Rey will stick around for longer than he probably should be before being eliminated right towards the end.
Odds: 9 to 1
I really wish that I could give DiBiase good odds. However, he hasn't given me anything to work with. There is literally no silver lining to this guy anymore. Turn him face and strip him of all of his money. Make him earn everything that he has lost. Give this guy momentum because you know that he will work to earn more.
Odds: 75 to 1
There's just something about Tyson Kidd that I can't understand. He's small and he's a blip on the RAW radar. But this seems to be a year where he makes his name in the business. I've said the same thing about The Miz and Dolph Ziggler, who are now both in world title matches on Sunday. 2011 is the year of Tyson Kidd. I'm calling it.
Odds: 50 to 1
Wade Barrett is still a main event player. With his new group, The Corre, he is aligned with three other individuals. With the chips stacked against them, they will fight with each other, back to back. I'm interested to see how The Corre will react when they have to face one another. Barrett has the best chance of anyone in The Corre. Translation: John Cena will eliminate him and Wade Barrett will get into the Elimination Chamber.
Odds: 6 to 1
This is likely the last Royal Rumble for William Regal. Moreover, this is likely the last time William Regal will be on pay-per-view in a match. It has been a great career but the changing of the guard to the next generation is officially done this Sunday. Thanks for everything, Regal.
Odds: 60 to 1
There was an unaired 26-man battle royale at WrestleMania XXVI. Yoshi Tatsu was the winner. This is the closest that one could ever get to winning a Royal Rumble. It makes me wonder if Yoshi surprises and sticks around for a little while. It certainly has an unusual inpact on my odds for him. I'd love to see him get a chance at a championship in this calendar year.
Odds: 26 to 1
Does Ryder have a chance?
Woo Woo Woo, I Know It.
In all seriousness, anyone who has followed Ryder can see that he has rarely been given a chance to have a good match in the last year. I don't think that he is world champion material but I think Ryder could at least be better than he is now.
Odds: 90 to 1
We know that there will be more participants added to the Rumble, but so far, here are the odds of the Royal Rumble participants:
John Cena: 1 to 2
CM Punk: 2 to 1
Sheamus: 3 to 1
John Morrison: 4 to 1
Alberto Del Rio: 5 to 1
Wade Barrett: 6 to 1
Ezekiel Jackson: 8 to 1
Rey Mysterio: 9 to 1
Justin Gabriel: 10 to 1
Heath Slater: 12 to 1
Daniel Bryan: 15 to 1
Mark Henry: 18 to 1
R-Truth: 20 to 1
"Dashing" Cody Rhodes: 25 to 1
Yoshi Tatsu: 26 to 1
Tyson Kidd: 50 to 1
William Regal: 60 to 1
Ted DiBiase: 75 to 1
Primo: 80 to 1
Zack Ryder: 90 to 1
David Hart Smith: 100 to 1
Darren Young: 150 to 1
New Nexus: 200 to 1
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