NFL SpreadSHREDDER, Week 13: Tampa Bay Buccaneers No Dogs vs. Atlanta Falcons

SpreadSHREDDER Week 12 Record ATS: 1-1

Week 12 Record vs. Wagering Total: 0-1

Overall Record ATS: 17-15-1

Overall Record vs. Wagering Total: 2-2

Although this isn't the first time this season we've gone all underdog with our picks, we've dedicated the second annual Doggy Style post to this particular week as the value favorites for the week are few and far between.

TAMPA BAY (+3) OVER ATLANTA {Bodog}

The Atlanta Falcons are coming off a hard fought, emotional win over the Green Bay Packers and are currently enjoying the obligatory over-praising that comes with such a big win.  Now, the Falcons must go on the road to play a division rival who will be seeking revenge and are in need of a win to keep pace in both the NFC playoff race as well as the division.

Sure, Matt Ryan looked fine last week and was serviceable in his game-winning drive where he only had to go, what, two-and-a-half yards to get in position for the game-winning field goal?  

But what the mainstream pundits won't tell you is that Matt Ryan's pedestrian yards per attempt, of around five yards, paled in comparison to that of Aaron Rodgers, who posted over nine yards per attempt in a losing effort, further rendering the Falcon win inflated.

Premature Super Bowl talk surrounding the currently inflated Falcons will be sure to subside after the Tampa Bay Buccaneers pull off a key victory as home underdogs.  TAMPA BAY, 27-24.

CAROLINA (+6) OVER SEATTLE {Bodog}

So, let's get this straight: The Seattle Seahawks gave up 42 points at home on the strength, or lack there of, of a defense that couldn't stop preschoolers at a crosswalk wearing an orange vest, and we're getting points?

The only thing the Carolina Panthers do exceptionally well is run the ball, and with two capable backs who are both peaking, expect the Panthers to take full advantage of the gaping hole in Seattle's defensive line created after the injury to Red Bryant.

With their running game sure to dominate, expect the Panthers to control the clock and slow the game down, which always goes in favor of the underdog.

Converting in short yardage situations will keep the Seahawks on the sideline.  The Panthers' weapons on the ground could even turn this game into an unexpected blowout against a team who, along with its fellow NFC West compatriots, is awful outside of their division.  CAROLINA, 28-14.

BUFFALO (+6) OVER MINNESOTA {Bodog}

The Buffalo Bills have been the best underdog bet going for quite some time.  Buffalo's exceptional play at quarterback has gone a long way in making them the weekly value bet that they have become.  Playing indoors should only facilitate strong offensive play for Ryan Fitzpatrick, Stevie Johnson and a Buffalo Bills offense and team that is 4-1 against the spread on the road.

With Toby Gerhart sure to take more snaps due to the current injury situation with Adrian Peterson, the Vikings will not have as explosive of a running game as usual as Gerhart is the type of back who gets the slow, tough yards.

The Bills have a pass defense just outside the top 10 in the NFL, and it will be sure to capitalize on interception opportunities against the mistake-proned Brett Favre.

The Bills will continue to fight as they look to put a positive exclamation to their season against a team in transition, all while helping your fantasy team get into the playoffs (Please don't drop another touchdown pass, Stevie!). BUFFALO, 26-20.

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