Juan Pablo Montoya Must Perform in the Next Five Races

al asifyouknowSenior Analyst IMay 30, 2010

CONCORD, NC - MAY 21: Juan Pablo Montoya, driver of the #42 Target Chevrolet, walks on the grid during qualifying for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Showdown at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 21, 2010 in Concord, North Carolina.  (Photo by Geoff Burke/Getty Images for NASCAR)
Geoff Burke/Getty Images

It’s time for the No. 42 team to get get serious.

This next five races—Charlotte, Pocono, Michigan, Sonoma and Loudon—are races where Juan Pablo Montoya has had some of his best NASCAR performances.

He has achieved a win, some top fives and top 10s.

Coming back to these tracks in 2010 with a better car, a better team, and more experience, one would expect his first oval win to come in one of the next four ovals.

Actually you can bet it will. This team finally got this thing together, everything is looking good, Montoya is fast every week and so is his teammate Jamie Mcmurray.

The Earnhardt-Ganassi cars have the horsepower needed to be a top contender in Cup. As you may or may not know, the engines come from the Earnhardt-Childress engine shop, the same used by Harvick, Burton and Bowyer.

I look for multiple Earnhardt-Childress Racing engines to make the chase, maybe up to three of them, and yes, that will include No. 42.

It will be difficult to get a spot in the chase but there are a few drivers in the top twelve who could be vulnerable, Truex Jr., Edwards, Burton, Kurt Busch and maybe Biffle.

Some of those teams have problems with pit mistakes or bad race strategies—the Burton team comes to mind, as they probably cost him a race this year.

Truex Jr’s early-season thunder will fade at the end of the season, as that appears to be the pattern of the Michael Waltrip Racing teams.

Juan Pablo Montoya is only 112 points from the chase, which is not a big deal if you have a car fast enough to run top 10s week in and week out.

Do they have a car fast enough to make up that 112 points?

Yes they do. Here are some interesting stats.

The No. 42 is the only team with four top-five finishes who is out of the top 12 standings, and along with Bowyer is the only team with six top-10 finishes out of the chase.

This year's Target race car has been a target to just about everyone who wrecks. They have been the most collected car in NASCAR this year, true stat.

If it weren’t for all those collections (none of his fault), including being wrecked by his own teammate, the No. 42 team would be well positioned in the chase, probably in the top five.


If this team can get to the chase in the next five races, the next block of five tracks should play right into their hands and solidify their position in the chase well before Richmond.

Daytona, Chicago, Indianapolis, Pocono and Watkins Glen are tracks where Juan Pablo Montoya has achieved top 10s in 2009, and as far as I’m concerned a win at Indianapolis (I never did get to see all those pit time stats..hummm).

Every thing is set for this No. 42 team to be successful. There is only one thing left to do.

Get err Done!

Enough said.

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