Sunday NFL Best Bet and Why the Vikings Will Not Win the Superbowl

 The Vikings need to get home field advantage if they even want a shot at winning the superbowl this year. They have not played well on the road and their record is inflated because of it.

 They are 4-2 on the road this year and those four wins were at Cleveland, Detroit, St. Louis and Green Bay. Only one of those opponents is respectable and Minnesota had extra motivation to win at Green Bay. The losses were against Pittsburgh and Arizona and it showed just what kind of problems the Vikings have on the road.

 Another reason they don’t advance to the big game is the passing defense. It is ranked just 16^th in the league and since it looks like the road to the big game will go through Drew Brees that is not good news for Viking fans.

 The Vikings are 17^th in the NFL in Penalty yards per game because they get so many per game. As of now besides Green Bay that is worse than any other team in the NFC that could make the playoffs. That leads me to the Sunday Night game against the Carolina Panthers.

 The Panthers have had an absolutely horrible year but they are in a good spot to pull the upset here. The Panthers have won five of six and cashed six in a row at home in December. They have also prospered against excellent offensive teams at home (9-1 ATS) that average more than 375 yards per game. Minnesota is 0-6 ATS versus good rushing teams that gain more than 4.5 yards per carry. For as bad as they have played the Panthers can still run the ball effectively.

 The Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the Panthers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. The Vikings are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in December and 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. The Panthers are the best bet this Sunday and may just pull off the upset!

 Sunday NFL Best Bet: Panthers +9

 ~Matt

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