Cheap, Late-Inning Relief Options
Thinking about how much of a bad streak Hendry has been on recently (the Bradley signing, the 2-year deal for John Grabow, not offering Rich Harden arbitration, etc.) I feel bad for Jim, and wanted to see what I can do to help him......Right now the Cubs bullpen looks like this:
CL -- Carlos Marmol
SU -- Angel Guzman, John Grabow
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While I feel comfortable about the front 4 (even though Hendry waaaay overpaid Grabow and doesn't seem to pay any attention to a pitcher's WHIP), I'm not sold on the back end.....Berg and Caridad closed out with a bang last year, but neither was on the team's radar as a major prospect and I don't see both being solid contributors going forward (maybe one, but not both....)
Samardzija is too inconsistent, Stevens dominated triple-A but couldn't translate it to big-league success, and Jon Gaub -- although absolutely filthy at double- and triple-A -- hasn't yet been up with the big leage club.
It's clear that at least 1 more veteran arm would be nice. [Preface: I rely heavily on OPS-against as a quality indicator of future success.....]
Here are my free-agent relievers, ranked by preference, that could be obtained relatively cheaply:
1) Kiko Calero
Upsides: Except for 2007, has an OPS under .640 the last 5 years. Only 4 HRs given up the last 3 years combined.
Downsides: Injured in parts of 2007-08.
Would offer: 2-year, $6-mil deal, and go as high as 3 years, $9 mil.
2) Doug Brocail
Upsides: Had an OPS under .680 in 2006-08. In 2009, OPS against RH of .662.
Downsides: Subpar 2009 due to injury.
Would offer: 1-year, $2.5-mil deal, and go as high as 2 years, $4.5-mil.
3) Russ Springer
Upsides: Great in 2007-08. Except for 2009, has an OPS under .700 the last 5 years. .538 OPS against RH the last 3 years.
Downsides: Poor numbers in 2009, sometimes HR-prone...
Would offer: 1-year, $2.5-mil deal, and go as high as 2 years, $5-mil w/ $3.5 option for 2012.
4) Chad Bradford
Upsides: Except for 2007, has an OPS under .680 the last 5 years. Only 4 HRs given up the last 3 years combined. Pretty consistent submariner when healthy.
Downsides: Injured in parts of 2007-08.
Would offer: 2-year, $5-mil deal, w/ $3 club option for 2012.
5) Brian Shouse
Upsides: Great in 2007-08. .531 OPS against LH the last 3 years. Terrific lefty specialist.
Downsides: Awful in 2009.
Would offer: 1-year, $750,000 deal, and go as high as 1 year, $1.5 mil w/ 2011 option.
6) Brendan Donnelly
Upsides: Except for 2008, has an OPS under .700 every year of his career. Might be healthy for the first time in a long time, and could come cheap.
Downsides: Injury-prone, gopher-prone.
Would offer: 2-year, $3-mil, or as high as 2 years, $4 mil.
7) David Weathers
Upsides: He's a workhorse, and very versatile, having closed games for the Reds a couple of years.
Downsides: OPS under .700 in just 2 of the last 5 years. Really more suited to middle-relief role than anything else....
Would offer: 2-year, $3-mil. That's all. Someone else will offer him more and regret it.
8) Fernando Rodney
Upsides: Experience closing, was 37 of 38 saves last year.
Downsides: ERA under 3.50 only once and gives up gophers. Really not a great pitcher, has a reputation as a fireballer that doesn't match the numbers.
Would offer: 2-year, $3-mil. That's all. Someone else will offer him more and regret it.
9) Guillermo Mota
Upsides: Great in 2009.
Downsides: In 2006-08, he was both not effective AND expensive.
Would offer: 2-year, $3-mil. That's all. Someone else will offer him more and regret it.
10) Alan Embree
Upsides: Lefty. Experienced.
Downsides: His numbers have gotten worse each of the last 3 years. I'm only putting him on this list to have a nice round top-10......
Would offer: Minor-league deal.



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