Week 13 Free NFL Picks: The Colts Will Fall

Kevin Roberts@BreakingKevinSenior Writer IDecember 1, 2009

HOUSTON - NOVEMBER 29:  Quarterback Peyton Manning #18 of the Indianapolis Colts checks the scoreboard in the second quarter at Reliant Stadium on November 29, 2009 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
Bob Levey/Getty Images

We had a successful run in Week 12, despite missing on two huge upset picks. We went for the gold by picking both the Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints to drop their first games of the season, but instead watched in horror as they both reached the 11-0 plateau.

While we couldn't help you out with those two picks, we did manage to go 10-4 the rest of the way, giving us a solid 10-6 record for the week.

We're a very solid 32-15 over the past three weeks, and we're working hard to make sure we keep that pace heading into Week 13 . Without further haste, here are your picks with some analysis and a predicted score:

New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills

The Jets and Bills are both starting at the playoff picture from the outside, but as inconsistent as both teams have been, they still have a shot at a wild card spot. Both teams have difficulty stopping the run, while both are fairly solid against the pass. This should be a battle in the trenches.

Jets 21, Bills 17

St. Louis Rams @ Chicago Bears

The real question here is if Jay Cutler can finally put his team on his back and carry them to a win all by himself. He's been asked to do so much, and while a lot of his mistakes fall on him, he also isn't getting the necessary help from the rest of his offense. That shouldn't be an issue against a weak Rams defense. Look for Matt Forte to help take the pressure off of Cutler this week.

Bears 27, Rams 16

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Much like the Jets/Bills match-up, these two teams are facing a do-or-die game, in which the loser is almost certainly out of the playoff picture. The Texans were standing at 5-4 and looked to be well on their way to a wild card spot, but have now dropped two straight, while the Jaguars ran into a desperate 49ers team last week and simply didn't show up.

We'll give the Texans a mulligan for losing to the still undefeated Colts, and considering how weak the Jaguars overall defense is, we like their chances to get back to .500.

Texans 34, Jaguars 24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

The Buccaneers almost got away with a huge upset against the Falcons, but now have to regroup and prove last week's strong effort against a decent team didn't go to waste. The Panthers, on the other hand, are without Jake Delhomme this week (sweet), but now have Matt Moore under center (upgrade?). Expect both teams to pound the rock and try to win the battle of field position.

Panthers 20, Buccaneers 13

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

After losing four straight games and then destroying the hapless New York Giants, we still can't be sure what to make of this Denver team. It's a safe bet they don't have a ton of problems against Kansas City, who didn't even show up last week against San Diego, but we'll have to wait another week to see what this Broncos team is really all about.

Broncos 38, Chiefs 17

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts

This is the battle we've all been waiting for. The Titans have seemingly saved their season with five consecutive wins, and an unlikely win over the Colts could catapult them into wild card positioning. These Titans are a completely different team on both sides of the ball than they were five weeks ago, and as good as the Colts may be, they just might be the task that Peyton Manning can't complete.

The Colts haven't been great at running the ball for most of the season, and with a stout Titans run defense in their way, Peyton Manning will be forced into action against a very solid Titans pass defense. Look for Chris Johnson to continue his tear in the upset of the week.

Titans 30, Colts 27

Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons

Even though the Eagles struggled to narrowly escape defeat against the Redskins, we have to give them the credit for sticking at it and getting the job done. Besides, everyone knows division games are never a cakewalk, no matter who the opponent is. This week should be a surprise for many, as the under-manned Falcons come into town without Matt Ryan and Michael Turner, and pose no real threat to the Eagles.

Eagles 33, Falcons 21

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins

We learned a lot from the Patriots lackluster performance on Monday night. We now know that the Saints are probably just as good as they've been hyped up to be, while the Patriots are likely just a shell of what they were in 2007. We don't doubt their offensive talents, especially against the weak Dolphins defense this week, but their defense is clearly not up to the task of stopping elite teams.

Patriots 41, Dolphins 21

For the rest of Week 13 's NFL Picks , go here .