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Los Angeles Rams' Matthew Stafford during the first half of the NFC Championship NFL football game against the San Francisco 49ers Sunday, Jan. 30, 2022, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
Los Angeles Rams' Matthew Stafford during the first half of the NFC Championship NFL football game against the San Francisco 49ers Sunday, Jan. 30, 2022, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)Mark J. Terrill/Associated Press

Rams vs. Bengals: Latest Point Spread, Moneyline, Picks for Super Bowl 56

Joe TanseyFeb 2, 2022

The Cincinnati Bengals have relished the underdog role on their path to Super Bowl LVI.

Joe Burrow and Co. cashed in as the moneyline underdog in their wins over the Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs. Cincinnati finds itself in the same position as the past two rounds for its clash with the Los Angeles Rams on February 13.

Los Angeles opened as the favorite to win inside its home stadium, and the point spread has increased in its favor since Sunday. The Rams entered Wednesday as a 4.5-point favorite to become the second team in as many years to capture the Vince Lombardi Trophy inside their home stadium.

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Super Bowl 56 Odds

Spread: Los Angeles Rams (-4.5)

Over/Under: 48.5

Moneyline: Los Angeles Rams -200 (bet $200 to win $100); Cincinnati +170 (bet $100 to win $170)

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Super Bowl Pick

Los Angeles Rams 31, Cincinnati 20

Cincinnati is 5-0 in its past five games as an underdog on the point spread, but that trend could come to an end February 13.

The Los Angeles Rams averaged 399.6 total yards per game in their three postseasons wins, and they could wreak havoc on the Cincinnati defense. The Matthew Stafford-Cooper Kupp connection looks as good as it has all season, and Odell Beckham Jr. is coming off his most successful game in a Rams uniform. Kupp and Beckham both had more than 100 receiving yards in the NFC Championship Game.

Stafford achieved success through the air even without one of his most reliable targets. Tight end Tyler Higbee went down with an injury in the first half. Kendall Blanton, the Rams' No. 2 tight end, stepped in and caught five balls for 57 yards.

Cincinnati stopped the Kansas City Chiefs in the second half of the AFC Championship Game with some defensive alterations, but it was gashed by Patrick Mahomes for three touchdown passes in the first half. Stafford could pick apart the same weaknesses that Mahomes exposed, and the Rams quarterback might not be susceptible to a second-half letdown.

The Bengals need to force turnovers to cash in as the Super Bowl underdog. They have seven in their three postseason contests.

Los Angeles was clean with the ball in its two postseason home games, committing a single turnover in the wins over the Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers. The Rams can't afford the giveaways they conceded in the second half of the divisional-round win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, though.

Sean McVay's team committed one or zero turnovers in seven of its 10 home games this year. That is a positive sign going into the Super Bowl.

The NFC West side also forced multiple takeaways in five of its 10 contests inside SoFi Stadium, which could be the key to taking down the Bengals. Aaron Donald, Von Miller and Co. could dominate a Cincinnati offensive line that gave up nine sacks to the Titans.

Donald and Miller both have Super Bowl experience, which should help them settle into the pressure-packed contest.

Burrow was sacked on 12 occasions in the AFC playoffs, and he was picked off once in each of the past two games.

The primary difference between Stafford and Ryan Tannehill is that the Rams quarterback is more capable of taking advantage of the sacks and mistakes produced by his defense. That was Tennessee's downfall against Cincinnati.

If the Rams front seven plays well, Burrow will not have much time to work with in the pocket, and that could lead to some short possessions. Stafford and Co. must take advantage of those types of situations, and if they do, the Rams could pull away with a double-digit victory and end Cincinnati's run as a moneyline underdog winner.

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