Pacquiao vs. Ugas Odds, Projected Winner and Prize-Money Purse

Jake RillFeatured Columnist IIAugust 19, 2021

Manny Pacquiao, left, of the Philippines, and Yordenis Ugas, of Cuba, pose for photographers during a news conference Wednesday, Aug. 18, 2021, in Las Vegas. The two are scheduled to fight in a welterweight championship bout Saturday in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)
John Locher/Associated Press

Manny Pacquiao was supposed to have an opportunity to walk away with two championships at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday. That will no longer be the case, but he will still have a chance to win one.

The 42-year-old was originally scheduled to fight Errol Spence Jr., who is the unified IBF and WBC welterweight champion. But the American withdrew due to an eye injury and won't be defending his titles this weekend.

Instead, Pacquiao is set to take on Yordenis Ugas, the current WBA welterweight champion. That's the same title the Filipino won in his last bout and never lost, having been stripped of it because of inactivity.

Whether or not Pacquiao wins, he will be receiving a big payday. According to AS, he is expected to receive a guaranteed $5 million, a purse that could end up at around $25 million depending on pay-per-view sales. (It's not known how much Ugas will be getting paid for the match.)

Here's everything else you need to know heading into Saturday's highly anticipated bout.



Manny Pacquiao: -430 (bet $430 to win $100)

Yordenis Ugas: +300 (bet $100 to win $300)

Via FanDuel Sportsbook.


Preview, Prediction

Pacquiao is one of the greatest boxers of all time. He owns a 62-7-2 professional record, with 39 of those wins coming via knockout, in a career that has now spanned four decades. He's won a long list of championships in various weight classes.

So whenever he steps into a ring, there's going to be a lot of hype and excitement to watch him fight. And this time is no different.

The last time Pacquiao boxed was July 20, 2019, when he defeated Keith Thurman via split decision to win the WBA welterweight championship. It was his third straight victory, all of which came in a span of 13 months after previously defeating Adrien Broner and Lucas Matthysse.

And while nine of Pacquiao's past 10 fights have gone the full 12 rounds, he's proved he can still end a bout early, with his win over Matthysse in July 2018 coming via seventh-round TKO.

Even though the Filipino had been preparing to fight Spence, he doesn't feel like the late switch will affect him Saturday night.

"The only adjustment I'm going to make for this fight is the southpaw [Spence] versus righthanded [Ugas]," Pacquiao said, per Greg Beacham of the Associated Press. "That's the only thing, because Errol Spence is aggressive, and Ugas is also aggressive, so that's good. He can create more action in the ring, and the fans will love it."

For Ugas, this is an opportunity to make a statement. After Pacquiao was stripped of the WBA welterweight title, the Cuban won the belt by defeating Abel Ramos via split decision last September. It was his third straight win, improving his professional record to 26-4.

But the 35-year-old has never gone up against a boxer as decorated as Pacquiao. Still, he seems confident while also recognizing the magnitude of the match.

"I'm fighting not for the money, but for my legacy, for my country, for my own story that's going to be told. This is the most important fight of my life," Ugas said, per Beacham. "... I'm well aware that Pacquiao is the favorite, but at the same time, I'm a champion."

However, Pacquiao is an all-time great. And while this match will be competitive, likely going the distance with some back-and-forth shifts in momentum, it's going to be difficult for Ugas to win.

Expect a typical strong performance from Pacquiao, the heavy favorite who will be the more impressive boxer throughout the bout and end up as the victor on every judge's scorecard.

Prediction: Pacquiao wins via unanimous decision.


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