Super Bowl 2021: Updated Spread, Odds, Moneylines for Chiefs vs. Buccaneers

The Kansas City Chiefs, at the time of writing, are favored to win Super Bowl 55 by a half-point more than their winning margin in Week 12 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 

Kansas City's November 29 triumph inside Raymond James Stadium was one of four victories it earned in the regular season over playoff qualifiers. 

Since that defeat, Tampa Bay has reeled off seven consecutive wins, five of which occurred on the road. 

During that run, Bruce Arians' side scored over 30 points in six contests, which is a higher output than what we have seen from the Chiefs in the same span. 

Kansas City has eclipsed the 30-point threshold in three of its last seven games, which could lead to some concern about the game reaching its projected total.

Super Bowl 55

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: Kansas City (-3.5)

Over/Under: 56.5

Moneyline: Kansas City (-167; bet $167 to win $100); Tampa Bay (+148; bet $100 to win $148)

Kansas City's Week 12 win over Tampa Bay was one of five times in which the Chiefs won a game by three or fewer points this season. 

The Chiefs beat the Los Angeles Chargers, New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons by a field goal and knocked off the Carolina Panthers by two points. 

The notable trend with those results is four of the five came against teams from the NFC South, and in three of those five games, Kansas City failed to reach the 30-point mark. 

Slow starts were also a trend in some of those contests for Kansas City. Carolina and Los Angeles led the Chiefs at halftime, the Falcons were tied after 30 minutes and New Orleans was only down by five at the break. 

Tampa Bay was the only opponent in that collection of teams to be down by double digits to Kansas City at halftime. Tom Brady and Co. responded well with 17 second-half points, but they were unable to finish the comeback. 

Kansas City's 27-24 win on November 29 was one of three Chiefs games decided by three points or fewer to go under the projected total of 56.5 points for Super Bowl 55. 

Those results combined with Kansas City's slow start in Super Bowl 54 suggest the under may be in play when the second half begins on February 7.

The Chiefs mustered 10 first-half points against the San Francisco 49ers, and their offense did not come to life until the final period, when they scored 21 points to win 31-20. 

However, the counter to all of those numbers comes from the last two Kansas City playoff games in which it combined to score 41 first-half points. 

Kansas City defeated the Buffalo Bills by 14 points in the AFC Championship Game, and it may have downed the Cleveland Browns by more if Patrick Mahomes did not get hurt. 

If the AFC champion starts fast, it could be on its way to covering, or at least winning, its second meeting with the Buccaneers. 

However, if the Bucs can slow down the Chiefs in the first half, they could give Tom Brady the best opportunity to avenge the Week 12 loss, win as the moneyline underdog and hand the quarterback his seventh Super Bowl title. 

In two of their three playoff games, the Bucs took double-digit advantages into the locker room. They were tied with the Saints at the half in the divisional round. 

If Brady either matches Mahomes' production, or outplays him, in the first half, it could set the tone for Tampa Bay to cash in as the underdog and deny the Chiefs' quest to earn back-to-back titles.

Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90.

Statistics obtained from Pro Football Reference. All odds correct at the time of writing.

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