B/R Expert Consensus NFL Picks for Week 14

NFL StaffContributor IDecember 5, 2019

B/R Expert Consensus NFL Picks for Week 14

0 of 16

    John Cordes/Associated Press

    Welcome to the first full week of December football and the final quarter of the 2019 NFL regular season. Including the playoffs, bettors have just 75 games to either redeem themselves or put the icing on a glorious cake. 

    Bleacher Report NFL analysts Gary Davenport, Brad Gagnon and Brent Sobleski have collectively struggled in picking every game against the spread, but if you've followed the leader of their pack religiously from September, you're likely in the green. 

    Here's a summary with the regular season 75 percent complete (last week's records in parentheses):

    1. Brad Gagnon: 99-92-1 (11-5) 

    2. Brent Sobleski: 92-99-1 (9-7)

    3. Gary Davenport: 87-104-1 (8-8)

    Consensus picks: 88-103-1 (9-7)

    Moneyline consensus: 122-68-2 (8-8)

    Can Sobleski and Davenport rebound? You'd at least have to think the consensus is due. Here's what they've got in mind for Week 14.


    Lines from Caesars as of 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Dec. 4.


    Latest on The Lefkoe Show welcomes Warren Sharp back with some, dare we say, spicy gambling recommendations for the upcoming NFL Week 14. Lefkoe and Warren break down the major matchups, including Chiefs/Patriots, Saints/49ers, and Seahawks/Rams. Why do the syndicates believe in Derek Carr against the Titans? Why is Warren Sharp angry at the Cowboys coaching staff? All of these answers, and more. Listen here

Dallas Cowboys (6-6) at Chicago Bears (6-6)

1 of 16

    Kathryn Riley/Getty Images

    Matters would be worse for the Chicago Bears had the Minnesota Vikings beat the Seattle Seahawks on Monday night. But Chicago remains two games out of the last wild-card spot in the NFC, whereas the Dallas Cowboys hold the NFC East lead despite an identical record. 

    That motivation could be the difference when the two meet Thursday in Chicago, where the Bears might not benefit as much as usual from a Thursday Night Football home game because both teams are coming off a full week's rest. 

    "Maybe this pick is based more on hope than logic at this point," Sobleski admitted. "But the Cowboys have their backs against the wall and more to play for at the moment because 1) the entire team knows head coach Jason Garrett's job is on the line and 2) the NFC East is theirs for the taking even with a 6-6 record."

    Still, this isn't anyone's lock of the week. Dallas has been too unreliable, and all it would take is a hook on that three-point spread for our consensus to shift in favor of the Bears. Gagnon is taking the field goal with Chicago anyway, which means we lack unanimity to kick off the week. 

    The Cowboys can't beat good teams, but nobody is sure if the Bears are good or not. We're still talking about Mitchell Trubisky and a defense that hasn't been the same without injured lineman Akiem Hicks. So we're leaning toward Dallas, but a push is a strong possibility. You might want to sit this one out. 


    Davenport: Dallas (-3)
    Gagnon: Chicago (+3)
    Sobleski: Dallas (-3)
    Consensus: Dallas (-3)

    Score Prediction: Cowboys 23, Bears 20

Baltimore Ravens (10-2) at Buffalo Bills (9-3)

2 of 16

    Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images

    Riding the hype generated by five consecutive one-sided victories, the Baltimore Ravens were favored by an inflated spread of 5.5 points last week against the stout San Francisco 49ers. This week, they're playing another stout opponent in the Buffalo Bills. Except Buffalo is entering this game on extra rest, and Baltimore is on the road instead of at home. 

    That has the majority of our analysts wondering why the Ravens are again laying more than a handful of points. 

    "If the Ravens couldn't cover a similar spread at home against the 49ers," Gagnon said, "I'm not picking them to do so on the road against a Bills team that has had extra time to prepare. Don't get me wrong—Baltimore is the significantly better team, but the Bills haven't surrendered more than 20 points in any of their last five games.

    "This line indicates the Ravens are 8.5 points better than 9-3 Buffalo, who just dominated the Cowboys on the road on short rest. No way that's accurate. This'll be a field-goal game."

    The Bills are 3-0 against the spread this season against teams that have winning records, and they may benefit from extra time to prepare for quarterback Lamar Jackson. A backdoor cover is also on the table in Orchard Park, where the Bills should be inspired to push until there's a double zero on the clock. 

    Of course, it's also fair to believe the Ravens will get back to what they were doing before the 49ers put up a fight and to lack trust in Buffalo. Davenport is in that boat, which is why there's no unanimous consensus here.


    Davenport: Baltimore (-5.5)
    Gagnon: Buffalo (+5.5)
    Sobleski: Buffalo (+5.5)
    Consensus: Buffalo (+5.5)

    Score Prediction: Ravens 24, Bills 20

Carolina Panthers (5-7) at Atlanta Falcons (3-9)

3 of 16

    Todd Kirkland/Getty Images

    "One of two things tends to happen when a coach is fired midseason," Sobleski said. "Either the team gets a short-term boost from a new approach under the supervision of the interim coach, or everything falls apart late in the campaign. We're going with the latter after the Carolina Panthers fired Ron Rivera."

    Indeed, all three of our experts are siding with the Atlanta Falcons' minus 2.5 points at home Sunday. While the Panthers were struggling on the field, there didn't seem to be any locker room tumult. They appeared to like Rivera, and Cam Newton even posted an online tribute to the longtime coach. If anything, this could get them down, especially with owner David Tepper essentially saying that their season is over. 

    Beyond trying to predict emotional responses, the Falcons are simply the better team right now. They smashed the Panthers in Charlotte three weeks ago, and star Carolina back Christian McCaffrey has only become less of a factor since then. He looks like he's hit a wall with 70 or fewer rushing yards in three straight games, and it's clear Kyle Allen isn't the answer under center. 

    Atlanta has also had extra time to prepare after showing some spunk without top receiving weapons Julio Jones and Austin Hooper in a Thanksgiving night loss to the New Orleans Saints. Both of those guys could be back Sunday, which is why it's odd the Falcons aren't even laying a field goal. 


    Davenport: Atlanta (-2.5)
    Gagnon: Atlanta (-2.5)
    Sobleski: Atlanta (-2.5)
    Consensus: Atlanta (-2.5)

    Score Prediction: Falcons 27, Panthers 20

Cincinnati Bengals (1-11) at Cleveland Browns (5-7)

4 of 16

    Michael Hickey/Getty Images

    Not only are the Cincinnati Bengals coming off their first win of the 2019 season, but they also haven't lost by more than one score since running into a Lamar Jackson-driven bus in Week 10.

    With the at least semicompetent Andy Dalton back in control of the offense and starting wide receiver John Ross returning from injury, two of our three panelists figure Cincy can at least utilize the back door to cover 8.5 points against the untrustworthy Cleveland Browns. 

    "I'm really not sure how much the Browns have left in them after that deflating loss in Pittsburgh," Gagnon said. "Meanwhile, Cincinnati looks reinvigorated. Cleveland does tend to win big when it wins, but the Bengals have covered in five of their losses this season (using our Wednesday lines from Caesars). We're just looking at too many points here." 

    Don't forget that the Browns remain without top pass-rusher Myles Garrett, which will make it harder to pick on a bad offensive line. That unit has also been bolstered by left tackle Cordy Glenn's return from injury, while the Bengals have turned a corner up front with 10 sacks in their last three games.

    That could be bad news for Cleveland quarterback Baker Mayfield, who completed just eight second-half passes after suffering a hand injury last week against the Steelers.


    Davenport: Cleveland (-8.5)
    Gagnon: Cincinnati (+8.5)
    Sobleski: Cincinnati (+8.5)
    Consensus: Cincinnati (+8.5)

    Score Prediction: Browns 23, Bengals 17

Denver Broncos (4-8) at Houston Texans (8-4)

5 of 16

    Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

    The Denver Broncos are coming off a victory in quarterback Drew Lock's debut, and the defense has surrendered just 18 points per game dating back to Week 5. Now, it looks as though the team will get key starters Von Miller and Ja'Wuan James back from injury for a Week 14 road matchup with the Houston Texans. 

    That being the case, none of our analysts are willing to lay nine points with Houston. 

    "I'm not about to sit here and say that Denver's going to win this game," Davenport said, "but there's reason to think the Broncos can keep it close. The defense is solid, Lock showed a good arm in his NFL debut, and the Texans rank 27th in total defense. There's also the possibility of a bit of a letdown after Houston's big win over the New England Patriots last week. Houston will win—but it isn't covering a spread this big."

    It's worth noting that the Texans followed up their last big victory—a road tilt against the Kansas City Chiefs—with a loss to the Indianapolis Colts. It's hard to consistently be on your A-game when you're that vulnerable on defense and your interior offensive line is a liability. 

    The Texans are good but flawed, and there's too much backdoor risk with Denver. 


    Davenport: Denver (+9)
    Gagnon: Denver (+9)
    Sobleski: Denver (+9)
    Consensus: Denver (+9)

    Score Prediction: Texans 26, Broncos 20

Detroit Lions (3-8-1) at Minnesota Vikings (8-4)

6 of 16

    Abbie Parr/Getty Images

    The Minnesota Vikings are back in their comfort zone: Sunday afternoon, at home, against a bad team. They have their well-documented problems in prime time, on the road and against good teams. But they're 4-0 in 1 p.m. ET kickoffs at U.S. Bank Stadium.

    The first three of those victories came by 16-plus points each, while in the fourth they outscored the Broncos 27-3 in the second half to complete an epic comeback. 

    The Vikes are due for a blowout win. After winning an NFC-best six of their first eight outings by double-digit margins, they've played four consecutive one-score games. But that earlier stretch included a 12-point victory over the Lions in Detroit, and it's essentially been downhill since then for Minnesota's Week 14 opponent. 

    So while giving up 13 points in a divisional game like this might arouse feelings of terror, the majority of our predictors aren't willing to back a Lions team that has failed to cover seven consecutive Caesars midweek spreads. 

    "Given how um, 'well' I've done picking games in 2019—I was good at this last year…honest—the Lions will win this game outright. Because I'm cursed and said curse is just that danged powerful," Davenport joked. "Or, it could be that a Vikings team playing at home after a heartbreaking loss in Seattle will take out its frustrations on a bad Lions team led by David Blah (Blough, whatever).

    "If it winds up being that first one, Vikings fans have my condolences in advance. If you ever have the opportunity to enter an ancient tomb, take my advice and pass."

    Sobleski isn't convinced, though. So if you want to fade the cursed Davenport, you have support among our group. And it's worth noting that those picking against the majority as lone wolves are 60-46-1 this season.


    Davenport: Minnesota (-13)
    Gagnon: Minnesota (-13)
    Sobleski: Detroit (+13)
    Consensus: Minnesota (-13)

    Score Prediction: Vikings 30, Lions 14

Indianapolis Colts (6-6) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7)

7 of 16

    Chris O'Meara/Associated Press

    They have similar records, but the Indianapolis Colts appear to be fading while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have seemingly turned a corner. 

    While Indianapolis has averaged just 19.7 points per game the last six weeks, the Buccaneers are coming off back-to-back one-sided road victories. Quarterback Jameis Winston has been at least a little less turnover-prone, and the talented but oft-underachieving Tampa Bay defense has been making more plays. 

    The majority of our experts can't justify laying points with Indy in Tampa right now. 

    "The line value is too good to pass up on the Bucs," Gagnon said. "They're laying a full field goal pretty much everywhere else, and head coach Bruce Arians has them playing hard still. They're coming off back-to-back road victories, while you have to wonder if the depleted Colts are running out of gas.

    "It doesn't look as though Indy will have back top receiver T.Y. Hilton, making it even harder for the physically limited Jacoby Brissett to take advantage of a defense that is dominant against the run but vulnerable through the air."

    Of course, the Colts might be desperate now, and they've proved to be mentally strong under head coach Frank Reich. They might also get top rusher Marlon Mack back from his hand injury, and you never know what you're going to get out of Winston.

    So it's appropriate that we lack a unanimous consensus on this one. 


    Davenport: Indianapolis (+2.5)
    Gagnon: Tampa Bay (-2.5)
    Sobleski: Tampa Bay (-2.5)
    Consensus: Tampa Bay (-2.5)

    Score Prediction: Buccaneers 24, Colts 20

Miami Dolphins (3-9) at New York Jets (4-8)

8 of 16

    Darron Cummings/Associated Press

    Despite all of their relative success of late, the Miami Dolphins still possess one of the least talented rosters in NFL history. That being the case, you never know when they will suddenly get steamrolled. And despite their many warts, the New York Jets have done some steamrolling of late. They're less than a fortnight removed from a three-game winning streak in which they outscored their opponents by a combined 55 points. 

    Still, Miami is 6-2 against the spread since the start of October as it continues to perform well with nothing to lose. Meanwhile, the Jets look as though they'll be without their best player coming off an embarrassing loss to the formerly winless Bengals—a defeat that essentially killed their playoff hopes. 

    Under those circumstances, none of our analysts are willing to lay 5.5 points and back a Jets team that won't likely have star safety Jamal Adams. 

    "Amazingly, people are starting to believe in the Dolphins," Sobleski said, "because they continue to play hard and remain competitive despite everything previously believed about this team and its approach. Kudos to head coach Brian Flores for getting the most out of a bad situation. The same can't be said about the Jets, whose head coach, Adam Gase, seems to make everything worse."

    Indeed, it's a lot easier to put your money on Flores and the feisty Dolphins than Gase and his depleted, untrustworthy team. Sometimes, it's that simple. 


    Davenport: Miami (+5.5)
    Gagnon: Miami (+5.5)
    Sobleski: Miami (+5.5)
    Consensus: Miami (+5.5)

    Score Prediction: Dolphins 24, Jets 21

San Francisco 49ers (10-2) at New Orleans Saints (10-2)

9 of 16

    Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images

    The once-8-0 San Francisco 49ers have split their last four games. Could a stacked team with by far the top scoring margin in the NFC really lose three out of five after that perfect start? The public isn't convinced the Niners will fall to the Saints in New Orleans and is heavily backing San Francisco plus 2.5 points at the Superdome, but the majority of our analysts are fading that. 

    "The 49ers might be as good as the Saints," Gagnon said. "But this isn't a great spot for them, and it's not a favorable matchup. San Francisco is on the road for the second consecutive week after a hard-fought loss in Baltimore, while the Saints have been relaxing and preparing in the Bayou ever since beating the Falcons a week-and-a-half ago in Atlanta. 

    "On top of that, the 49ers' one weakness has been their run defense. In fact, only four teams have surrendered more yards per carry since Week 8. Head coach Sean Payton has probably been scheming up all sorts of ways to exploit that with Alvin Kamara, Latavius Murray and Taysom Hill. New Orleans has a much stronger run D (third in the league), which could put a lot of pressure on Jimmy Garoppolo. I don't feel good about that in a hostile environment. The Saints could win this handily."

    Still, Sobleski has thwarted a unanimous consensus. He's backing a 49ers team that has become healthier in recent weeks. And in his defense, the loaded defensive front should have a chance to wreak havoc with Saints left tackle Terron Armstead dealing with an ankle injury. 


    Davenport: New Orleans (-2.5)
    Gagnon: New Orleans (-2.5)
    Sobleski: San Francisco (+2.5)
    Consensus: New Orleans (-2.5)

    Score Prediction: Saints 24, 49ers 20

Washington Redskins (3-9) at Green Bay Packers (9-3)

10 of 16

    Patrick Semansky/Associated Press

    The Green Bay Packers opened as a 14.5-point favorite over the Washington Redskins. In a perfect world, you were able to secure some line value before the spread dropped to 13 midway through the week. But even with that less favorable number, our experts are unanimously backing an underdog that is playing hard right now. 

    "A near-two-touchdown spread should give anyone pause when looking at this contest," Sobleski said, "mainly because of Washington's offensive approach. Interim head coach Bill Callahan's crew will try to control the football (and clock) by running Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson, who combined for 228 rushing yards this past Sunday against the Panthers' now 29th-ranked run defense. The Packers are 25th against opposing ground games."

    While a mistake or two from Redskins rookie quarterback Dwayne Haskins could break this thing open in a tough road environment, the Packers have just one 12-plus-point victory at Lambeau Field this season. They haven't been impressive enough to consistently bully teams since the 2016 season, which could make their cakewalk Week 13 victory over the New York Giants a bad omen. 

    The Redskins realistically have nothing to play for, but that hasn't caused them to let up. With nothing to lose, they've won back-to-back games, including an impressive road victory over the Panthers in Week 13. Throw in the backdoor factor, and they're the obvious pick. 


    Davenport: Washington (+13)
    Gagnon: Washington (+13)
    Sobleski: Washington (+13)
    Consensus: Washington (+13)

    Score Prediction: Packers 27, Redskins 21

Los Angeles Chargers (4-8) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8)

11 of 16

    Justin Edmonds/Getty Images

    The Los Angeles Chargers and Jacksonville Jaguars have failed to cover a combined seven consecutive spreads, and both teams are essentially toast at 4-8. So while our analysts are leaning toward laying a field goal with Los Angeles in Jacksonville on Sunday, they also recommend you stay away from this one. 

    "I wouldn't put a dollar on this game," Gagnon said. "I don't trust either team at all, and neither should you. The Chargers keep inventing ways to lose, while the Jaguars are just the third team this decade to lose four consecutive games by 17 or more points. But that second fact is why I can't possibly pick the Jags as a mere three-point underdog.

    "You get the feeling they've given up and Doug Marrone is a dead coach walking. The Chargers don't appear to have the same mentality, and they're too talented to keep losing in ridiculous fashion. They were one of the best away teams in the league with a similar roster last year, and they're due for a big road win."

    The move back to Gardner Minshew II at quarterback could arguably give the Jaguars a boost because Nick Foles was a mess after returning from injury. But the rookie sixth-round pick had a mere 78.0 passer rating in his last four starts before handing the reins to Foles in November. Against a talented defense with strong pass-rushers, he could be in trouble. 

    And yet because the Chargers are the Chargers, it's probably for the better that Davenport stands in dissent to prevent a unanimous consensus. 


    Davenport: Jacksonville (+3)
    Gagnon: Los Angeles (-3)
    Sobleski: Los Angeles (-3)
    Consensus: Los Angeles (-3)

    Score Prediction: Chargers 24, Jaguars 20

Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) at New England Patriots (10-2)

12 of 16

    Duane Burleson/Associated Press

    The Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots appear to be headed in opposite directions. And although the Patriots have won 21 consecutive regular-season and playoff games at Gillette Stadium, the majority of our panelists figure this could be the time and place for a New England loss. 

    At the very least, they're not willing to lay a field goal with the Pats against an increasingly healthy Chiefs squad that just obliterated the Oakland Raiders. 

    "In regard to the Patriots, some might be in Chicken Little mode, but I'm not going there," Davenport said. "But there's no denying that all is not sunshine and puppies in Foxborough. The offense has stagnated, and while the Chiefs aren't a defensive powerhouse, neither are the Texans, and they shut down the Pats until garbage time. Throw in a bit of a revenge factor from last year's AFC title game, and it feels like there will be that much more Patriot Panic after Sunday afternoon."

    As Davenport noted, the Chiefs defense might not be special. But it actually might be better-positioned than Houston was to take advantage of Tom Brady and the struggling New England offense.

    The Chiefs have benefited greatly from the return of Chris Jones, as well as increased productivity from key starters Frank Clark and Charvarius Ward. They've recorded nine sacks and eight takeaways in their last three games, and they've surrendered just 26 points the last two weeks. 

    New England is also 1-4 against the spread this year against teams that are currently .500 or better.

    Still, this is a tricky line because a three-point Pats win is clearly among the most likely outcomes. They beat the Chiefs by a field goal at this site last season, and laying a field goal with them is arguably safer considering their reputation both at home and coming off losses (they've followed up four of their last five losses with victories of seven points or more). 

    Gagnon is going that route, so we again lack unanimity. 


    Davenport: Kansas City (+3)
    Gagnon: New England (-3)
    Sobleski: Kansas City (+3)
    Consensus: Kansas City (+3)

    Score Prediction: Chiefs 26, Patriots 23

    For tickets to Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots, go to StubHub

    Bleacher Report has an affiliate marketing relationship with StubHub. We will receive revenue from your purchase.

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) at Arizona Cardinals (3-8-1)

13 of 16

    Ron Schwane/Associated Press

    The Arizona Cardinals just can't be trusted right now—not after a 34-7 post-bye home loss to the previously struggling Los Angeles Rams. 

    Arizona hung with the San Francisco 49ers in both of their midseason matchups, but they've been hammered by every other good team they've played this season (the New Orleans Saints and Seattle Seahawks beat them by a combined 39 points).

    And believe it or not, the Pittsburgh Steelers are a good team. 

    "The Steelers lost a Hall of Fame quarterback for the season and haven't had their top running back and No. 1 wide receiver for much of the year," Davenport said. "Pittsburgh is starting an undrafted rookie quarterback who was better known for duck calls than throwing balls before this season. And yet they keep winning games.

    "The Cardinals, on the other hand, have lost what little momentum they had earlier in the season. The offense struggled mightily at home last week, and the defense is one of the worst in the game. Steelers win and cover with relative ease."

    Even with their big edge in terms of talent and pedigree at the quarterback position, it's hard to justify siding with the Cards with less than a field goal in your back pocket right now. 

    Still, the Steelers aren't blowing anyone out. They barely got past the Ryan Finley-led Cincinnati Bengals on the road two weeks ago and were dominated in Cleveland one week before that. Gagnon thinks the Cards are worth a dice roll at home, but he recommends buying back half a point if you can. 


    Davenport: Pittsburgh (-2.5)
    Gagnon: Arizona (+2.5)
    Sobleski: Pittsburgh (-2.5)
    Consensus: Pittsburgh (-2.5)

    Score Prediction: Steelers 23, Cardinals 20

Tennessee Titans (7-5) at Oakland Raiders (6-6)

14 of 16

    Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

    The Oakland Raiders have plummeted back to earth with back-to-back 31-point losses, while the Tennessee Titans have scored more than 30 points in three consecutive wins. They've found a groove on both sides of the ball, and they suddenly have a standout quarterback-running back duo in Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry. 

    Even on the road and with the roller-coaster nature of this league in mind, the majority of our analysts are happy to lay less than a field goal with the Titans in their Week 14 matchup with Oakland. 

    "The Raiders own the NFL's 18th-ranked run defense," Sobleski said. "Normally, this wouldn't be a big deal in a pass-first league. However, Henry changes the entire picture. He just joined Jim Brown, O.J. Simpson, Eric Dickerson and Adrian Peterson as the only running backs in NFL history with 145 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown in three straight games. It's hard to imagine the Raiders slowing down that runaway freight train."

    Oakland has actually performed well against the run the last two weeks, but it was lit up by Sam Darnold and the New York Jets' passing game, and Tannehill is the league's highest-rated passer. So Oakland might be picking its poison against a hot team, and it's fair to wonder what the Raiders have left. Only five teams have worse scoring margins this season. 

    Alas, no unanimous consensus here either, as Gagnon notes the Raiders are a very different team at home than they are on the road. They've won three consecutive games at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum, and the crowd should be fired up for the team's penultimate regular-season game at that site before a move to Las Vegas. 

    Tread carefully here.


    Davenport: Tennessee (-2.5)
    Gagnon: Oakland (+2.5)
    Sobleski: Tennessee (-2.5)
    Consensus: Tennessee (-2.5)

    Score Prediction: Titans 24, Raiders 20

Seattle Seahawks (10-2) at Los Angeles Rams (7-5)

15 of 16

    Alex Gallardo/Associated Press

    At a glance, the Seattle Seahawks might look like the obvious pick over the Los Angeles Rams. It's a pick'em, they're 10-2 and riding a five-game winning streak, they're 6-0 straight up and 5-1 against the spread on the road, and Los Angeles is just 7-5 overall and 3-3 at home. Seattle is also undoubtedly more trustworthy than Los Angeles, and Russell Wilson is having a significantly better season than Jared Goff.

    But this year's leader of the pack in our predictor standings believes this is a trap. 

    "The Seahawks have won seven consecutive one-score games," Gagnon said. "That's not a sustainable model, and they've already had two out-of-nowhere duds this year against New Orleans and Baltimore. This could be another one, especially against a familiar and desperate opponent coming off a statement road victory in Arizona.

    "Wilson hasn't been as effective of late, and Seattle's phenomenal running game could have trouble with a defense that has surrendered just 3.6 yards per carry since Week 7. It's a shame the Rams aren't getting some points, but I think they find a way to win this game at the Coliseum."

    It's not a great matchup for the Seahawks, who barely defeated the Rams at home earlier this season. And as Gagnon points out, regression to the mean and the law of averages favor L.A. in this spot. Wilson has a mere 87.8 passer rating the last three weeks, and the Rams have the talent and experienced offense to pull this off. 

    Still, trends are trends, and predicting when they'll stop can be dangerous. The Rams were struggling mightily before crushing the Cardinals, and it's possible that was an outlier. Sobleski is willing to bet on that. 


    Davenport: Los Angeles (PK)
    Gagnon: Los Angeles (PK)
    Sobleski: Seattle (PK)
    Consensus: Los Angeles (PK)

    Score Prediction: Rams 26, Seahawks 24

New York Giants (2-10) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-7)

16 of 16

    Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

    Even though the New York Giants have endured a tough stretch and the Philadelphia Eagles have been one of the most successful teams in the NFL during recent years, six of the last seven matchups between the NFC East rivals have been decided by five points or fewer. 

    Two of our three panelists figure that's about to change with the desperate Eagles looking to save their season against a bad Giants team that hasn't won since September. 

    "This is admittedly a lot of points to lay on an Eagles team that has lost three in a row and is 2-5 over its last seven games," Davenport said. "But in a testament to just how awful the NFC East is, Philly is still very much in the mix for a division title and the right to get blown out by a 12-win No. 5 seed in the Wild Card round.

    "The only thing the Giants are in play for is the first overall pick in the 2020 draft if the Cincinnati Bengals win another game. Daniel Jones is hurt, Eli Manning hasn't played in two months, and New York's defense is awful. At home, the Eagles win by double digits and keep their postseason (chuckle) hopes afloat."

    But because our analysts agree on almost nothing this week, we lack a unanimous consensus. Gagnon can see Manning putting together a decent swan song, especially if he gets pass-catchers Golden Tate and Evan Engram back. He can't see Philly beating anyone by 10-plus points right now, which is fair considering the state of its roster and the fact it's done so just twice this season. 

    So again, be careful with this one. The NFC East is an unpredictable mess. 


    Davenport: Philadelphia (-9.5)
    Gagnon: New York (+9.5)
    Sobleski: Philadelphia (-9.5)
    Consensus: Philadelphia (-9.5)

    Score Prediction: Philadelphia 27, New York 17