NFL Football Betting: Texans vs. Bills Odds & Pick: November 1st 2009

Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills u41.5 -110 odds
Sun November 1st 2009 1:00p
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Buffalo is a bad offensive team and their back-to-back underdog wins the past two weeks has been misleading as the Bills benefited from a +8 turnover margin and 10 forced turnovers. Overall, Buffalo is averaging just 16.1 points per game and only 4.8 yards per play this season (versus opponents that allow 22.0 ppg and 5.5 yppl). It is unlikely that Buffalo can take advantage of a weak Houston defense today, especially with starting QB Trent Edwards still injured.

Houston is a solid offensive team, but they are one-dimensional as they throw for 78% of their total yards. This is a good matchup for the Buffalo defense as the Bills have been terrible against the run, but strong against the pass this season. Buffalo allows 172 rushing yards per game and 5.2 yards per carry (versus opponents that average just 136 yards and 4.5 ypr), but Houston is unlikely to take advantage as the Texans gain just 79 yards per game on the ground and only 3.0 yards per carry (versus opponents that allow 103 yards and 3.8 ypr). Buffalo has a strong secondary that is permitting just 5.4 yards per pass (versus opponents that average 6.1 ypp), so they matchup well versus Houston’s pass happy attack.