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Breeders' Cup 2018: Odds and Predictions for All Races

Tom Sunderland@@TomSunderland_Featured ColumnistOctober 29, 2018

DEL MAR, CA NOVEMBER 4: Gun Runner with Florent Geroux up wins the Breeders Cup Classic at Del Mar Race Track on November 4, 2017 in Del Mar, California (Photo by Horsephotos/Getty Images)
Horsephotos/Getty Images

North America's horse racing season is nearing its end, and the 2018 Breeders' Cup will come to a climax with one of the biggest events left on this year's sports calendar.

The Breeders' Cup will feature some of the biggest names in horse racing, and Saturday's Classic has a $6 million prize purse, with $3.3 million going to the winner, per the event website.

Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky, will host the 2018 edition of the Breeders' Cup after it was staged in Del Mar, California, last year.

The racing calendar is edging to a close, but the Breeders' Cup brings with it plenty of opportunity for bettors, and we take a look at the latest odds ahead of Saturday's extravaganza.

All odds are correct as of 7 a.m. ET on Monday, October 29. Horses listed in more than one race are yet to declare which event they'll compete in. Predicted winners of each race are in bold.

        

Breeders' Cup Classic

  • Accelerate 3-1
  • Mckinzie 5-1
  • Catholic Boy 7-1
  • West Coast 7-1
  • Roaring Lion 8-1
  • Mind Your Biscuits 10-1
  • Mendelssohn 10-1
  • Yoshida 10-1 
  • Thunder Snow 12-1
  • City of Light 16-1
  • Collected 25-1
  • Pavel 33-1
  • Gunnevera 33-1
  • Discreet Lover 33-1
  • Seeking the Soul 50-1
  • Axelrod 50-1
  • Toast of New York 50-1
  • Bravazo 50-1
  • Lone Sailor 66-1

Entries per the Breeders' Cup website. Odds per OddsChecker.com.

One of the most popular races for betting of the year, this year's Classic is headlined by favourite Accelerate, and the front-runner shouldn't falter on this occasion, having won his last three in succession.

The John Sadler-trained horse is aptly named, too, after Daily Racing Form writer Brad Free attested to his phenomenal Beyer speed rating in August—still the fastest he's produced in his career coming into the Classic:

Brad Free @BradFree1

Accelerate earned career-best 115 Beyer in Pacific Classic romp Saturday at Del Mar to emerge as clear favorite Breeders’ Cup Classic for trainer John Sadler, jockey Joel Rosario and Hronis Racing. (Accelerate photo by Benoit Photo) https://t.co/gpDodq5Ctz

Rival trainer Bob Baffert has a few well-placed entries in Mckinzie, West Coast and Collected, but Accelerate looks a class act at a mile-and-a-quarter and is enjoying form too good to ignore.

        

Longines Turf

  • Enable 4-7
  • Roaring Lion 4-1
  • Waldgeist 5-1 
  • Magical 7-1
  • Talismanic 10-1
  • Channel Maker 14-1
  • Robert Bruce 16-1
  • Glorious Empire 25-1
  • Hunting Horn 33-1
  • Sadler's Joy 50-1
  • Arklow 66-1
  • Hi Happy 66-1
  • Liam the Charmer 66-1
  • Quarteto De Cordas 66-1

Entries per the Breeders' Cup website. Per Oddschecker.com.

Trainer John Gosden is sure to have several contenders for big prizes over the course of the Breeders' Cup, but Enable may be his finest shot in the Turf, where she could compete alongside stablemate Roaring Lion.

The latter of those isn't cemented in the Turf just yet, but racing presenter Clare Balding referred to Gosden's numerous elite-level stars when debating 2018's Cartier Horse of the Year:

Clare Balding @clarebalding

@ChampionsSeries @GBRacing I’d let John Gosden choose

Enable is the only pick of the bunch listed at less than even odds and looks dead set for what would be a ninth consecutive win—albeit only her third in 2018—having failed to win only one of her 10 career races.

        

Longines Distaff

  • Monomoy Girl 3-2
  • Abel Tasman 7-2
  • Midnight Bisou 5-1
  • Wow Cat 8-1
  • Vale Dori 10-1
  • Blue Prize 12-1
  • Wonder Gadot 20-1
  • La Force 20-1
  • Champagne Problems 33-1
  • Mopotism 50-1
  • Verve's Tale 50-1
  • Fuhriously Kissed 100-1

Entries per the Breeders' Cup website. Odds per OddsChecker.com.

The Longines Distaff will feature the last two winners of the Kentucky Oaks, as 2018 winner Monomoy Girl and 2017 champion Abel Tasman take to the track at Churchill Downs in pursuit of similar plaudits on Saturday.

However, it's middle-order Blue Prize who has caught attention in the buildup and could be on for an upset after winning the Grade 1 Juddmonte Spinster Stakes at Keeneland in Kentucky earlier in October.

What's more, Blue Prize has won in each of his last two races at Churchill Downs, and he appears a versatile horse after having three different jockeys in those last three successive wins.

      

Breeders' Cup Mile

  • Polydream 5-2
  • Expert Eye 6-1
  • Oscar Performance 13-2
  • I Can Fly 9-1
  • One Master 9-1
  • Gustav Klimt 9-1
  • Happily 10-1
  • Lightning Spear 12-1
  • Mustashry 12-1
  • Analyze It 14-1
  • Clemmie 20-1
  • Next Shares 25-1
  • Catapult 25-1
  • A Raving Beauty 25-1
  • Almanaar 25-1
  • Qurbaan 33-1
  • Divisidero 33-1
  • Hembree 40-1
  • Hunt 40-1
  • Great Wide Open 66-1

Entries per the Breeders' Cup website. Odds per OddsChecker.com.

The Mile looks like one of the most open races on Saturday's schedule, and A Raving Beauty catches the eye as one who could break free of her 25-1 odds and pull off a shock.

The mare has won two of her last four races—both at Grade 1—and Alicia Wincze Hughes of Blood Horse has recently backed her pedigree over a mile distance, which bodes well for Saturday's trip:

Alicia Wincze Hughes @BH_AHughes

Whit Beckman assistant to Chad Brown says First Lady winner A Raving Beauty already back in NY w/Quidura, Analyze It, etc. Likely no BC F&M Turf for her as mile seems her best distance.

      

Breeders' Cup Sprint

  • Imperial Hint (15-8)
  • Roy H 9-4
  • Promises Fulfilled 6-1
  • Mind Your Biscuits 8-1
  • Limousine Liberal 9-1
  • Whitmore 10-1
  • Firenze Fire 14-1
  • Distinctive B 25-1
  • Happy Like a Fool 33-1
  • Seven Trumpets 33-1
  • Always Sunshine 33-1
  • Warrior's Club 50-1
  • B Squared 50-1

Entries per the Breeders' Cup website. Odds per OddsChecker.com.

It speaks volumes of Roy H's pedigree and the faith trainer Peter Miller has in his ability that the six-year-old has never raced below a Grade 2 level in his eight career outings, six of which have come at Grade 1.

He's used to the Sprint distance after going six furlongs in his eight races, winning five of those. Favourite Imperial Hint has won three in its last three races, but Roy H has kept to a generally higher grade despite his slightly inferior record, and that quality should rise to the top.

       

Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf

  • Wild Illusion 2-1
  • Sistercharlie 3-1
  • Magic Wand 6-1
  • Magical 6-1
  • Eziyra 8-1
  • Fourstar Crook 10-1
  • A Raving Beauty 12-1
  • Princess Yaiza 16-1
  • Athena 20-1
  • Santa Monica 25-1
  • Paved 33-1
  • Smart Choice 40-1
  • Thais 40-1
  • Mom's On Strike 50-1
  • Fuhriously Kissed 100-1

Entries per the Breeders' Cup website. Odds per OddsChecker.com.

The Filly & Mare Turf looks like a two-horse race despite a field of 15, and Sistercharlie is the pick to take top spot despite travelling to Churchill Downs second to top-billed Wild Illusion.

She's won her last two in a row and looks a major threat despite those coming by just half-a-length and a nose. 

The initial promise she displayed hasn't been disrupted despite the fact she's changed trainer hands three times in the past 18 months, with each of her last three Grade 1 races all going in her favour.

       

Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile

  • Catalina Cruiser 6-5
  • City of Light 7-2
  • Seeking the Soul 6-1
  • Firenze Fire 7-1
  • Bravazo 9-1
  • Whitmore 10-1
  • Limousine Liberal 12-1
  • Promises Fulfilled 10-1 
  • Lone Sailor 12-1
  • Seven Trumpets 20-1
  • Isotherm 20-1
  • Awesome Slew 25-1
  • Giant Expectations 25-1
  • Trigger Warning 33-1
  • Dak Attack 50-1
  • Warrior's Club 50-1
  • Patternrecognition*

Entries per the Breeders' Cup website. Odds per OddsChecker.com* indicates odds unavailable.

It's difficult to argue against a horse who doesn't know what it means to lose, and Catalina Cruiser is one front-runner who deserves his billing as the No. 1 pick in the Dirt Mile.

The four-year-old has only once raced more than a mile but passed with flying colours in that test at the San Diego Handicap at Del Mar, California, and emerged triumphant by more than six lengths.

City of Light, trained by Michael McCarthy, will present a stiff challenge, but Catalina Cruiser looks to be in irrepressible form. Jeremy Balan of Blood Horse recently hailed the colt's fine training form:

Jeremy Balan @BH_JBalan

The beast, Catalina Cruiser (outside), working for the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile. https://t.co/NvUUOkjUpp

        

Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint

  • Disco Partner 3-1
  • Stormy Liberal 4-1
  • World of Trouble 6-1
  • Conquest Tsunami 8-1
  • Havana Grey 10-1
  • Bucchero 12-1
  • Lost Treasure 12-1
  • Will Call 16-1
  • Richard's Boy 16-1
  • Chanteline 16-1
  • Ruby Notion 20-1
  • Rainbow Heir 20-1
  • Vision Perfect 25-1
  • Hembree 25-1
  • Pay Any Price 25-1
  • Insta Erma 33-1
  • Blind Ambition 33-1
  • Extravagant Kid 33-1
  • B Squared 33-1

Entries per the Breeders' Cup website. Odds per OddsChecker.com.

The Turf Sprint is Saturday's shortest race at only five-and-a-half furlongs, and Chanteline is another who could emerge from the pack despite her considerable 16-1 odds, having won all three of her career races.

Trainer Steve Asmussen won this race with Regally Ready in 2011 and has a superb chance with the pristine Chanteline.

          

Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint

  • Marley's Freedom 5-4
  • Dream Tree 3-1
  • Selcourt 7-2
  • Finley'sluckycharm 7-1
  • Golden Mischief 14-1
  • Mia Mischief 16-1
  • Skye Diamonds 16-1
  • Miss Sunset 20-1
  • Highway Star 20-1
  • Anonymity 20-1
  • Chalon 25-1
  • Shamrock Rose 25-1
  • Mopotism 25-1 
  • Happy Like A Fool 25-1
  • Dream Pauline 25-1
  • Stormy Embrace 25-1
  • Kirby's Penny 33-1
  • Bixby Lou 50-1
  • Separationofpowers*

Entries per the Breeders' Cup website. Odds per OddsChecker.com* indicates odds unavailable.

Marley's Freedom looks close to a shoo-in for the Filly & Mare Sprint gold after transforming under new trainer Baffert and keeping a 100 percent win ratio since the switch in May this year.

After winning once in four races prior to that stable change, she's now won three in succession. Marley's Freedom looked particularly impressive in the most recent of those—a win by three-and-a-quarter lengths at the Ballerina Stakes at Saratoga in August.

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