NBA Draft Whiteboards for Every Projected Lottery Team

Jonathan Wasserman@@NBADraftWassNBA Lead WriterApril 4, 2018

NBA Draft Whiteboards for Every Projected Lottery Team

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    Gerry Broome/Associated Press

    It's never too early for teams to start building their NBA draft boards. Preparation is key for a night filled with so much uncertainty. General managers must plan accordingly with targets, backup plans and trade scenarios to explore.

    Prior to the draft, teams lay out different potential situations so they're ready when the unexpected occurs.

    We created a game plan for each presumed lottery team based on what prospect is projected to be in range when it's on the clock.

Phoenix Suns

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    According to many scouts, DeAndre Ayton is at or near the top of most lottery teams' big boards.
    According to many scouts, DeAndre Ayton is at or near the top of most lottery teams' big boards.Associated Press

    No. 1 pick

    Deandre Ayton vs. Luka Doncic

    The Phoenix Suns will look at a handful of prospects if they win the lottery. There isn't an overwhelming No. 1 player this year. But according to many scouts, Ayton and Doncic appear to have separated from the pack into a tier of their own atop the board.

             

    Pros, Cons of Ayton

    Pros

    Alex Len will be a free agent. Marquese Chriss and Dragan Bender haven't made convincing cases through two seasons. Phoenix could use a big man like Ayton as another potential go-to scoring option in the lineup next to Devin Booker. With an immaculate physical profile and inside-out skills, he averaged 20.1 points on 61.2 percent shooting, ranking in the 90th percentile on post-ups while showing enough range to knock down 12 threes and 16 of 41 medium jumpers.

              

    Cons

    The Suns are the worst defensive team in the league, per ESPN.com, and Ayton was exposed as a poor defender. He shows poor awareness, and despite incredible strength and length, his 6.1 block percentage is underwhelming.

           

    Pros, Cons of Doncic

    Pros

    The draft has never seen an international prospect as accomplished as Doncic, who leads Euroleague in player efficiency rating at 19 years old, per RealGM.com. Phoenix could have a unique backcourt if it plays him at the point. He's a 6'8" ball-handler with terrific pick-and-roll feel and passing instincts.

            

    Cons

    Doncic won't improve the Suns' awful defense. As well, though he's an effective facilitator, he may be more of a secondary playmaker without blow-by burst. Between Doncic and Booker, Phoenix could struggle to get penetration, and it wouldn't have a true assist man.

              

    Plan B: Trade down for defense

    Rim protectors Mohamed Bamba and Jaren Jackson Jr. fit best in Phoenix based on the Suns' needs. They're too risky to take at No. 1, though. Phoenix may want to explore trading down a few spots in an attempt to land a defensive-minded anchor for the lineup, plus an additional asset for the price of giving up the top pick in the draft.

Memphis Grizzlies

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    Luka Doncic would be a great fit for the Memphis Grizzlies, with his versatility as a combo guard and the team's need for a cornerstone next to Mike Conley.
    Luka Doncic would be a great fit for the Memphis Grizzlies, with his versatility as a combo guard and the team's need for a cornerstone next to Mike Conley.Srdjan Stevanovic/Getty Images

    No. 2 pick

    Ayton or Doncic, whoever is there

    The Memphis Grizzlies may not have to think much at No. 2. It's possible they'll be prepared to draft whoever falls to them between Deandre Ayton and Luka Doncic.

    Taking Ayton would likely mean moving on from Marc Gasol, although Ayton did play power forward at Arizona. Still, Gasol turns 34 years old in 2019 in what will be his 11th season as a pro. Now could be the time to make a change and start rebuilding with Ayton as the team's center, his natural position.

    Doncic is the cleaner fit based on his versatility as a combo guard and the team's need for a cornerstone next to Mike Conley. At 6'8", Doncic plays both backcourt positions. The Grizzlies could let him start his career as the team's secondary playmaker and give him the keys once Conley's run ends.

    If the Suns make a surprise selection at No. 1, Doncic may be Memphis' preferred target, though it's too early in the process to appoint any favorites or make any confident, educated guesses.

            

    Option No. 2: Marvin Bagley III

    Ayton and Doncic are widely viewed as No. 1 and No. 1A, but a team could also see similar upside with Bagley.

    His athleticism and offensive versatility would be a fit alongside the heavier-footed Gasol. Memphis would need Bagley's shooting and defense to improve for him to produce top-two value long-term.

Atlanta Hawks

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    Michigan State's Jaren Jackson Jr. averaged 1.1 three-pointers and 3.0 blocks, one of six NCAA players to post 1.0/3.0 in the last 25 years.
    Michigan State's Jaren Jackson Jr. averaged 1.1 three-pointers and 3.0 blocks, one of six NCAA players to post 1.0/3.0 in the last 25 years.Elsa/Getty Images

    No. 3 pick

    Plan A: Trade up

    Nobody on the Atlanta Hawks roster is considered an untouchable cornerstone. The franchise needs the best player available, whether he's a point guard, wing or big man. Trading up should be Plan A with Deandre Ayton and Luka Doncic as targets.

    Ayton would give the lineup a go-to option to feature in the half court. Doncic gives Atlanta a winner and leader capable of making teammates better.

    The Hawks will have three first-round picks and a slew of expendable role players to offer the Suns or Grizzlies. Their front office should be working the phones, particularly if they aren't in love with anyone outside of Ayton and Doncic.

           

    Plan B: Jaren Jackson Jr. (Michigan State, PF/C, Freshman)

    The next tier of prospects includes Jackson, Marvin Bagley III and Mohamed Bamba. Michael Porter Jr. may fill the greatest need, but at No. 3, he's too risky.

    Unless Atlanta sees one of these prospects as the clear-cut best, Jackson makes the most sense with his potential to anchor the Hawks defense but also stretch the floor alongside the interior-oriented John Collins. Michigan State's 18-year-old freshman averaged 1.1 three-pointers and 3.0 blocks, one of six players to post 1.0/3.0 in the last 25 years.

    Jackson won't compete for any Rookie of the Year votes in 2018-19, but the Hawks won't need him to. Given his age, tools, shooting, rim protection and time/room to improve skill-wise, he has as much upside as anyone left on the board.

           

    Plan B, Option 2: Bagley vs. Bamba

    Atlanta could easily see Bagley or Bamba as the third-ranked prospect. Bagley offers more offensive upside, though he struggles on defense and won't help with spacing next to Collins, who also isn't viewed as an impact defender.

    Bamba can give Atlanta the defensive anchor it needs, but would a Bamba-Collins frontcourt generate enough offense?

    In this case, Bamba is the choice over Bagley, but it's also easy to imagine Atlanta views Bagley as the more attractive long-term prospect. Teams don't usually overthink and factor fit into the equation predraft.

Orlando Magic

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    Marvin Bagley could help Orlando's offense with his athleticism around the basket and face-up quickness.
    Marvin Bagley could help Orlando's offense with his athleticism around the basket and face-up quickness.Lance King/Getty Images

    No. 4 pick

    Plan A: Trade out for a veteran

    The Orlando Magic have two cornerstones in Aaron Gordon and Jonathan Isaac. Adding Marvin Bagley III, Jaren Jackson Jr., Mohamed Bamba or Michael Porter Jr. creates a clunky situation up front.

    The goal should eventually be for Gordon and Isaac to play together at the 4 and 5, respectively.

    Ideally, the Magic trade this pick for a veteran or star wing/guard. Orlando hasn't gotten anywhere trying to build through the draft with projects. It could use another established scorer, assuming Nikola Vucevic isn't in the franchise's long-term plans.

            

    Plan B: Trade down for Trae Young or Collin Sexton

    Orlando can look to trade down for the same reason it would look to trade out. The Magic could reach on Young or Sexton at No. 4, but it would make more sense to move down a few spots in hopes of acquiring an additional asset via trade.

    Young would give them a needed shot-creator and playmaker, while Sexton would be an attacking scorer at the point.

          

    Plan C: Stay put and select the best player available between Bagley, Bamba, Jackson, Porter and Mikal Bridges

    The most likely scenario is that Orlando chooses from the group of available one-and-done bigs plus Bridges, though No. 4 sounds high for the 21-year-old wing.

    Bagley could make the most sense for his offense and upside. Isaac is more of a defensive-minded player, and an Isaac-Jackson or Isaac-Bamba duo could struggle to generate scoring. Isaac could help mask some of Bagley's defensive problems, while Bagley could put pressure on opposing defenses with his athleticism around the basket and face-up quickness.

    If Bagley is gone, next in line could be Jackson, who's safer than Porter and offers rim protection like Bamba but also helps stretch the floor with his 39.6 percent three-point stroke.

Dallas Mavericks

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    Mo Bamba would be a prize for the Mavs, having finished second in the country in shot-blocking as a freshman this season.
    Mo Bamba would be a prize for the Mavs, having finished second in the country in shot-blocking as a freshman this season.Andy Lyons/Getty Images

    No. 5 pick

    Plan A: Jaren Jackson Jr. (Michigan State, PF/C, Freshman)

    Assuming Ayton and Doncic are off the board, the Mavericks should turn their attention to Jackson, who can replace Dirk Nowitzki and Nerlens Noel and give Dallas a modern-day stretch 5.

    Jackson should be viewed in the same tier as Bamba and Bagley, but he gets the nod for his defense and shooting, plus the fact he won't turn 19 years old until September.

            

    Plan B: Mohamed Bamba (Texas, C, Freshman)

    Bamba has the chance to be one of the game's unique rim protectors. Dallas has been noncommittal with Noel, and instead of paying him this offseason, the front office could decide drafting Bamba is the smarter move.

    The lengthy, 6'11" center finished second in the country in shot-blocking as a freshman. If he continues to build on his post game and jumper, which he flashed in doses, the Mavericks could wind up with a unicorn at No. 5.

          

    Plan C: Marvin Bagley III (Duke, PF/C, Freshman)

    If Jackson and Bamba are gone, it could be difficult to pass on Bagley at No. 5. He averaged 21.0 points and 11.1 rebounds playing most of the season at 18 years old against quality ACC competition. He'll be one of the top athletes in the draft with three-point range (23-of-58), a back-to-the-basket game and the ability to face up and score on the move.

             

    Plan C, Option 2: Mikal Bridges (Villanova, SF, Junior)

    Bridges isn't viewed by many as a top-five pick, though he's one of those prospects who every scout likes, even if none of them view him as a star. He'd be an out-of-the-box selection this high but also a fit on the wing, either in place of Wesley Matthews or next to him. Bridges has Otto Porter-like potential for his off-ball scoring, three-point shooting and defensive versatility.

Sacramento Kings

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    With Marvin Bagley, the Kings would get a needed punch of frontcourt explosiveness and activity.
    With Marvin Bagley, the Kings would get a needed punch of frontcourt explosiveness and activity.Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

    Pick No. 6

    Plan A: Marvin Bagley III (Duke, PF/C, Freshman)

    The Sacramento Kings rank No. 29 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They need the best player available, though preferably not a point guard as De'Aaron Fox tries to get comfortable.

    Bagley makes sense as a target for his offensive upside at a position where the Kings don't have any surefire cornerstones.

    Without veteran talent to play off, Sacramento may not be the greatest fit for Jackson, who's on the raw side. He struggles to create shots, and there aren't many setup playmakers or scorers to help him out or take pressure off.

    With Bagley, the Kings get a needed punch of frontcourt explosiveness and activity, even if his ball skills never develop.

            

    Plan B: Jaren Jackson Jr. (Michigan State, PF/C, Freshman)

    Despite the questions we posed about the setting Sacramento offers Jackson to develop in, he would be Plan B as a best-prospect-available play. The Kings could use both his defense and shooting for now, but the hope would be that he builds on his post and face-up games to become a bigger offensive threat in the half court.

           

    Plan C: Mohamed Bamba (Texas, C, Freshman)

    Willie Cauley-Stein hasn't been the defensive anchor Sacramento likely thought it was getting in the 2015 draft. Bamba has the better chance of filling that role. He may never be a scorer, but neither is Rudy Gobert, and he's become one of the game's most valuable players. The Kings should look at Bamba in hopes of landing an elite rim protector to anchor their defense for the foreseeable future.

          

    Plan D: Mikal Bridges (Villanova, SF, Junior)

    The Kings will be tempted by Michael Porter Jr., but Bridges would be a more stable piece to build with. Porter would benefit from going to a playoff team as a complementary option rather than being thrown into the fire as the Kings' top gun.

    Sacramento should value Bridges' three-and-D and the intangibles scouts rave about as a high-character, self-made, coachable player who's improved each season. Without a surefire starter on the wing, the Kings could feel safe and confident coming away with Bridges, even if he lacks a visible All-Star ceiling.

Cleveland Cavaliers (via Brooklyn Nets)

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    The Cavs need defensive stoppers, and Michigan State's Jaren Jackson Jr. could be just that.
    The Cavs need defensive stoppers, and Michigan State's Jaren Jackson Jr. could be just that.Steven Ryan/Getty Images

    Pick No. 7 (via Nets)

    Plan A: Trade up for Jaren Jackson Jr., Mohamed Bamba

    With the No. 28-ranked defense in the NBA, the Cleveland Cavaliers should be exploring all trade options to move up and grab Jackson or Bamba. The team has plenty of assets to propose in a deal since it owns the Nets' pick. Jackson and Bamba are valued for their potential to protect the rim, change shots around it and switch in pick-and-roll coverage.

    The Cavaliers have enough scoring weapons. Though their roster may look different entering next season, adding a defensive-minded prospect, particularly one with as much upside as Jackson and Bamba, should be the goal for the 2018 draft.

              

    Plan B: Mikal Bridges (Villanova, SF, Junior)

    Bridges can't change a game defensively the way Jackson or Bamba can, but the Cavaliers would still value his ability to man guards, wings and forwards. He'd also give them a scorer and shooter who doesn't need the ball and understands how to thrive in a supporting role, which he'd have in Cleveland alongside All-Star cornerstones.

            

    Plan C: Michael Porter Jr. (Missouri, SF/PF, Freshman)

    Porter could be viewed as the best player available or insurance in case LeBron James leaves. A 6'10" face-up scorer, Porter could give the lineup another half-court shot-maker and scoring weapon from the 3 or 4 positions.

            

    Plan D: Trae Young (Oklahoma, PG, Freshman)

    Young would make more sense for the Cavaliers if they expect James to leave. They wouldn't want a rookie to steal the king's touches given Young's ball-dominant style. However, the team could value his playmaking and passing. And unlike at Oklahoma, when Young had the highest usage in the country, he wouldn't have a monster workload in Cleveland. The Cavaliers could allow Young to take what the defense gives him as a pull-up shooter and driver, as opposed to having to force the issue (leading to inefficiency) like he often did as Oklahoma's only creator.

Chicago Bulls

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    The Bulls could add Trae Young for his playmaking and forge a potent offensive duo with Zach LaVine.
    The Bulls could add Trae Young for his playmaking and forge a potent offensive duo with Zach LaVine.Rob Carr/Getty Images

    Pick No. 8

    Plan A: Mikal Bridges (Villanova, SF, Junior)

    With scorers at the 2 (Zach LaVine) and 4 (Lauri Markkanen), the Chicago Bulls should target Bridges to fill their small forward hole. His complementary offense and defense would work well between those two.

            

    Plan B: Trae Young (Oklahoma, PG, Freshman)

    Kris Dunn had some encouraging stretches, but questions over his shooting and durability haven't disappeared. The Bulls could add Young for his playmaking and shot-making and wind up with a potent offensive duo between him and LaVine.

             

    Plan C: Michael Porter Jr. (Missouri, SF/PF, Freshman)

    At No. 8, Porter could be tough to pass on as a best-player-available candidate, though he'd likely have to play small forward. He'd give the Bulls a third scoring option in the middle of the lineup. Depending on how his body, conditioning and skill level develop, Porter could wind up being the top option over LaVine and Markkanen.

            

    Plan D: Wendell Carter Jr. (Duke, C, Freshman)

    With Markkanen set to play the stretch 4, the Bulls could add Carter at the 5 as more of a paint scorer and interior presence. At 6'10" and 259 pounds, he's effective around the basket and post. Though he's not known for defense, he still blocked 3.1 shots per 40 minutes at Duke. Carter will outproduce his draft spot at No. 8 if he continues to make strides as a shooter after he hit 19 of 46 college threes.

New York Knicks

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    Mikal Bridges would pair nicely with Kristaps Porzingis, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Frank Ntilikina.
    Mikal Bridges would pair nicely with Kristaps Porzingis, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Frank Ntilikina.Associated Press

    Pick No. 9

    Plan A: Mikal Bridges (Villanova, SF, Junior)

    Bridges would be a dream prospect for the New York Knicks at No. 9, where they won't be able to draft a potential franchise talent like Ayton or Doncic. They could use a defensive-minded shooter at the wing between Tim Hardaway Jr. and a healthy Kristaps Porzingis.

           

    Plan B: Michael Porter Jr. (Missouri, SF/PF, Freshman)

    Ideally, the Knicks add Porter to play the 4 with Porzingis at the 5. Porter could give New York a higher-upside scorer than Hardaway, who's currently the second option. The 6'10" combo forward offers mismatch potential with his big-man size and face-up perimeter skills out to the arc.

            

    Plan C: Trae Young (Oklahoma, PG, Freshman)

    Trey Burke is generating positive buzz with his breakout play in New York, but the sample size won't be enough to convince management he's the point guard of the future. If Bridges is gone, the Knicks should look to Young, who'd give the lineup another scoring and playmaking weapon alongside Frank Ntilikina. Competition for minutes between Young and Burke wouldn't be a bad thing for either player.

           

    Plan D: Miles Bridges (Michigan State, SF/PF, Sophomore)

    One of the most athletic forwards in the draft, Bridges can work as an interchangeable forward with his mix of power and shooting. He'd fit best at the 4 next to Porzingis, where he can use his explosiveness and quickness most to his advantage. Bridges still needs work on his ball-handling and shot-creating, but he made strides his sophomore year as a pull-up scorer and ball-screen threat.

Philadelphia 76ers (via Los Angeles Lakers)

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    The Sixers could use another scoring forward like Stephen Knox, who works well off the ball as a spot-up player and shooter off screens.
    The Sixers could use another scoring forward like Stephen Knox, who works well off the ball as a spot-up player and shooter off screens.Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    Pick No. 10 (via Lakers)

    Plan A: Mikal Bridges (Villanova, SF, Junior)

    The Philadelphia 76ers already have Robert Covington, but JJ Redick will be a free agent, and they can't surround Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid with enough three-and-D players. Trae Young or Collin Sexton would steal touches from Simmons and reps from Markelle Fultz, who'll need as many as he can get and remains a better prospect than both freshman ball-handlers.

            

    Plan B: Wendell Carter Jr. (Duke, C, Freshman)

    Carter would be a best-prospect-available play at No. 10 for the Sixers. They don't have strong frontcourt depth, and Embiid hasn't proved he can play full seasons. With a tough post game and rebounding presence inside, Carter would give Philadelphia a different look than Dario Saric can up front.

            

    Plan C: Kevin Knox (Kentucky, SF/PF, Freshman)

    Knox hasn't declared yet, but he should be a target for the Sixers if he does put his name in. They could use another scoring forward, and Knox excels by working off the ball as a spot-up player and shooter off screens. Knox is still 18 years old, so Philadelphia would need to take its time developing him.

Charlotte Hornets

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    The Hornets would need some luck for Duke's Wendell Carter to fall to No. 11, where they'd likely view him as the best player available.
    The Hornets would need some luck for Duke's Wendell Carter to fall to No. 11, where they'd likely view him as the best player available.Lance King/Getty Images

    Pick No. 11

    Plan A: Trade up

    Outside the top 10, it becomes tough to pinpoint any surefire NBA studs. The Hornets still aren't a playoff team, and as Kemba Walker and Dwight Howard enter the final years on their contracts, the franchise is approaching roster blow-up time. Charlotte should look to make some changes before or during the draft and move up to acquire one of the potential franchise cornerstones at the top of the board.

            

    Plan B: Wendell Carter Jr. (Duke, C, Freshman)

    The Hornets would need some luck for Carter to be here at No. 11. They'd likely view him as the best player available and an eventual replacement for Howard at center.

            

    Plan C: Kevin Knox (Kentucky, SF/PF, Freshman)

    The Hornets generate minimal offense from their forward spots, and Knox projects as a scoring specialist. At 6'9", he's flashed three-point range, a pull-up game and an impressive floater, and he's a good enough athlete to pick up easy baskets in the open floor. The knocks on Knox: He struggles to defend, create or rebound, so the Hornets would be banking on his complementary scoring and shot-making.

            

    Plan C, Option 2: Collin Sexton (Alabama, PG/SG, Freshman)

    Charlotte could have Sexton and Knox in the same tier. Malik Monk is struggling, and with Walker's future uncertain, the Hornets could go after another guard. Sexton isn't a natural passer or facilitator, but he's flashed the ability to take over games with streak scoring.

Los Angeles Clippers

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    Adding Robert Williams would make it easier for the Clippers to move on from DeAndre Jordan, whose time in L.A. may have run its course.
    Adding Robert Williams would make it easier for the Clippers to move on from DeAndre Jordan, whose time in L.A. may have run its course.Associated Press

    Pick No. 12 (via Pistons)

    Plan A: Collin Sexton (Alabama, PG/SG, Freshman)

    With two picks just outside the top 10, the Los Angeles Clippers have a good chance to strengthen their core. They shouldn't force it, but it wouldn't hurt to add a guard with one of those selections, and Sexton makes sense as a target. Between his competitiveness and Patrick Beverley's toughness, the team could start to build an identity.

            

    Plan B: Robert Williams (Texas A&M, C, Sophomore)

    Scouts have referred to Williams as DeAndre Jordan-lite. He's the same type of lob target and rim protector fueled by explosive athleticism and physical tools. Adding Williams will make it easier for the Clippers to move on from Jordan, whose time in L.A. may have run its course.

            

    Plan C: Miles Bridges (Michigan State, SF, Sophomore)

    The Clippers have Danilo Gallinari and Tobias Harris, but Gallinari struggles to stay healthy, and Harris will be entering the final year of his deal. Los Angeles could play Bridges behind both to start and view him as the top long-term prospect available for his explosive leaping, three-point shooting and potential defensive versatility.

            

    Pick No. 13

    The Clippers' pick at No. 12 won't impact who they take at No. 13. They should continue looking to stockpile assets, regardless of what shape they come in. If they grab Sexton first, they should look at Williams next, and if Williams is gone, then go for Bridges.

    If Sexton isn't available at No. 12 and they wind up taking Williams there, they should look to Bridges at No. 13. Taking a point guard just to take one isn't smart unless the Clippers believe he can be the starter.

    Unless a surprise prospect is available, like Mikal Bridges, Wendell Carter Jr. or Trae Young, the Clippers can feel good about drafting two of the three following prospects: Sexton, Bridges and Williams.

Denver Nuggets

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    The Nuggets may view Miles Bridges as Wilson Chandler's replacement.
    The Nuggets may view Miles Bridges as Wilson Chandler's replacement.Associated Press

    Pick No. 14

    Plan A: Trade up

    Nobody stands out as must-draft for the Denver Nuggets at No. 14. This roster is loaded with depth and young players who won't have a chance to max out their potential in Denver given the limited available minutes. The Nuggets should look to package their pick plus young prospects like Malik Beasley, Tyler Lydon, Juan Hernangomez or Trey Lyles for a chance to move up into the top 10.

    Potential targets could include Trae Young or Collin Sexton, who could pair with Jamal Murray in Denver's backcourt. Gary Harris could then move to small forward in a small-ball lineup.

           

    Plan B: Miles Bridges (Michigan State, SF/PF, Sophomore)

    The Nuggets may view Bridges as Wilson Chandler's replacement. Bridges could be a superior prospect to Hernangomez, who's Chandler's current backup.

           

    Plan C: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Kentucky, PG, Freshman)

    Scouts are split on Gilgeous-Alexander, but his fit in Denver looks right. He could offer playmaking and defense next to Murray, who'd complement him with scoring ability that Gilgeous-Alexander lacks.

           

    Plan C, Option 2: Trade down

    Denver traded down last year and will wind up regretting it after the Nuggets passed on the chance to grab Donovan Mitchell. This year, there doesn't appear to be a noticeable difference between the No. 14 pick and No. 24 pick. If Denver feels that way, trading down again could be the move, whether it's for a risk-reward play like Anfernee Simons, a fifth-year high school, point guard or Aaron Holiday, who had a breakout junior year (20.3 points, 5.8 assists) replacing Lonzo Ball as UCLA's floor general.

            

    Stats courtesy of Synergy Sports and Sports Reference

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