2017 NBA Mock Draft: 1st Round Predictions and Biggest Boom-or-Bust Prospects

Paul KasabianSenior ContributorMay 22, 2017

ORLANDO, FL - MARCH 16:  Marc-Eddy Norelia #25 of the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles and Jonathan Isaac #1 of the Florida State Seminoles battle for position during a free throw in the first half during the first round of the 2017 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at Amway Center on March 16, 2017 in Orlando, Florida.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

The 2017 NBA draft, on paper, looks like it will have many more hits than misses. In particular, it's hard to make a case that any of the top five players on most big boards (Markelle Fultz, Lonzo Ball, Josh Jackson, Jayson Tatum, De'Aaron Fox) will turn out to be busts.

The same could be said for most of the players projected to go in the first round. Some of these prospects could potentially fall short of expectations, but they still have the opportunity to go on to great NBA careers.

Here's a look at three such prospects as well as a new mock draft.

2017 NBA Mock Draft
1. BOSMarkelle Fultz
2. LALLonzo Ball
3. PHIDe'Aaron Fox
4. PHXJosh Jackson
5. SACJayson Tatum
6. ORLMalik Monk
7. MINJonathan Isaac
8. NYKFrank Ntilikina
9. DALLauri Markkanen
10. SACZach Collins
11. CHAJustin Jackson
12. DETDennis Smith Jr.
13. DENRodions Kurucs
14. MIATJ Leaf
15. PORTerrance Ferguson
16. CHIJustin Patton
17. MILHarry Giles
18. INDDonovan Mitchell
19. ATLIsaiah Hartenstein
20. PORLuke Kennard
21. OKCJordan Bell
22. BRKJawun Evans
23. TORSemi Ojeleye
24. UTAHJohn Collins
25. ORLIvan Rabb
26. PORJonathan Jeanne
27. BRKOG Anunoby
28. LALJarrett Allen
29. SASJosh Hart
30. UTAHDerrick White
Writer Projections


Jonathan Isaac

The Florida State forward mostly shined in his one year in Tallahassee, averaging 12.0 points, 7.8 rebounds and 1.5 blocks per game for a Seminoles team that finished tied for second in the ACC and earned a No. 3 seed in the NCAA tournament.

Isaac has loads of potential. NBAdraft.net compares him to former NBA forward Rashard Lewis, who played 16 NBA seasons and made two All-Star games.

Former St. John's men's basketball coach and current ESPN analyst Fran Fraschilla also had high praise for Isaac:

SiriusXM NBA Radio @SiriusXMNBA

.@franfraschilla said that @jisaac_01 can be the best player to come out of this 2017 @NBA Draft!

The primary knock on Isaac is that he was too inconsistent last season. If you take a look at his 2016-17 game log, some monster games (e.g. a 23-point, 10-rebound, seven-block outing against Notre Dame) are mixed in with poor ones (a couple of two-point performances in ACC play).

His team also crashed and burned in the NCAA tournament in a bad 91-66 loss to No. 11 seed Xavier in the second round.

Isaac can also stand to bulk up his 6'11", 205-pound frame.

Ultimately, Isaac will be just 20 years old when the 2017-18 NBA season begins, and no team is going to ask him to be a franchise savior right away. He'll have time to develop and gain strength.


Harry Giles

If Giles didn't suffer serious knee injuries in 2013 and 2015, we'd be talking about him as a consensus top-five pick, maybe even top three.

Unfortunately, Giles' freshman season at Duke last year only saw him average 11.5 minutes per game as he worked his way back from the second injury.

Giles still has much potential and impressed at the NBA Draft Combine, as Eric Fawcett of Press Basketball noted:

Eric Fawcett @Efawcett7

Questioning why a team would want Harry Giles? Coming off injury and he posts 9th best lane agility and 6th best shuttle run as a 6'10.5" PF https://t.co/xM8sPJDU9a

Per DraftExpress, Giles measured at 6'10½" with shoes and has a 7'3¼" wingspan. Given those measurements, it's hard to imagine Giles slipping far past the 20th pick.

It's conceivable that Giles' NBA career never gets off the ground and he's unable to truly recover from those injuries.

But it's also possible that he develops and becomes a formidable NBA pro as he keeps rounding into form. It will be interesting to see which team believes in Giles. That team could be getting the steal of the draft.


OG Anunoby

The forward showed promise in his two-year career in Indiana, to the point where he's a consensus first-round pick in NBA mock drafts, but he tore his right ACL in January and missed the rest of the season.

Shams Charania of The Vertical spoke with Anunoby about his rehab process on May 19: "My rehab has been going great, doing a lot of strength drills and core work. I can do set shots, and now I need to get more dynamic as the months continue. I’ll be jogging, shooting, working on my strength soon. I want people to know how hardworking of a player I am."

The 6'8", 235-pound forward averaged 11.1 points and 5.4 rebounds for IU as a sophomore last season. He did well against top competition, scoring 16 against eventual national champion North Carolina and 13 versus Kansas. Both those games resulted in wins for the Hoosiers.

Jonathan Wasserman of Bleacher Report wrote about Anunoby in his latest big board, noting that while his three-point (31.1 percent) and free-throw shooting (56.3 percent) left a lot to be desired last year, he still showed some impressive signs:

"But without any notable offensive skills to lean on, he still shot a terrific 70.1 percent inside the arc, a tribute to his tools and athleticism. Even if his handle and jumper never improve, Anunoby's defense, attacking and finishing could hold first-round value."

Anunoby, who turns 20 years old in July, probably won't crack the lottery, but a team in the late teens could take a chance on him, have him redshirt for a full season and be ready to go in 2018-19.