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Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles looks for a receiver during the first half of an NFL preseason football game against the Cincinnati Bengals in Jacksonville, Fla., Sunday, Aug. 28, 2016.(AP Photo/John Raoux)
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles looks for a receiver during the first half of an NFL preseason football game against the Cincinnati Bengals in Jacksonville, Fla., Sunday, Aug. 28, 2016.(AP Photo/John Raoux)John Raoux/Associated Press

2016 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 4-Round Simulation with Notable Picks

Joseph ZuckerSep 4, 2016

The 2016 NFL regular season is less than two weeks away, which means time is running out for fans to draft their fantasy football squads for the campaign ahead.

The temptation for some is to select a team at the earliest convenience since it's a way to signal the new season is nearly upon us. Waiting until the last minute is arguably the smarter way to go, though.

Those who have yet to fill out their rosters have the benefit of an entire preseason to make judgments about players. Some proven stars are carrying injuries, while others may be falling out of favor with their head coaches.

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Below is a mock draft for the first four rounds, plus a few players who are generating a lot of buzz.

Fantasy Football Mock Draft

1Adrian Peterson, RBMinnesota Vikings
2Antonio Brown, WRPittsburgh Steelers
3Odell Beckham Jr., WRNew York Giants
4Todd Gurley, RBLos Angeles Rams
5Ezekiel Elliott, RBDallas Cowboys
6Julio Jones, WRAtlanta Falcons
7A.J. Green, WRCincinnati Bengals
8DeAndre Hopkins, WRHouston Texans
9David Johnson, RBArizona Cardinals
10Devonta Freeman, RBAtlanta Falcons
11Dez Bryant, WRDallas Cowboys
12Rob Gronkowski, TENew England Patriots
1Le'Veon Bell, RBPittsburgh Steelers
2Lamar Miller, RBHouston Texans
3Cam Newton, QBCarolina Panthers
4Allen Robinson, WRJacksonville Jaguars
5Doug Martin, RBTampa Bay Buccaneers
6LeSean McCoy, RBBuffalo Bills
7Eddie Lacy, RBGreen Bay Packers
8Brandon Marshall, WRNew York Jets
9Aaron Rodgers, QBGreen Bay Packers
10Mark Ingram, RBNew Orleans Saints
11Alshon Jeffery, WRChicago Bears
12Demaryius Thomas, WRDenver Broncos
1Jamaal Charles, RBKansas City Chiefs
2Thomas Rawls, RBSeattle Seahawks
3Brandin Cooks, WRNew Orleans Saints
4Sammy Watkins, WRBuffalo Bills
5Jordy Nelson, WRGreen Bay Packers
6Mike Evans, WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
7Amari Cooper, WROakland Raiders
8Jonathan Stewart, RBCarolina Panthers
9Keenan Allen, WRSan Diego Chargers
10Carlos Hyde, RBSan Francisco 49ers
11C.J. Anderson, RBDenver Broncos
12Jeremy Hill, RBCincinnati Bengals
1Russell Wilson, QBSeattle Seahawks
2Drew Brees, QBNew Orleans Saints
3Jordan Reed, TEWashington Redskins
4Andrew Luck, QBIndianapolis Colts
5Greg Olsen, TECarolina Panthers
6Matt Forte, RBNew York Jets
7Latavius Murray, RBOakland Raiders
8Carson Palmer, QBArizona Cardinals
9Delanie Walker, TETennessee Titans
10DeMarco Murray, RBTennessee Titans
11Blake Bortles, QBJacksonville Jaguars
12Tyrod Taylor, QBBuffalo Bills

Notable Picks

Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings

A week ago, projecting Adrian Peterson to be the No. 1 overall pick would've been crazy. He's 31 years old with a lot of wear and tear on his body and plays a position where few players are productive at an elite level beyond their late 20s and early 30s.

Then, quarterback Teddy Bridgewater suffered a season-ending injury during practice Tuesday. Yahoo Sports' Brad Evans tweeted Peterson will now be one of the Minnesota Vikings' most important players:

The Vikings announced Saturday they traded for Sam Bradford, which represents an obvious upgrade over Shaun Hill. Bradford has dealt with injury issues of his own, and he's coming off a year in which he ranked 24th among qualified QBs in Football Outsiders' DYAR (defense-adjusted yards above replacement).

Whereas it looked like Peterson's role was ever so slightly diminishing, the Vikings could be returning to the days where he'll have to carry the offense on his back. It's not as if he's showing any signs of slowing down. He carried the ball 327 times for 1,485 yards and 11 touchdowns last year.

Of course, few expected Marshawn Lynch's decline to be so abrupt. Like Peterson, he appeared to be a safe option among the elite fantasy running backs.

There's always the chance Father Time catches up with Peterson or he suffers a serious injury that keeps him out of action for a long time. But no player is devoid of risk completely, and Peterson's record speaks for itself.

A strong case could be made that Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown is a better option at No. 1 overall, but Bridgewater's injury makes Peterson an even more valued fantasy commodity.

Blake Bortles, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars

In terms of actual performance, the 2015 season was a mixed bag for Blake Bortles. He ranked 31st among qualified quarterbacks in completion percentage (58.6), and he threw the most interceptions (18) in the league.

Pro Football Focus graded Bortles the 18th-best quarterback (80.1), and he was 25th among QBs in Football Outsiders' DYAR.

As a fantasy performer, the Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback far exceeded expectations. His 316.12 points were fourth at his position in NFL.com standard leagues. The 18 interceptions hurt his value, but he also threw for 4,428 yards and 35 touchdowns and ran for 310 yards and two TDs.

A quarterback's development doesn't always happen in a consistent upward arc. Just because Bortles showed improvement from his first year to his second doesn't mean his third year will represent more progress.

Still, the pieces are there for Bortles to at least post numbers similar to 2015. Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns represent one of the better one-two wide receiver combos in the league, and they have a strong rapport with their quarterback.

In an August interview with CBSSports.com's Pete Prisco, Bortles discussed how he, Robinson and Hurns have all bonded during their time in the NFL:

"

We were together 24-7 the first three months we were in Jacksonville. It was me, him and Hurns. We threw together at high schools. We stayed together at the hotel. We ate dinner together before any of us found a house. We rode the bus over (to team facility) in the morning. We were together 24-7 and it really created good chemistry. That's how we started building our relationship. We felt comfortable off the field that when we were on we already had a relationship, one where I could say I don't like that or he could say he didn't like something to me. That was important.

"

Depending on where he falls in the draft, Bortles could be a solid value pick. You shouldn't select him ahead of Cam Newton, Russell Wilson or Aaron Rodgers, who has a healthy Jordy Nelson back. As the fourth or fifth quarterback off the board, Bortles would be a smart gamble based on his ceiling.

If you do walk away with Bortles as your QB1, make sure you also select a backup with a little less risk in the chance Bortles regresses and you need to bench him.

Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos

For most wideouts, catching 105 passes for 1,304 yards and six touchdowns would be healthy production. For Demaryius Thomas, the 2015 season was a disappointment.

Six TD receptions were a relatively significant decline for a player who caught 10, 14 and 11 touchdowns between 2012 and 2014, respectively. Despite his talent, Thomas wasn't immune from the impact Peyton Manning and Brock Osweiler's inconsistency had on the passing game.

As a result, Thomas might be undervalued heading into the 2016 season. In ESPN.com leagues, he's the 16th wide receiver off the board on average.

There's no question the Broncos offense is in flux. The team will start Trevor Siemian, a 2015 seventh-round draft pick who has yet to throw a pass in an NFL regular-season game. His backup, Paxton Lynch, is a rookie who was largely thought of as more of a long-term project coming out of college.

Given that, it's easy to see why fantasy owners are lukewarm on Thomas' potential this year. Still, he has plenty to offer and should be at least a low-end WR1. He was the 12th-highest-scoring wide receiver in NFL.com standard leagues a year ago.

Thomas has averaged 1,446 yards a year since 2012, when Manning arrived in the Mile High City. Although his days as an elite fantasy wideout are likely gone, he's a safer option than some of the receivers going ahead of him, such as Sammy Watkins, Keenan Allen and Brandin Cooks.

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