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Providence guard Kris Dunn celebrates after the second half of a first-round men's college basketball game in the NCAA Tournament against Southern California, Friday, March 18, 2016, in Raleigh, N.C.  Providence won 70-69. (AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
Providence guard Kris Dunn celebrates after the second half of a first-round men's college basketball game in the NCAA Tournament against Southern California, Friday, March 18, 2016, in Raleigh, N.C. Providence won 70-69. (AP Photo/Chuck Burton)Chuck Burton/Associated Press

Chad Ford NBA Mock Draft 2016: Notable Picks from ESPN Guru's 10th Mock

Timothy RappJun 23, 2016

ESPN's NBA draft expert Chad Ford released the 10th edition of his mock draft on Thursday ahead of this evening's proceedings.  

While any number of trades and surprise picks could alter the draft board, Ford projected the draft would shake out as follows:

1Philadelphia 76ersBen Simmons, PF, LSU
2Los Angeles LakersBrandon Ingram, SF, Duke
3Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets)Kris Dunn, PG, Providence
4Phoenix SunsMarquese Chriss, PF, Washington
5Minnesota TimberwolvesJamal Murray, SG, Kentucky
6New Orleans PelicansBuddy Hield, SG, Oklahoma
7Denver Nuggets (via New York Knicks)Dragan Bender, PF, Maccabi Tel Aviv
8Sacramento KingsJaylen Brown, SF, California
9Toronto Raptors (via Denver Nuggets)Jakob Poeltl, PF, Utah
10Milwaukee BucksDeyonta Davis, PF, Michigan State
11Orlando MagicDomantas Sabonis, PF, Gonzaga
12Atlanta Hawks (via Utah Jazz)Henry Ellenson, PF, Marquette
13Phoenix Suns (via Washington Wizards)Dejounte Murray, PG, Washington
14Chicago BullsDenzel Valentine, SF, Michigan State
15Denver Nuggets (via Houston Rockets)Furkan Korkmaz, SG, Turkey
16Boston Celtics (via Dallas Mavericks)Skal Labissiere, PF, Kentucky
17Memphis GrizzliesTimothe Luwawu, SG, France
18Detroit PistonsWade Baldwin IV, SG, Vanderbilt
19Denver Nuggets (via Portland Trail Blazers)Juan Hernangomez, PF, Spain
20Indiana PacersMalik Beasley, SG, Florida State
21Atlanta HawksThon Maker, PF, Australia
22Charlotte HornetsMalachi Richardson, SG, Syracuse
23Boston CelticsIvica Zubac, C, Bosnia
24Philadelphia 76ers (via Miami Heat)DeAndre Bembry, SF, St. Joseph's
25Los Angeles ClippersBrice Johnson, PF, North Carolina
26Philadelphia 76ers (via Oklahoma City Thunder)Patrick McCaw, SG, UNLV
27Toronto RaptorsCheick Diallo, PF, Kansas
28Phoenix Suns (via Cleveland Cavaliers)Ante Zizic, C, Croatia
29San Antonio SpursIsaiah Cousins, PG, Oklahoma
30Golden State WarriorsDamian Jones, C, Vanderbilt

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Because the top two picks are basically locked and loaded at this point—and basically always have been—the most intriguing selection in this draft is the Boston Celtics at No. 3 overall. 

The Celtics have been shopping the pick for veteran help, per Marc Stein of ESPN, but they've also wisely maintained interest in a number of players, per Ford:

"

The Celtics are patiently exploring trades for the No. 3 pick, while indicating to various teams that they are interested in all of the next six prospects on the board—Dunn, Jamal Murray, Marquese Chriss, Dragan Bender, Jaylen Brown and Buddy Hield. Ainge's refusal to tip his hand essentially forces teams to deal with him if they want to be guaranteed to land their favorite player in the draft. It's brilliant.

"

It's hard to imagine the Celtics keeping this pick. The Celtics have a talented roster but are a veteran star or two away from becoming a contender. Selecting a project at No. 3 doesn't help them next year, and the Celtics have the framework in place to be competitive in 2016-17.

The Philadelphia 76ers have reportedly been offering last year's No. 3 pick, Jahlil Okafor, or Nerlens Noel for the third selection, per Stein, but Boston has "resisted those pitches" to this point. Still, it feels more likely that the Sixers and Celtics will work out a deal than the Celtics ultimately making a pick at No. 3.

If they do keep the selection, however, Ford sees them selecting Providence's Kris Dunn:

"

Dunn gets the nod here for a couple of reasons. In the estimation of most GMs in the league—though not all—he's the best prospect on the board after Simmons and Ingram. Whether that holds true for Boston's board remains to be seen.

And despite the logjam in the backcourt, Dunn's court vision give him a leg up over the Celtics' other talented guards. He's not as good a scorer as Isaiah Thomas or as good a defender as Marcus Smart or as good a shooter as Avery Bradley—but he's a better passer than those three and that makes him valuable in trades, if nothing else.

"

Another factor? Dunn isn't a project. He and Oklahoma's Buddy Hield are probably the most polished and experienced prospects with top-five potential, with Dunn being the more well-rounded and complete of the two. So Dunn likely could make an immediate impact with the Celtics or free them up to move one of their more veteran guards to fill another need.

Regardless, the entire draft hinges on what the Celtics do with No. 3. 

It's interesting to see Marquese Chriss jump all the way up to No. 4 on Ford's board as well, with the Phoenix Suns passing on Dragan Bender to select him. 

Ford writes: "All signs point to Chriss being the guy here. He's raw, but his elite athleticism at his size is rare and extraordinary. Prospects such as Chriss don't come along often. He has some glaring weaknesses—particularly rebounding—but he has the talent to overcome all of them."

Ford isn't alone in this projection, however—the NBA TV crew also projected the Suns selecting Chriss:

Chriss is a major project, and the Suns are another team that is probably best suited moving this pick for veteran help. With the Celtics trying to do the same thing above them, however, the Suns' window for doing so may not be until after the No. 3 pick is in. Then teams in love with the players who remain on the board can phone Phoenix. 

And because this seems like a draft with seven or eight quality players, the Suns should have suitors for that No. 4 pick.

If the first four picks go as Ford projects, the Minnesota Timberwolves will have the fairly interesting decision of going with Jamal Murray or Buddy Hield. Neither player would be a shock at No. 5, with the New Orleans Pelicans almost assured of taking the other prospect.

That could mean that Bender drops all the way to No. 7 in this draft, after being projected by many as a top-three talent. That could be the steal of the draft for the Denver Nuggets, who could build around Emmanuel Mudiay, Nikola Jokic, Will Barton, Gary Harris and Bender (Danilo Gallinari was the team's leading scorer last season but appears to be trade bait at this point, according to Danny Leroux of Sporting News).

That's not a bad scenario for the Nuggets, and it would also open up the possibility that a lot of teams would come knocking at their door to trade for that No. 7 pick. The Nuggets at No. 7, then, could be the last major pick of intrigue if Ford's board is an accurate representation of the draft.

You can follow Timothy Rapp on Twitter.

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