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TUCSON, AZ - OCTOBER 11:  Running back Jared Baker #23 of the Arizona Wildcats rushes the football against the USC Trojans during the college football game at Arizona Stadium on October 11, 2014 in Tucson, Arizona. The Trojans defeatred the Wildcats 28-26.  (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)
TUCSON, AZ - OCTOBER 11: Running back Jared Baker #23 of the Arizona Wildcats rushes the football against the USC Trojans during the college football game at Arizona Stadium on October 11, 2014 in Tucson, Arizona. The Trojans defeatred the Wildcats 28-26. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Daily Fantasy College Football Bowl Week 1: DraftKings Value Guide, Top Sleepers

David KenyonDec 19, 2015

Daily fantasy college football returns Saturday on DraftKings, showcasing five matchups during the first week of bowl season.

Identifying value plays and sleepers are crucial for any DFS contest. Use the following information as a guide to locating the cheap potential standouts in guaranteed prize pools (GPPs).

Recent performances, trends and matchups each factored into the list, which targets options in the lower and middle tiers of pricing points at their position.

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL: NOV 22 Rutgers at Ohio State

Lamar Jordan, QB, New Mexico ($5,100)

Arizona will get some help with the return of Scooby Wright, but it's unlikely the linebacker dramatically changes the nation's No. 89 run defense after not playing for nearly three months.

While paying for one of the top quarterbacks is recommended, Lamar Jordan is a decent QB2 because of New Mexico's triple-option offense.

In addition to Jordan scoring in three straight games, Arizona has surrendered 200-plus rushing yards in four consecutive outings. At least 15 carries is a realistic expectation against a soft defense.

Jordan's ceiling isn't tremendously high, but his $5,100 price allows for spending elsewhere.

Projection: 91 pass yards; 74 rush yards, 2 TDs

Jared Baker, RB, Arizona ($4,800)

Unfortunately for the Wildcats, injuries derailed their season. Perhaps it's only fitting they'll be without starting running back Nick Wilson.

Sep 3, 2015; Tucson, AZ, USA; Arizona Wildcats running back Jared Baker runs the ball during the second quarter against the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners at Arizona Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Casey Sapio-USA TODAY Sports

Michael Lev of the Arizona Daily Star noted Wilson has been ruled out, so Jared Baker will handle a strong majority of reps in the backfield. New Mexico has allowed seven of 12 opponents to tally more than 200 rushing yards and multiple rushing scores.

Plus, the Lobos must respect the passing game since Anu Solomon is healthy. They can't simply load the box like defenses could do against Jerrard Randall.

Baker regularly reached 60 yards as a starter against Pac-12 opponents, so edging 100 on a mediocre Mountain West foe is a distinct possibility.

Projection: 102 rush yards, 1 TD; 2 rec., 11 yards

Kyler Neal, RB, Georgia State ($4,200)

If a big risk isn't part of your DFS strategy, that's understandable. If you're hoping to find a low-owned sleeper, Kyler Neal could be the one.

Neal opened the campaign as the top back before suffering a leg injury and has slowly worked back into the rotation. During the regular-season finale, Neal scored a pair of touchdowns.

Although the offense runs through quarterback Nick Arbuckle, San Jose State's defense has given up 185-plus rushing yards to 10 of 12 opponents.

Georgia State's passing attack is used to open up the running game, and a healthy Neal adds a dangerous element.

Projection: 46 rush yards, 2 TDs; 1 rec., 12 yards

Tim Crawley, WR, San Jose State ($4,400)

HONOLULU, HI -  SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 21:  Tim Crawley #2 of the San Jose State Spartans dives into the end zone for a touchdown against the Hawaii Warriors during the first quarter of a college football game at Aloha Stadium on November 21, 2015 in Honolulu

For the mid-priced receivers in small slates, touchdowns are critical. Tim Crawley finished the year on a hot streak in that regard.

The junior receiver notched five scores in the final three games of the regular season. Crawley jumped on a fumble in the end zone once, but four touchdowns is still impressive.

San Jose State will lean on running back Tyler Ervin. While Georgia State's run defense isn't stellar by any means, it's solid in the red zone. The Panthers have ceded four rushing scores over the last five contests.

Odds Shark projects 28.4 points—or four touchdowns—for San Jose State. Crawley is a trendy pick to score one of them.

Projection: 4 rec., 57 yards, 1 TD

Paul Turner, WR, Louisiana Tech ($4,200)

Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas State will probably be the most targeted game of the weekend since Odds Shark projects a Saturday-high 68.5 points.

Trent Taylor is the clear-cut No. 1 receiver of the weekend, but a Louisiana Tech stack with him and Paul Turner (or even Carlos Henderson) certainly isn't an awful idea. Turner consistently caught three passes for 40 yards but has 20-point DFS upside.

Arkansas State allowed three or more passing touchdowns five times, including a pair of four-score games in November.

Turner is coming off a six-catch, 112-yard day and is entering the right matchup to have another strong performance.

Projection: 5 rec., 68 yards, 1 TD


Head over to DraftKings and sign up for daily fantasy college football today. Assemble your lineup to participate in contests with big cash prizes.

Follow Bleacher Report CFB and DFS writer David Kenyon on Twitter @Kenyon19_BR.

Rookie's No-Hit Bid Ends in 9th 🤏

TOP NEWS

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: JAN 24 Indiana CFP National Championship Victory Celebration
COLLEGE FOOTBALL: DEC 26 GameAbove Sports Bowl Central Michigan vs Northwestern
COLLEGE FOOTBALL: NOV 22 Rutgers at Ohio State
Northwestern v Penn State
LSU Football Hosts Press Conference Introducing New Head Coach Lane Kiffin

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