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Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers throws during an NFL football game between the Denver Broncos and the Green Bay Packers, Sunday, Nov. 1, 2015, in Denver. (AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers throws during an NFL football game between the Denver Broncos and the Green Bay Packers, Sunday, Nov. 1, 2015, in Denver. (AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)Jack Dempsey/Associated Press

Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers: Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

OddsShark.comNov 3, 2015

The schedule does not get any easier for the Green Bay Packers (6-1), as they visit the unbeaten Carolina Panthers (7-0) in a battle of two of the NFC’s best teams in Week 9.

The Packers are coming off their first setback of the season on the road against the undefeated Denver Broncos, and they have won their last five games following a loss.

Point Spread: The Packers opened as three-point favorites. The total was 45.5 early in the week.

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Odds Shark Computer Pick: Panthers 27.5, Packers 16.5

Why the Packers Can Cover the Spread

Not only has Green Bay won five in a row after a loss, but the team has also gone 6-2 straight up in its past eight meetings with the Panthers.

The Packers have not lost consecutive games since 2013 after quarterback Aaron Rodgers got hurt against the Chicago Bears in Week 9. They lost three in a row and went 0-4-1 following the injury before winning three of four down the stretch to steal the division title from Chicago.

Rodgers will be motivated to bounce back in this spot after turning in one of the worst performances of his career, completing 14 of 22 passes for only 77 yards at Denver. While he did not throw an interception, his receivers could not get open against the Broncos secondary.

Carolina’s defense is good, but it just allowed the Indianapolis Colts to rally back from a 17-point deficit Monday night.

Why the Panthers Can Cover the Spread

The Panthers refuse to lose and did not let blowing a 17-point lead in the fourth quarter rattle them. They stayed perfect with a 29-26 overtime victory against the Colts on Monday.

Their defense came through when needed, getting Indy quarterback Andrew Luck to throw three interceptions, including the last one in OT that led to the game-winning field goal by kicker Graham Gano from 52 yards out.

Carolina did not cover the spread versus the Colts as a five-point favorite, but it marked only the second time this season that the team failed to beat the number. The Panthers were home chalk in both of those games and should be using the point spread and their status as underdogs as bulletin board material all week leading up to kickoff.

Smart Pick

Carolina was lucky to beat Indianapolis after going to overtime and won’t be so lucky against Rodgers and Green Bay. The Panthers have lost their last four games as home dogs and will be facing their toughest opponent to date in the Packers.

As bad as Green Bay played last week at Denver, this team will rebound with a win and cover at Carolina.

Betting Trends

  • The Packers are 6-1 SU in their last seven games after losing as favorites.
  • The Packers are 6-2 SU in their last eight games against the Panthers.
  • The Panthers are 2-7 SU in their last nine games at home in November.

All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates, and get the free odds tracker app.

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